The hacking group Anonymous believes that Nasa is on the verge of announcing proof of alien life. For years, the space agency has been trawling through the universe, probing galaxies and solar systems, sifting through cosmic dust, spending millions if not billions searching for beings that did not originate on planet Earth.Really, they needn’t have bothered. I could have told them about my first alien encounter for free. It happened three years ago at a gala, where the great and good of London were gathered. Towards the end of the evening, a prominent politician gave a speech. He moved the crowd to laughter and cheers with his textbook public-school delivery and his cultivated, dishevelled charm. When he descended from the stage, a swarm of fans surrounded him.
I too drew closer to gawp at the embodiment of power and celebrity. And that was when I saw it. The waxy pallor of his face: a close approximation but not quite accurate simulacrum of human skin. The jerky movements that added comedy on stage but now seemed out of place in the personal conversations he was having. And lastly the eyes: dead and lifeless. The alien inside had fallen asleep and put his body suit on autopilot. I’ve observed that alien life forms seem to drift towards politics. From Washington to New Delhi to Nairobi, the aliens are on the rise and plotting world domination every night in their secret Twitter language of . One only has to look at the state of the planet – climate change out of control, never-ending wars, refugee crises – to agree that extra-terrestrials determined to destroy it must be running things.And they are getting bolder. The Nigerian president, muhammadu , has been missing for over a month on sick leave. Nothing has been heard from him, except an audio clip. Perhaps Anonymous will soon confirm my suspicions that there has been an alien abduction.
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I don't care about NASA. Here is my conclusion:5,184,000 planets must have human like life. Here how I got this number
Do you know how many grains of sand are there on all beaches of the planet? Astronomers estimate the count of stars on the observable universe to be larger than that. Assuming they are accurate, we can easily calculate how many earth like planets out there. Using complicated statistical formulas like standard deviation, bell curve, probability distribution …etc. There are 1,728,000,000 earths like planets. That is also how many grains of sand on my back yard. 100 ft long by 50 ft wide and we have sand down to 4ft. Now, if life can start by chance and expand and evolve to be you and me, I feel very safe in my conclusion.
The paradox of random events is that randomness is not random at all. These events follow certain statistical curves. Bell curve (the normal distribution) is one of these. Which says
• 68% of outcomes fall within one standard deviation of the mean.
• 95% of the outcomes fall within two standard deviations from the mean.
• All of the outcomes — about 99.7% — fall within three standard deviations from the mean.
If we are calculating the probability of simple life (as amino acids or not as 50/50 chance), we must have 1,728,000,000 X .5 =864000000 earth that have or will start a simple life. I can argue at this point that if amino acid has developed, it is not random anymore passed that. Life must follow the laws of chemistry and physics and ultimately leading to a full and complicated life. But let just stay with statistics and randomness.
If we to consider human as the most complicated life can get, than 1,728,000,000 X .003 =5184000 planet must have human like life.
Giving that number of planets and 13.5 billion years, at least, that the universe has been alive, I am sure that I have been wondering at least one million of these wonderful planets.
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The missing concrete number here is the standard deviation. Because we are stuck to this planet with limited means of exploring, we will never find that number. But we can guess. And that was my guess.
I hope you agree. If you do please vote, if you don’t you must believe on God. Because that is the only way for the universe to have only one earth with human like life. And I will see on the next planet.
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