BlogHide Resteemsrose98734 (64)in ukpolitics • 17 days agoReform push the Labour party into third placeThis is an opinion poll by the pollster FindOutNow: source One caveat: in the general election FindOutNow overestimated both the Labour and Reform vote, and underestimated the Conservatives.rose98734 (64)in usa • 4 months agoRobert Kennedy Jr pulling out of the Presidential race will have a big effect on the swing statesHe was polling 4% nationally, but 7% in some swing states. Here are the polls from some swing states just before Kennedy withdrew: source Judging by the head-to-head polls, Kennedy's…rose98734 (64)in map • 4 months agoIncredible map of the Mississippi basinIt shows the Mississippi River and its tributaries - the Ohio river, the Missouri and so on, as well as the smaller rivers and streams feeding into it. source This map explains why the…rose98734 (64)in france • 6 months agoThis is why the French population is so unhappyIt's down to unemployment. Take a look at this chart: source In the UK unemployment is 4.4%, in the US it's 3.8%, but in France it's 7.5%. And the French govt thinks 7.5% is "good"…rose98734 (64)in economy • 6 months agoExisting home sales in the US continue to fallLots of households are on 30-year mortgages at 3%, taken out in 2021. If they moved house, the new mortgage would be 6.8%. So, unsurprisingly, people are staying put, waiting for interest rates to…rose98734 (64)in economy • 6 months agoThe European Central Bank cut interest rates even though eurozone inflation is risingLast Thursday, the European Central Bank cut interest rates from 4% to 3.75%. This is despite eurozone inflation ticking upwards in May to 2.6%. Here is the graph of eurozone inflation:…rose98734 (64)in economy • 7 months agoGermany's inflation starts rising againInflation for May rose to 2.4% from 2.2% in April. Here is the chart: source This makes it unlikely that the European Central Bank will cut interest rates for the eurozone, especially if…rose98734 (64)in silver • 7 months agoSilver has hit it's highest price since 2013It's now worth $30.5 per troy ounce. Here is the chart: source I'm wondering if people are buying silver because gold is out of their price range.rose98734 (64)in economy • 7 months agoA summary of US inflation over the last four yearsThis is based on the breakdown given by the US govt when calculating CPI. CPI Medical Care: +9.1% CPI Apparel: +13.0% US Wages: +16.1% CPI New Cars: +21.3% CPI Food at home: +21.5% CPI…rose98734 (64)in economy • 7 months agoGlobal debt has risen againIt's now at an all-time high of $315 trillion. New debt of $1.3 trillion was added in the first quarter of 2024. Emerging market debt topped $105tn in Q1 2024, with the largest increases coming from…rose98734 (64)in economy • 9 months agoThe Federal Reserve is signalling three rate cuts this yearHere is the Fed's "dot-plot" (where every member of the Fed's interest-rate setting committee plots where they think interest rates will be for the rest of the year: source However, US…rose98734 (64)in usa • 10 months agoHere's the delegates won so far in the 2024 Republican primariesTo hear the press, Trump is steamrolling Nikki Haley, but she did manage to pick up a few delegates in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Michigan. She's just won her first primary in D.C.…rose98734 (64)in economy • 11 months agoSanctions on Iranian oil arn't workingIn 2023, Iran was able to boost its oil production to a 5-year high, earnings >$10 billion extra in petrodollars in the process. Here is the chart: sourcerose98734 (64)in usa • 11 months agoDe Santis has pulled out of the US presidential campaignDe Santis was struggling in New Hampshire and decided to pull out of the race before he got humiliated. I have my own theories about why he looked good on paper but struggled in practice. His…rose98734 (64)in germany • 11 months agoGerman inflation accelerates againCPI rose to 3.7% in Dec from 3.2% in Nov. Here's the chart: source The markets are disappointed. They were desperately hoping that the European Central Bank could begin cutting interest…rose98734 (64)in uk • last yearThe polls begin to narrowHere is the latest from Deltapoll Westminster voting intention: LAB: 40% (-2) CON: 29% (+2) LDEM: 11% (-2) via DeltapollUK, 08 - 11 Dec Labour is currently a blank slate on which…rose98734 (64)in uk • last yearWill Reform UK make a breakthrough?There has been a lot of chatter about Reform UK, with some polls showing them at 10%. But they performed poorly in the council elections in May, gaining 8 seats out of the 8,317 contested. Here…rose98734 (64)in uk • last yearThe first King's speech in 72 yearsKing Charles III opened Parliament on Tuesday - the first time a King had done so in 72 years: source For people wondering about Queen Camilla's dress, it's the dress she wore to the…rose98734 (64)in economy • last yearUS 10-year Treasury yields are almost at 2007 levelsHere is the chart: sourcerose98734 (64)in uk • last yearTributes to the late Queen Elizabeth II on the cathedral facadesCanterbury Cathedral has installed statues of the late Queen Elizabeth and her husband the Duke of Edinburgh into niches in the outer stone wall of the cathedral. (The niches already existed, but…