SUMMARY
Bitcoin (BTC) overnight price action shows it to be below the Neck Line. IF this count continues, a brief rise for white wave 2 of C is expected. This pathway is not calling for a lower low but a wave an ABC retracement.
The target is set to the 0.786 Fib zone as the minimum travel for the H&S shows $7,670; beyond the 0.618 Fib level.
I'm keeping an eye on this wedge pattern as well; given how BTC has the trait to form these repeatedly. IF a breakout occurs, then the wedge could serve as the wave 2 and no travel towards the 0.786 Fib level would be required.
The wedge would still deliver a 0.5 Fib level retracement which is a common retracement zone.
Meanwhile, teh larger Inverted Head & Shoulders pattern is still in play and has not been invalidated. I've angled the Neck Line to reflect the fractal with the smaller inverted H&S that was completed.
The video has more details on this; but here is the Cycle degree of trend for Bitcoin showing that from the genesis to about $20k; it was wave 1 and the current correction is fulfilling the role of the wave 2 correction. What comes after wave 2? Wave 3 and the distance it can travel will be jaw dropping and the speed at which it can deliver such 5x, 10x, 20x; 30x; 40x rates of rise will be a sight to behold. So, what matter does it make if Bitcoin makes a lower low? Of Bitcoin, at such levels I would be an aggressive buyer!
Legal Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor nor is any content in this article presented as financial advice. The information provided in this blog post and any other posts that I make and any accompanying material is for informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice of any kind. One should consult with a financial or investment professional to determine what may be best for your individual needs. Plain English: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.
Please consider reviewing these Tutorials on:
Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial #1
Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial #2
Elliott Wave Counting Tutorial #3
Laddering and Buy/Sell Setups.
Laddering Example with EOS
Tutorial on the use of Fibonacci & Elliott Waves
@haejin's Trading Nuggets
Essay: Is Technical Analysis a Quantum Event?
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BTC is floundering. Perhaps the novelty is wearing off.
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The three, forest, triangles, lines, legal mumbo jumbo, wave 1,2,3,4,5, lower lows, head & shoulders, dandruff...
I really do miss your Chalice of Wealth and destination $23,000 titles! 😉
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Take a look to the bearish count:
It seems like a falling wedge with an ABCDE correction
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Image is too small, what's that price target you've got there at the bottom?
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$4300-4500. Right click and open image in a new tab to see the fullscreen image.
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I personally know about a hundred people who're waiting for exactly that ;)
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http://t.me/BitcoinMining_Bot?start=399044302
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@haejin ...i think this is not the right time to make profit with bitcoin.... As it is evident from past months the value of bitcoin is fluctuating rapidly... Lets wait till the value stablizes a bit to make the actual profit...
Kindly give some suggestions regarding same...
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Price fluctuations are precisely why you can make money from Bitcoin. What you need is to keep a chunk of your portfolio liquid. That way you will be in a position to buy the lows and sell when btc is up.
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I personally hate trading bear markets, sometimes you wipe out a week's worth of trading gains with a single jaw-dropping fall at the wrong time. I much prefer trading on the fluctuations of a sideways or uptrend market.
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Fair enough and personally i didn't try trading the B wave in this particular correction as it didn't really look likely to be worth the risk - as you've said you could lose a big chunk of cash. Lets see what happens once we get down towards 8k. I've got a feeling it'll be a slow next few days
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Nice point sir
@talesfrmthecrypt ..thanks for your suggestion.. i appreciate you
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I'm with you on this, I don't like trading highly volatile bear markets; sudden drops can cause head-spinning losses. I prefer to wait.
Here is my take on where I will be buying in, please let me know what you think!
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@waygreenergrass/bitcoin-price-trend-analysis-possible-support-targets
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Yeahhhh ...@waygreenergrass ... Atleast someone is with me...thankyou sir for your opinion...kindly stay in touch in future too...
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Bitcoin is up n down with big swings lately, it defies all ta lately. Lol
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Bitcoin is a beast, the more studying i do the more i realise that after each of Bitcoins corrections it took a years to sort out, of course there is lighting etc on the horizon but this could last another few months.
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Could be. Also could be that we're entering a new phase for the young asset, as black market investors are chased out by the IRS taking notice of bitcoin and being replaced by institutional investors.
The level of corporate interest in these coins has increased dramatically over the last six months. Big corporations take at least a few months to make big plans. Maybe it'll be a long wait, but maybe they will be racing each other to get integrated with the blockchain.
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Hahaha awesome!
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https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@waygreenergrass/bitcoin-price-trend-analysis-possible-support-targets
I don't think it's that unpredictable on the big scale.
