BlogHide Resteemsstatsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Remaining TournamentsSo, there are three more tournaments to cover before conference tournament season is fully started and the NCAA tournament gets sorted out. We're four days out from Selection Sunday so over the…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Major Conference + Wednesday TournamentsToday is a huge day. We are covering nine different tournaments including several major tournaments. Since there's a lot to cover, let's get right into things! Big 12 Conference Last…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: ACC, Tuesday Tournaments PreviewToday, we're covering the four tournaments that take place on Tuesday including the start of the ACC tournament, one of the major conferences that has multiple teams fighting for spots in the…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: EDM "Contra" ModelToday, we will be covering our "fifth" model which is an extension of one the models from 2019 but with different goals and objectives. Since it partially uses contrarian selection (the intentional…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Weekend Tournaments PreviewToday we're covering the tournaments set to start this weekend through the lens of the now four models we have at our disposal. As always, I'll talk about the teams that have a realistic shot of…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Win Ratios Iterator ModelToday, we're going to cover the first new model developed for Model Madness 2020. Hopefully this model adds some much needed diversity to our model set that has had a decent amount of agreement over…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Thursday Tournaments PreviewToday we're going to cover the Missouri Valley Conference and West Coast Conference tournaments that are starting on Thursday. In addition to analyzing the top teams in each conference, I'll cover…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Wednesday Tournaments PreviewToday, we going to preview the three conference tournaments that start on Wednesday using the models that were used yesterday. Same format as yesterday, so expect a brief analysis of the best teams…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: Tuesday Tournaments PreviewSo, today we going to preview the four conference tournaments that start tomorrow through the lens of the different models we have. Of course, I'll share which teams the models like, which teams are…statsplit (54)in hive-162177 • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2020: IntroductionLast year, I faced impossible odds. I had a 1 in 9.2 quintillion shot of scoring myself a perfect bracket. And I fell miserably short. All four models I developed picked the wrong team in the first…statsplit (54)in sports • 5 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.College Football Has A Sampling ProblemAlabama was ranked #1 in the AP Poll at the conclusion of the 2017 season. This was no surprise as they are regularly near the top of the poll and they had just beaten Georgia 26-23 in the national…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agosteemCreated with Sketch.Model Madness 2019: Final Four UpdateThis post serves as a brief update to show the latest results of the four models as the basketball tournament continues. Only four teams remain, so it is a good point to which models were good at…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019: Sweet 16 UpdateMy quest for a prefect bracket ended after one game. All four models picked the wrong team for the first game of the day. Well, that was fun while it lasted. Of course, even though all…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019: Chasing Perfection, The Road AheadSo the whole goal of this project was to do one thing: chase perfection. The brackets have been filled out. Now all there is left to do is wait. I have decided to run the four models that I…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019 - The EDM Bracket (Part 2)Today, we are continuing with the analysis of the NCAA Division 1 Tournament bracket through the lens of the Estimated Difference Model. This is a continuation of yesterday's analysis . Last…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019 - The EDM Bracket (Part 1)This week, I'm going to analyze the bracket from the perspective of my best model, the Estimated Difference Model (EDM). We'll go region by region, round by round, picking some teams, performing…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019 - Conference Championship Results, Simple Composite ModelToday is Selection Sunday. It is the most important day in college basketball and the day when we finally get a chance to look at the overall bracket and begin using the models that have been…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019 - Estimated Difference Likelihood ModelThere is less than a week until Selection Sunday when the group of 68 teams is finalized for this year's NCAA Division I college basketball championship. Which means I only have a few more sets of…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019 - Margin Adjusted SPMNow that we have a small collection of models, we can give one of them a little upgrade. Last time, I introduced the schedule plus-minus which looked at a team's resume and determined a team's…statsplit (54)in model-madness • 6 years agoModel Madness 2019 - Schedule Plus-MinusWith the start of the Atlantic Sun conference earlier today, now starts the exciting part of March Madness. The games mean more and the teams which will be a part of the field of 68 in two weeks…
