BlogHide Resteemsrose98734 (64)in uk • 29 days agoConservatives are doing well in council by-electionsThe Tories arn't doing that well in opinion polls, but in council by-elections, where real people vote, they are holding their own. Aggregate Seat Results of the 180 Council By-Elections (for 184…rose98734 (64)in ukpolitics • 3 months agoReform push the Labour party into third placeThis is an opinion poll by the pollster FindOutNow: source One caveat: in the general election FindOutNow overestimated both the Labour and Reform vote, and underestimated the Conservatives.rose98734 (64)in usa • 6 months agoRobert Kennedy Jr pulling out of the Presidential race will have a big effect on the swing statesHe was polling 4% nationally, but 7% in some swing states. Here are the polls from some swing states just before Kennedy withdrew: source Judging by the head-to-head polls, Kennedy's…rose98734 (64)in map • 6 months agoIncredible map of the Mississippi basinIt shows the Mississippi River and its tributaries - the Ohio river, the Missouri and so on, as well as the smaller rivers and streams feeding into it. source This map explains why the…rose98734 (64)in france • 8 months agoThis is why the French population is so unhappyIt's down to unemployment. Take a look at this chart: source In the UK unemployment is 4.4%, in the US it's 3.8%, but in France it's 7.5%. And the French govt thinks 7.5% is "good"…rose98734 (64)in economy • 8 months agoExisting home sales in the US continue to fallLots of households are on 30-year mortgages at 3%, taken out in 2021. If they moved house, the new mortgage would be 6.8%. So, unsurprisingly, people are staying put, waiting for interest rates to…rose98734 (64)in economy • 9 months agoThe European Central Bank cut interest rates even though eurozone inflation is risingLast Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates from 4% to 3.75%. This is despite eurozone inflation ticking upwards in May to 2.6%. Here is the graph of eurozone inflation:…rose98734 (64)in economy • 9 months agoGermany's inflation starts rising againInflation for May rose to 2.4% from 2.2% in April. Here is the chart: source This makes it unlikely that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates for the eurozone, especially if…rose98734 (64)in silver • 9 months agoSilver has hit it's highest price since 2013It's now worth $30.5 per troy ounce. Here is the chart: source I'm wondering if people are buying silver because gold is out of their price range.rose98734 (64)in economy • 9 months agoA summary of US inflation over the last four yearsThis is based on the breakdown given by the US govt when calculating CPI. CPI Medical Care: +9.1% CPI Apparel: +13.0% US Wages: +16.1% CPI New Cars: +21.3% CPI Food at home: +21.5% CPI…rose98734 (64)in economy • 10 months agoGlobal debt has risen againIt's now at an all-time high of $315 trillion. New debt of $1.3 trillion was added in the first quarter of 2024. Emerging market debt topped $105tn in Q1 2024, with the largest increases coming from…rose98734 (64)in economy • 11 months agoThe Federal Reserve is signalling three rate cuts this yearHere is the Fed's "dot-plot" (where every member of the Fed's interest-rate setting committee plots where they think interest rates will be for the rest of the year: source However, US…rose98734 (64)in usa • last yearHere's the delegates won so far in the 2024 Republican primariesTo hear the press, Trump is steamrolling Nikki Haley, but she did manage to pick up a few delegates in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Michigan. She's just won her first primary in D.C.…rose98734 (64)in economy • last yearSanctions on Iranian oil arn't workingIn 2023, Iran was able to boost its oil production to a 5-year high, earnings >$10 billion extra in petrodollars in the process. Here is the chart: sourcerose98734 (64)in usa • last yearDe Santis has pulled out of the US presidential campaignDe Santis was struggling in New Hampshire and decided to pull out of the race before he got humiliated. I have my own theories about why he looked good on paper but struggled in practice. His…rose98734 (64)in germany • last yearGerman inflation accelerates againCPI rose to 3.7% in Dec from 3.2% in Nov. Here's the chart: source The markets are disappointed. They were desperately hoping that the European Central Bank could begin cutting interest…rose98734 (64)in uk • last yearThe polls begin to narrowHere is the latest from Deltapoll Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (-2) CON: 29% (+2) LDEM: 11% (-2) via DeltapollUK, 08 - 11 Dec Labour is currently a blank slate on which…rose98734 (64)in uk • last yearWill Reform UK make a breakthrough?There has been a lot of chatter about Reform UK, with some polls showing them at 10%. But they performed poorly in the council elections in May, gaining 8 seats out of the 8,317 contested. Here…rose98734 (64)in uk • last yearThe first King's speech in 72 yearsKing Charles III opened Parliament on Tuesday - the first time a King had done so in 72 years: source For people wondering about Queen Camilla's dress, it's the dress she wore to the…rose98734 (64)in economy • last yearUS 10-year Treasury yields are almost at 2007 levelsHere is the chart: source