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Ive made some good profits on trading bitcoin lately. Thanks for your charts!
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We all owe @haejin a lot for his clues and guides. You are only among the few who openly acknowledge such immense gratitude. Thanks, and Cheers! I am following you.
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Good analysis!
Mine is a little different. What do you think about that we're in the 4th subwave right now and preparing for the last 5th wave before a smaller correction? My take is that we're doing an 3-3-5 ABC, and currently in B wave.
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@benkalashnikov/3qtcuo-bitcoin-btc-analysis-update
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Hey guys i would be really interested on what the community overall thinks of the market right now ! Does it look like it will go up or do you think it will go down? Would love to know what you think just comment with down or up please! :)
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Institutions, regulations and the right mix between FUD and measured encouragement have hypnotized the sheeple (you, me) into a sedate investment pattern. Price these days isn't really that volatile anymore, the rises and falls get determined by bots.
There will be regular-surprising dips to make the chickens panic and take their money, but on the whole we will be watching a slow ascent towards 20k in late May/early June and about 30 in October, maybe 35 at Christmas. If you want to earn money fast, try alts or day-trade. otherwise hodl.
Business insiders have opined that in their opinion, the crypto market has been successfully defused. Dumb money (millions of inexperienced little investors, most smartphone users from third world countries) have learned that it's not them who are making the market, it's them who pay.
With charts going down or sideways very frequently, that is two thirds of the time, little investors are bound to lose, so their interest is waning.
They are now mass-withdrawing from the market, understanding that "get rich quick" is no longer an option.
Skyrocketing cryptos will be a rare high-risk exception, and only insiders to a pump can profit from them.
Therefore, little investors will be either sending their money back to their bank accounts, where it can have real-life use, or trying to play the forex markets.
Crypto, from now on, will be in the hands of the very people it was designed to ward off : the money industry.
If you watch the crypto charts with hindsight these days, you cannot overlook that the regular, mechanical action there is mostly being caused by the market makers' trading bots, with occasional pumps and dumps to shoot off stop losses and sell orders of the remaining, clueless human operators.
Deal with it or keep listening to the massive steemit prophets, and quit your job as it will be a 24/7 affair.
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Firstly you have a point there but i doubt that all the bots in the world are linked together and move money the same way to manipulate the prie in a way that is somehow relevant i think that the wales are moving the price more than the bots.
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Bots are programmed a lot alike, their users can adjust them - and he users are often whales ;)
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What does it matter whether it's bots operated by humans or humans themselves? As long as they keep buying higher than I did, I'll be very happy.
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You will find that bots are way faster than you, but also that they have no emotions, and TA is built on human emotions. A market made up exclusively by bots might simply go sideways forever, having ups and downs of 500+ or minus where everybody would buy and sell, buy and sell... that wouldn't be bad.
The danger lies in that they are programmable and that their masters will sometimes take the rudder, and especially when normal users do what can be expected of normal users, like place their stop losses where all the massive prophets tell them to place their stop losses.
In such a case a low will suddenly dip way past your stop loss, trigger it, go way lower than anyone could expect and then shoot up again before anyone has time to place an order, or they will suddenly shoot high up to trigger a pocket of buy orders, which makes the rate rise even higher, then the humans who like to buy green will jump in to ride the spike, which will then magically turn red and eat all their gains... this is how the combo of bots and institutional investors can damage you.
Algos basically NEVER buy higher than you do, but they may buy every low, which you can't.
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You're talking about a much shorter time-frame than I am. I'm not stupid enough to try to beat bots at day-trading! The bot version of me would obviously win, even if I were the best human trader in the world.
However, just because the micro-term is dominated by bots doesn't mean that you can't beat the market by expanding into a wider time frame where lightning fast orders lose their advantage. Algorithms have limitations, and many bots lose money, because of the bigger trends. Who are they losing money to? Well, to those of us playing a longer game than their algorithms are designed to comprehend.
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91% of traders lose money when they trade.
If you're saying that you'll just hodl, that is okay with me.
You just need strong nerves in case you bought BTC at below 9k and watched it rise to 19k and now it's down at nine with a further dip straight ahead, more nerve if you bought above - and even if you have the nerve you still also need to afford the time, many months.
Ideally, you should already be rich when you start to trade.
Much better psychological base.
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hodl? Too late, I already sold above 14 and bought again at 8 and sold again at 11. That's what I mean by "not short-term." Day trading is too volatile and fast for human hands, but week-trading and month-trading are a little more predictable.
Really though I prefer when the market is up and I can just go with BTC/Altcoin pairs and watch my portfolio grow no matter what trade I make, haha. Dollar/BTC pairs in a down market is stressful, you're right it helps that I already own my house, I can just easily watch my portfolio tank and not even notice an impact on my life.
