BITCOIN CASH (BCH) forking was fear mongered by many who had something to gain. Others were just fearful and SOLD their Bitcoins and dumped it all into LITECOIN because some soothsayer said so. Others blindly followed some youtube personalities into dumping their Bitcoins for the "safety" of cash.
**THEY ALL MISSED OUT MASSIVELY ON FREE MONEY!!!
THESE same persons will be determined to NOT repeat that same mistake with BITCOIN Gold!
THE PROJECTED MASS HAVOC DID NOT MATERIALIZE post BCH fork!! Instead, NEW ALL TIME HIGHS were achieved for Bitcoin!
BITCOIN (BTC) will NOT be UNSEATED by ANY of these FORKED COINS! The Network Effect of BITCOIN is just TOO MASSIVE to OVERTAKE.**
SO, IMHO, BITCOIN holders WILL get FREE MONEY with the upcoming BITCOIN GOLD fork. Will you MISS OUT ON THIS?
I think you're making some good points regarding the fearmongering on both sides, but I think the 2X hardfork is a bit more complicated due to a number of factors.
The 2X agreement (NYA), which is backed by many miners, businesses and most of the major exchanges, as they are the ones that will benefit the most from the lower fees and faster confirmation times.
The major players want the 2X increase badly because the fees are hitting their bottom line big time! If the miners and exchanges get together, they can list the 2X chain as the main bitcoin chain and the other side won't be able to do a damn thing.
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I don't think Miners will give up $300k per day revenue that easily.
For Bitcoin, any and all decisions must be made by the following Parties:
I don't see that much shifting away from Bitcoin.
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Ok, but miners and merchants have massive business costs and users don't. So, using this logic, why do users get a say when they can leave and use something else anytime they wish, while miners can't just switch from mining as they would incur big losses?
It would seem to me that the miners should have the biggest say due to their monetary investments in mining infrastructure.
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Why can't we all just switch to a better, faster, cheaper, private coin that has actual governance that solved the entire block size debate in a matter of hours.
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I know we've discussed this before, but I'll throw out a new angle for the discussion. Perhaps the other methods are not actually superior simply because they are not known by the general public. I get asked about bitcoin just about every day from people I know, and then from people who just heard I knew something about it. I have never once, ever, not one time, been asked about another coin outside of crypto based websites. In fact, I know some very intelligent people who are into bitcoin sort of on the side, and even those people didn't know a coin market this big even existed outside of bitcoin.
There may very well be a better search algorithm than google's, but you'd spend most of your life trying to convince even a few people that it's better than google.....just because of their dominance. Same way iphones are built on technology that Android phones have had for many years in some cases, yet they outsell the other phones even when the reviews are completely negative.
Branding and brand awareness play a significant role in people's sentiment toward a product. You will hear things like: "Well I just like how easy it is to get a bitcoin wallet and get started" - Even if they are incorrect, it will be nearly impossible to convince someone that a coin they have never heard of is worth moving their finances into. People are confused enough about BTC and BCH.....now add BCG....more confusion, and in confusion, people revert back to the last know good configuration....bitcoin.
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Your reasons make me love Dash even more. Dash is doing everything right (https://www.dashforcenews.com/). All of the intelligent people will eventually get out of BTC. The idiots will certainly get burnt. Miners hate BTC and merchants don't really like it either. Amazon will never accept BTC because even if Amazon wanted to, BTC is technically incapable of Amazon integration. Amazon has 600 TX/s
All you need is to do research.Eventually smart money will flee BTC. Merchant adoption isn't going anywhere for BTC and Eastern Europe, Africa, Japan and south Korea will be more receptive for alt-coins.
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I agree. And the world does move and adapt more quickly than it seems like it used to. I KNEW when I was younger that Marijuana would NEVER be legal for recreation in the US during my lifetime. Everyone KNEW it....but he were are. Knowledge spreads so much faster these days, and people are looking for ways to enrich their lives in a non classical model if possible. Also, the marijuana example is regional and a country to country thing, and controlled.....this digital currency thing is going to be a hard bull for the clown to put back in the cage.
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Your claim is especially true in crypto-space. A month in stock market is like a day in crypto. Tides will change in a matter of years. I do believe that there is a near 100% possibility of another financial crisis before the End of Trump presidency (poor guy. most of it isn't even his fault).
An even like this will drive many into cryptos. The prices will go up like gold. The increased Tx volume will be very bad for BTC. The forks will be negatively affected by carrying Bitcoin brand and alt-coins will rise.All of this will happen over the course of few months. There will be people who'd still treat BTC as a store of value. But dominance will fall. I mean BTC doesn't sponsor anything. You can't build a business on top of it (like NEM, ETH, FCT,SYS,LBRY, etc)
Above all the reasons for block size limit makes me torn between conspiracy accusations and cringe/apathy towards the small blocks advocates. They make ZERO business sense. One more reason to love Dash. 400MB and beyond.
