O mercado de criptomoedas está relativamente “parado”. O bitcoin parece que está “esperando” indefinido antes de voltar a tomar alguma tendência altista ou baixista. Eu até falei um pouco sobre isso em uma postagem minha anterior:
O bitcoin está prestes a explodir
Mas aqui vou falar de outra coisa que percebi. É que aos poucos a percepção de risco está diminuindo.
Todos nós sabemos que quando o FUD está grande as pessoas vendem as suas altcoins e correm para o bitcoin por considerá-lo uma moeda mais bem estabelecida, o que diminuiria os riscos. Também porque o preço das altcoins são em grande parte uma função do preço do bitcoin. Isso faz com que a volatilidade das altcoins seja sempre maior que a do bitcoin. Então se o bitcoin está caindo, melhor correr pra ele que ele irá cair um pouco menos. E o inverso também é verdadeiro. Se o bitcoin começa a subir, as altcoins em média costumam subir mais que o bitcoin.
E isso se reflete na capitalização total do bitcoin. Por exemplo, antes de começar a crise de 2018 a capitalização do bitcoin chegou a meros 30% do total. Mas aí veio o FUD, a turma das altcoins correu para o bitcoin e hoje a capitalização dele subiu bastante e voltou a ficar acima de 50%.
Mas nesse exato momento a capitalização do bitcoin voltou a cair, mesmo que bem lentamente. Após atingir o máximo de pouco mais de 58% em meados de setembro, agora ele caiu para 51%. Isso significa que o FUD aos poucos está desaparecendo e o otimismo está voltando. E nos revela que tem muita gente disposta a investir nas altcoins. Mesmo com um cenário ainda indefinido, muita gente não está conseguindo “se segurar” e está resolvendo investir mesmo assim.
Em resumo, não sei qual será o próximo “estouro” do bitcoin, se para cima ou para baixo. E pra onde ele for ele irá levar junto todas as altcoins. Porém posso dizer com certeza que as altcoins estão fazendo a sua parte, despertando bastante interesse dos investidores, apesar das incertezas do momento. Imaginem vocês o que irá acontecer quando a incerteza diminuir!!
Gostou da leitura e quer mais? Aí vão algumas sugestões:
- Ninguém me disse que era impossível, então fui lá e fiz!
- Finalmente meu poder de voto recarregou
- O amor e a tecnologia
- As criptos jamais conseguirão a adoção em massa, a não ser que as stablecoins ganhem proeminência
- No Brasil de tédio ninguém morre
- A situação na Venezuela está calamitosa. Mas nós podemos ajudar, e é mais fácil do que você imagina.
- O bitcoin está prestes a explodir
- Derrotismo antecipado é masoquismo
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