Here is the EW count with ABC pattern still playing out for the correction to wave IV. The first level C could end is marked with C? and it's at around $2,800; which is an area of major horizontal support (second dotted black horizontal line in second chart). The second area wave C can end is marked with C??, another strong support area at around $2,000
Horizontal Support? The dotted black lines. Notice how the current bounce came off the horizontal black dotted line support. If the current bounce is wave B and it tops and starts down again for wave C; then a very nice Head and Shoulders Top could be made (LS, H, RS).
What could be a BULLISH outlook? Well, as early as the beginning of the weekend, I was still convinced that BTC had maybe one more push higher to go. Is that possible? Yes. Here is a count for that:
IF this occurs, then SELL into this scenario as it would beome gift horse to exit before Wave IV.
The SUM of the above is what? BTC can go either up or down! How useful is that? Not very.
I believe wave III is still placed, but if further development in prices show a change, I'll post an update. As you can see, corrections are extremely difficult to count and predict given 36 possible combinations. That's why standing aside and out is most safe during waves 2 and 4.
If this blog post has entertained or helped you to profit, please follow, upvote, resteem and/or consider buying me a beer:
BTC Wallet - 19gHMJc9wi9KkP47wokz8y4cFNgz1kAAUE
ETH Wallet - 0xf83641dbf1a53498eae6d0d568c969790da48a36
LTC Wallet - LU1mEw1LHvffoWf9VDEVdP7Day4jv6VLqu
EOS Wallet - 0xf83641dbf1a53498eae6d0d568c969790da48a36
Legal Mumbo Jumbo: This is only my opinion, make of it what you wish. What does this mean? It means it's not advice nor recommendation to either buy or sell anything! It's only meant for use as informative or entertainment purposes.
The difference between crypto and stocks is the speed they move. A stock correction can take weeks to play out but a crypto correction can be over in hours. Unfortunately I am not able to spend the time researching and watching markets and making trades etc so I am forced to take longer term positions.
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No Plunge Protection Team in cryptos!
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Agreed and a lot of automated trading, so drops go deep and fast. Still, this is where the fun is!
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so it can go either way, But what is the percentage chance or likelihood of it going down vs it going up?
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I think Haejin wrote in a blog he is right about 83 percent of the time, so I took 17 percent of my capital that was to be used for bitcoin and just bought assuming wave IV is finished, if it's just started the other 83 percent is ready to fire after the correction.
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LOL! Good math! I'm actually 88%
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My primary count is down and remain so. I haven't seen price change to alter my primary count.
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I do agree with you, but as we all know sometimes outside factors influence buyers decisions. Thus 83 percent of me is with you . Either way, this little mini crash at the moment is going to make profit.
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$7,000 Bitcoin HERE WE COME :-D
That is the target that Goldman Sachs has given its investors.
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IMHO, not until Wave IV correction is finished. It just started.
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NOOOOOO :( !!! Haha
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Please use my analysis only to augment your due diligence.
Kind Regards,
@haejin
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Patiently waiting...grrrr
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Pleasantly waiting is better! LOL
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We'll be back in the green eventually. How long is always the question, but I'm a long term holder.
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I agree, holding onto the old Turkey works very well! On stocks too.
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meep
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I closely keep my eyes on precious metals market as well. One guy I've been following for years is Stewart Thompson. Why? Because he seems to get his calls right quite often - actually most of the time. For some time he's been covering cryptos too.
Here is today's freebie from Stewart. He makes an interesting comparison between Bitcoin and gold with their possible corrections to come. Check if you will.
http://www.321gold.com/editorials/thomson_s/thomson_s_090517.html
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So if this is a short bounce the top of the bounce might be around 4500 BTC before it goes down to 3800 then up again and then REALLY DOWN to 2000-2000+?
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