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Seems we're all having the same problem, and getting wiser ;)
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Both!
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I think it will take a while before bitcion stabilizes on double figures. I am not good at crypto prediction, but it is my honest opinion that it may take us to around July this years to hit above 15K. I like to be optmistic, and to tell myself that the value will rise sooner than later, but i am also not blind to the fact that the current drop is the second in just about two months. So it is a really unpredictable time.
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Ask yourself how likely it is that new demand will enter the picture - whether that be from individuals in developing nations as is often possited as a growth driver, or the potential for 'institutional money'. If you think there will be buyers to outstrip suppy then the price will increase. If not.....
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Don't forget that available supply also matters. The vast majority of supply is held by just a few individuals, and the way they decide to sell or hold effectively determines the available supply. If they hoard, prices rise. If they dump, prices fall.
Until they have unloaded a lot more of their stakes, we would need to see orders of magnitude of shifts in demand to offset the whales' potential for supply manipulation.
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Down, here's why:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@waygreenergrass/bitcoin-price-trend-analysis-possible-support-targets
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Hard for many to see the forests when they want that release of dopamine from price rising so bad
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Haejin i seen this today from another technical analysist in the game as long as you. Its hard to accept but it makes a lot of sense. When i first seen it i was thinking no way but the more i studied it the more it made sense.
That this correction could take months if not years to calm down.
On the positive side, it does mean that we can fill our bags so in the coming years when bitcoin rises again the next waves of multi millionaires will be us your followers, as you are clearly rich already...lol
Would like your professional opinion, please. Thank you.
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Interesting chart. Unfortunately meaningless to me.
I liked the part about millionaires. 🙌
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Hiya, can you share a link to that technician please? Ta!
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We had that scenario several times already, weeks ago - you can find it among the posts at my profile
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According to the analysis I have done. Configuration will face a strong support area that reflects the uptrend. Within the limits of : 8600$ -- 8800$
This is just my opinion. Thank!
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Bitcoin will go to 100000 $.
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Thanks for the analysis - great to hear you back.
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Interesting analysis. Many thanks! :-)
I guess I'll just wait for the moon.
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The real gateway drug!
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Thank you for your charts. It is a big help.
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What is your idea about other cryptocurrency?
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Thank you so much for Everydays Updates <3
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Report very well explained, Bitcoin is in a stage of changes that good investors who apply good strategies can have good profits, since many people do not see the opportunity that others can see
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You are not a financial advisor but you've got the fluctuation pattern of the market. :D
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BTC is the way to go. Thanks for sharing this educative content
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probably $ 9000 it's support area
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Flagged for disagreement on rewards and NOT revenge. Thanks for your feedback on my posts. I'll try harder next time. Maybe I should take you example and post at a higher frequency. Have a great day!
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After 2 hours there are nearly 6k views and 300 votes. Low quality spam posts do not receive that level of support. You disagree with one of the greatest success stories thus far on steemit. Your petty group of degenerates are what is wrong with this platform.
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I take my hat off for you @danpaulson. You say it all to well. There is an organized brigade that thinks the right to earn from steemit is only their. You can imagine they go as far as paying whoever is willing to spam @haejin's blog.
What is very disappointing is that they do it by conning some ignorant members of their SBD and steempower.
But at any rate, they are failing. And will fail still.
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Thanks @icomment. Unfortunately they continue to organise and downvote and push their agenda. Hopefully we will be able to hold out... and hopefully Dan Larimore fixes some of the incentive and distribution problems when he creates social media daps on EOS.
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True, hopeflyll The EOS will be aan improvement on everything. Although for me i have the saem reservations. It appears to me that whereas there are 'incentive and distribution' loopholes in steemit, still, the Quarrel against @haejin has nothing to do with them. The anti-@haejin team for me is a mafia team that seeks to clout and control steemit for their own agenda's. They find anybody else outside their circle who is smarter and making a bigger investment, and therefore getting bigger rewards to be a threat, and one to be fought at that.
That for me explains the @haejin hate campaign. But to be honest, we are all here to earn, at the end of the day. We each have upon us the freedom, as is so left for everyone in any 'earning market', to find creative ways in which to lead in the competition. @haejin has found his way. Are we to hate him now for being the smarter one? How fair is that? Why not ask him for tips, for support? I personally find the anti @hajein troupe to be the exact enemy of steemit. Steemit is about creativity all through, in content, in earning mechanics....name them.
So EOS or no EOS, this kind of self-interest groups will still exist, and maybe it is up to us who are until now the victims, to become better organized on how to fight back, be it an eye for an eye!
Yes, for me i am dedicating myself to getting back at them. @haejin is obviosuly too caught up and busy analyzing cryptos, and rightfully so. Let him focus on that, for me i am still a student, and have at least as much time as i can squeeze out. I intend to organize a @haejin respons team charged with two responsibilities, one, to engage in intellectual discourse insofar as out thinking the Mafia brigade is concerned, and this is easy, most of them are only shouting tins who never give any sound argument for their actions,
And two, a dirty-mud wrestling team to fight back using the same methods spamming methods that the mafias are using, or even better methods, i mean, we are a creative team, and can find better ways.
The mafia's main weapon was at first flags, but they have realized that affects them too, now they are focusing more on DDos spamming! Can't we do the same? We know their leaders, their commanders, and the accounts they hold, we can also do the same. It just needs a few individuals willing to sacrifice the time and effort to stay awake all day and all night, to keep spam posting on their blogs just as they do on @haejins posts and on our comments on @haejins blog...
Gladly, i have that time. But i am still watching, and watching, and planning....
Thanks , a lot mate.
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When bitcoin start the upward trend , it will be something to see!!
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Good morning Haejin! Thank you for the awesome chart and insight of what's to come. Have a great day good sir!
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You made an amazing post ! Upvoted ffollowed you.rom @antobrampu. I
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20000Ş. will rise
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Do you know that Jesus has been decentralised too?
https://jesuscoin.network
Please do not take this as financial or religious advice!
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Thank you my friend for the update.
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Let's hope this is true. I'm so tired and don't know what to expect of the market right now.
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The best that that happened to Bitcoin the lowering of Fees. It is also faster. I moved some coins to get the Bitcoin Private and it went well. Bitcoin is in a stronger position now.
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send me your whats app number or facebook id please
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what it means is,.... sell now to buy at a better price later.....
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Guys, if you check the sub-wabes of wave A (1st picture), you will find 3rd wave is actually the shotest. 1st - $1089, 3rd - $933 and 5th - $ 1337.
check it!
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Thanks for sharing this post.keep posting
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Thank you
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Yay, video updates are back! We hope you enjoyed your travels @haejin, thank you for continuing to update us whale you were gone.
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Thank you
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Great post.
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https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@maximzvonarev/bitcoin-btc-usdt-vechernee-obnovlenie-moi-predydushii-prognoz-byl-100-rabochim-ozhidaetsya-spusk-eshe-glubzhe
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Your insight on cycles towards the end of this video is so heartening, and reassures me that when I zoom out to look at the bigger picture, rather than worry about the dips, I'm doing it right. Thanks for your wisdom Haejin!
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Comment your Bitcoin price prediction for tomorrow!
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Congratulations @haejin, this post is the third most rewarded post (based on pending payouts) in the last 12 hours written by a Superhero or Legend account holder (accounts hold greater than 100 Mega Vests). The total number of posts by Superhero and Legend account holders during this period was 52 and the total pending payments to posts in these categories was $4133.37. To see the full list of highest paid posts across all accounts categories, click here.
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Congratulations, your post received one of the top 10 most powerful upvotes in the last 12 hours. You received an upvote from @ranchorelaxo valued at 227.01 SBD, based on the pending payout at the time the data was extracted.
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Thank you for the post Hajein this is my first post ever on steemit and i have been quietly following and reading every post from you like a ninja in the shadows and i finally had to courage to reply to you. I wanted to ask you about ICON and what your TA on them as I have put alot of my savings in it as I too am korean and believe in it as my heritage. Thank you!
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Consider this one..
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I love you. Kisses!
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The value of bitcoin is still fluctuating, it's not advisable to trade now. Just let it stabilize for now and then later you can trade.
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ese va a subir en estos dias :)
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It's hard to see your mouse movements btw
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Your wave 3 appears to be the shortest...
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http://t.me/BitcoinMining_Bot?start=399044302
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Coins mentioned in post:
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Top cryptocurrency bitcoin recovered to $11,000 on Monday, having almost doubled in value since hitting a low of $6,000 earlier this month.
On Sunday, its price rose to $11,328 following news that an unknown investor had bought $344 million worth of bitcoin between February 9 and February 12. The purchase was preceded by a huge sell-off that had erased more than 50 percent of the cryptocurrency market value amid speculation of growing regulation and security fears.
It has turned into a pump and dump, the ones that are pumping in this kind of money pull out on the high and rebuy on the low. They have so much invested if they pull out with a few of their friends down it all goes and then reinvest at the low. Welcome to a unregulated stock market controlled by fiat currency from whatever gov you are in.
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Bitcoin is up & down with huge swings lately, it defies all lately.Thanks for sharing.
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