First Season's Winter Storm Focuses Interior Northeast
Good morning everyone. Our first true winter storm of the season is almost upon us, but not before one more sunny and chilly day. Questions continue about the 1st and 3rd takes of this system, but we remain confident that the focus will be on interior parts of the Northeast as far as the heaviest snow, and we could get a small taste of winter on the front end and back end locally.
SATELLITE
Look for a sunny start this morning, then increasing clouds. It'll be a chilly one with highs in the upper 30's to low 40's. We'll fully cloud up tonight and lows will dip into the upper 20's to low 30's; setting us up for part 1 of our winter storm.
A broad area of moisture associated with low pressure in the Great Lakes will run into that cold air tomorrow morning. That'll help our first round of precip start out as a brief period of snow, then snow and sleet, before a changeover to a cold rain. Depending on how brief or extended that first round is, look for a trace to 2" of snow and sleet before it changes over and the rain washes it away.
The best chance to see the higher end of that spectrum, will be along the north shore of Long Island, and northern sections of Queens, Manhattan, and the Bronx. That being said, it still depends on how long the frozen precip lasts before the changeover. Also, south facing shores of Long Island may little if any accumulation.
Interior sections will hold onto the snow, sleet, and freezing rain as cold air locks in, making travel very hazardous. Overall, anyone N&W of the NYC area could see a few inches of snow and sleet before freezing rain knocks it down into a messy and crunchy strata.
The real action snow-wise starts when the energy transfers near the coast and colder air rushes back in. After a cold rain and a lull in the action, we'll begin to mix back in with sleet and snow, then a period of all snow overnight Monday.
Depending on how much energy is left and what the radar looks like, we could see another trace to 2"+ of snow. Once again, the best chance to see that higher end of the spectrum, will be on the north shore of Long Island, northern Queens, Manhattan, and the Bronx. Once again, south facing shores may wind up seeing little if any accumulation at all.
Let's see what the radar looks like and what the final dynamics look like, then we'll dial it in really well as far as final accumulations. I feel out of all of this mess, the biggest complication will actually be Tuesday morning's commute.
With temps dipping below freezing, we're going to see very slippery conditions for the AM rush as scattered flurries still dot the area. Any wet or white roads leftover from the more concentrated period of precip Monday night, will become icy and slick.
Mid to late day Tuesday, we return to the upper 30's to low 40's, then low 40's on Wednesday. Anything that does fall will be long gone. However, interior sections of the Northeast will be cleaning up for a few days with 6-12"+ of snow expected in a wide swath, and 12-18"+ possible in some higher elevations.
Please note that with regards to any tropical storms or hurricanes, should a storm be threatening, please consult your local National Weather Service office or your local government officials about what action you should be taking to protect life and property.
Posted from my blog with SteemPress : https://www.nycweathernow.com/first-seasons-winter-storm-focuses-interior-northeast/