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For Users, the transaction volume will follow their level of actions or usage. It hasn't gone down. If so they all would have already switched to DASH or LTC with instant transaction. But they didn't. Why? It weren't the users who asked for BCH....and they got free money and now what? BCH is less than 12% of BTC. Not taking over the network effect.
If Miners had the biggest say, Bitcoin wouldn't be Bitcoin. I believe the merchants and users have the greater degree of say.
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It's not miners or users; it's the first mover advantage, nostalgia and sentiment. People stick with what is familiar. BTC is the posterchild for entire blockchain. Too many zealots who are preaching the greatness of BTC etc. But when it comes to the developing nations (especially Africa and Eastern Europe) alt-coins have a great chance. https://www.dashforcenews.com/dash-teams-operate-5-different-african-countries-dedicated-continent-wide-adoption/
I also think Japan will be a good ground for alt-coins and we'll see BTC market share shrink in Japan in the future.
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Bitcoin does have massive infrastructure in place, but a few of the major alts are also benefiting greatly from this infrastructure. For example, the amount of altcoin-supporting Bitcoin ATMs is growing with each passing month:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@techwizardry/plenty-of-new-bitcoin-and-altcoin-atms-dash-ether-litecoin-come-online-in-september
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Yes, firs mover advantage gave Bitcoin its current massive network effect unbeatable by any other coin.
There will always be other coins. Yes. For sure.
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As discussed its first mover advantage. Most people outside of the world of crypto have heard of nothing but Bitcoin. They are unaware of the 900+ alt coins out there. Granted most are just clones of bitcoin anyway, but the point is, if we really want crypto to reach mass adoption we need to stop forking (or creating alt coins) every time we see a slight advantage. If I created a rival to Visa with fractionally lower fees, or slightly faster transactions, no one would care. Its all about the network effect and the name.
If you want crypto to succeed, back bitcoin. Improvements can come later.
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Damn right ma'am! Upvoted your comment!
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Miners and Nodes literally do make the rules. If either stops doing what they are doing, there is no network anymore, it all ceases to exist.
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Agreed. I sold my BCH at the first $700 spike, then bought back at around $300 and sold again at over $600 (thanks to @haejin). While i don't feel bitcoin gold will do that well I WELCOME the free money anyhow.
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Yes. Only because I kinda gave up on bitcoin all together. I stopped supporting it when transaction went over a $1
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I sent a transaction for ten cents (226 Satoshis) this week and it confirmed in 17 hours :-D You can also send (BTC/LTC/ETH) from GDAX for FREE :)!!!
If you don't believe me look at this:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@hotsauceislethal/bitcoin-network-test-ridiculously-low-fee
Transaction ID- https://blockchain.info/tx/94175e07dddd426e3d628c9d8f6d2b17eafc961737177465ae695be2f46a01d8
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Dash transactions have always confirmed in 15 minutes for me. It's simply the best service I've experienced. BTC is a relic. On the other hand most alt-coins are way better. My top 3 are Dash, NEM and PIVX. There is simply no reason for me to use BTC. All the merchants who accept BTC also accept Visa and Visa is instand (like Dash/PIVX) and at times even cheaper than BTC.
I doubt BTCGold would outdo BCH. People who own GPUs are mining Monero and other cryptonote coins.
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I will definitely be testing my mining gear on BTG(name?). Controlled mining and higher payouts possible. As far as speed, nothing beats Verge that I know of....that is out already and functional anyway. I'm usually confirmed and moving currency within a couple minutes max. Occasionally a little longer, many times within seconds.
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If you use InstantSend it's 1.3 seconds. It's what Dash claims. I haven't used a stopwatch. But the number seem accurate. It's simply instant. PIVX is pretty much a Dash ripoff (like LTC to BTC). So you should expect similar results from PIVX. I haven't used XVG.
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If it happens, it will be just another altcoin, Bitcoin Cash will crash and Bitcoin will continue its up trend even more as the specter of hard forks is left behind
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That's possible. But, for me, there is a huge difference between possible and probable. My TA shows that BCH won't crash, rather climb high with Bitcoin. Here is my analysis:
https://steemit.com/bitcoin/@haejin/bitcoin-cash-bch-is-set-to-breakout-and-probable-direction-is-up
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I have to admit, BCH has the strangest chart ever... would you recommend holding it when there are a lot of other better alternatives ?
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I always look at the dolloar potential of the coin. To me, the dollar potential of BCH is MASSIVE. It's a matter of hours to a few more days until this huge triangle gets resolved. My analysis is for the upside. The blue smaller triangle to me is a fractal of what's to come for the larger white triangle. The price explosion the blue triangle resulted in will be nothing compared to what the white triangle will give.
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Personally, I like the idea behind Bitcoin gold. The current mining difficulty of mining Bitcoin is way too high for normal users. This is leading to the centralisation of Bitcoin which is against the core principle of it.
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I agree. Bitcoin Gold is hardly even a thing. Its got such little publicity. I haven't seen any exchanges talk about how they will deal with it. