SUMMARY
Bitcoin (BTC) overnight correction continues to put in the final touches of the second symmetrical triangl fractal. Several have asked if a breakout is potential at the blue wave d instead of waiting for the e completion. Yes, and so it means that not every triangle needs to display the five abcde waves. We've actually shown in prior posts, traingles doing such breakouts at wave d in Cryptos. However, the white arrow scenario is preferrable because it provides closer proximity to the apex and time duration.
Several have also asked if the blue e wave of the smaller fractal could be complete since price did touch the lower blue trend line. Yes! Here is the microwave counts to show that scenario. The blue wave shows the projected direction. Elliott Waves (1) has impulse subwaves and wave (2) could complete a triangle as wave 2. So, wave (3 )could breach the upper blue line.
The logarithmic support line projects a touch point at around $7,622 and if there is to be a reversal, I don't think it's likely before this support line is touched. That's why I don't place the above breakout scenario as primary. Again, this support needs to hold against any decisive breach; though, pokes are desired able as bullish wicks.
Legal Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.
Please consider reviewing these Tutorials on:
Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial #1
Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial #2
Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial #3
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Laddering Example with EOS
Tutorial on the use of Fibonacci & Elliott Waves
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I see youtubers callinf 3k bitcoin. A signal the correction is over.
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this time BTC will have breakout, finger crossed
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When we were prepared for the next lower low, it does the opposite and goes up. 😀
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You've got it spot on . Thanks for sharing
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@haejin as usual love your TA!
Question sir....is the below possible where instead of E being where it is it could maybe be the bottom of C instead where we have one more wave down? From my study, wave C is usually the longest in a triangle. This would also support what appears to be a consensus that we may be heading to $7200?
https://www.coinigy.com/s/i/5aac1d0f4ece6/
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I think there will be another wave down, many others doing TA think so as well. At least a good chance of it to around 7500 or 7200. I only see 4 waves down from the large bear flag in the middle of the wedge. Your labeled E would make wave 5. Breakout is always possible to negate that count though. Full length 5th would put us at the 7250 or so and truncated 5th would likely create a double bottom.
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Thanks for the TA, gives me something to think about.
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Thank you for the explanations and projections @haejin. If I may ask, are you a professional trader of crypto? Do you just trade for yourself or do you trade on behalf of others? I am asking not because I want you to trade for me (won't be able to afford you probably!) but because I want to know more about working as a trader from home trading for clients. Even to start small, like friends and family, and then build that up to get a good profile and have good experience and references.
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Enjoyed your TA.. Thank you for your time and Energy Haejin!
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Thanks for the overview.
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needs to break 10,500.00 to be on a real bull run back to 20K . Hopefully we will be there by July
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what an amazing TA!
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Thanks
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Exceptional evaluation, very balanced, leaves open the possibilities of break-out versus break-down. My money is on break-out. Go BTC!
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I certainly am hoping for the breakout and the upward swing! If this doesn't happen today or the weekend, I personally feel that we will see some big moves over the next couple of months and especially by year end. As it is Friday...I'll be using some of my paycheck to continue to BUY THE DIP! I hope all make some good choices and stay positive in the Cryptoverse. Thanks for posting...great info and insight.
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I’m still afraid we will retrace 99% of big wave 1. That would really suck
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Nah. Just enjoy the ride. There are a lot of money already in and a lot are just waiting to get in. There is no place for the 99% retrace.
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Agreed. Worst case scenario is probably retrace to $6K or $4K. We have to wait and see if the 200 DMA holds as strong support, or not. HODL'ers are not "out of the woods," yet. People with a bunch of cash, waiting to get in are hoping it happens - but we all have to just wait and see; respond to the market as it happens, depending on your current position.
Right now, there are a lot of different & conflicting opinions about where BTC price action is headed. Most of that is based on the people doing Technical Analysis. You have to remain aware that the daily news cycle, world events, the action in the stock & bond markets, and a whole lot of other things can & do have a psychological & real impact on the price action. And, right now events are happening quickly: good news one day, bad the next. I think people tend to over-react - especially people who are speculators in the crypto markets. It's what makes this space so volatile.
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I am putting my head in the sand, and keep it there until the crypto market is bullish again (I won’t, but maybe I should)
Thanks for the in depth response!
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I hope you are right. I don’t really love rollercoasters, but I got in it and will enjoy the ride. It’s just sooooo long!!!!
At least I’m getting my money worth on the ride ;-)
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Those corrections are so long and awful, because it is the price you have to pay to get the rewards when the price goes to the Moon. Only true HODLers gets the rewards. Not every person can handle it and that is the reason why it pays so much.
Or at least I hope that it is so, because this is the first BIG correction for me. 😂
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Lol. I should have sold more on the way up in December.
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That is a good lesson for the next bulls run. 😉
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Interesting analysis. Thanks for sharing
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We need an exact date, time and what to wear for the occasion.
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Price is basing, which is a indication that the momentum has subsided. Price is also sitting in daily demand, which indicates buyers. Price needs to absorb the sell orders at $8700, then $9200 to create a new uptrend on the 4 hr chart.
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You really are a great analyzer. Thanks for the info
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Excellent post thanks...
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Excellent post....
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I Upvoted And Followed you. do The same for me and we could help each other Earn.
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I Upvoted And Followed you. do The same for me and we could help each other Earn.
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Your account sometimes times out the gateway.
Expected to be a DoDOS attack.
You need a secondary site to prepare for an emergency.
ex) Twitter
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This is a global problem for Steemit.
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Good work thanks for sharing. I love btc
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As always Haejin, thanks for your sharing your expertise. I was watching Coin Mastery today and Carter Thomas was again comparing Bitcoin to the price of gold chart and noting similarities. Since your analysis of the price of gold is bearish, it dawned on me to ask if there is really a similarity between Bitcoin and gold's price behavior and whether Bitcoin may follow the same bearish path as you think is probable for gold. You have noted in the past the possibility (though not probability) of a larger degree of scale abc decline for Bitcoin. Is there anything about the comparison of Bitcoin to gold that we should 'keep in mind'?
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Congratulations, your post received one of the top 10 most powerful upvotes in the last 12 hours. You received an upvote from @ranchorelaxo valued at 140.50 SBD, based on the pending payout at the time the data was extracted.
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Congratulations @haejin, this post is the fifth most rewarded post (based on pending payouts) in the last 12 hours written by a Superhero or Legend account holder (accounts hold greater than 100 Mega Vests). The total number of posts by Superhero and Legend account holders during this period was 49 and the total pending payments to posts in these categories was $2834.02. To see the full list of highest paid posts across all accounts categories, click here.
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I heard you like fractals
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Storiqa tokens started trading today :
https://steemit.com/crypto-news/@artofwisdom/storiqa-tokens-now-trading-on-exchanges
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Which Chart Pattern Do You Believe in the Most?! https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@investingtips/every-chart-pattern-i-can-see-on-bitcoin-usd-right-now
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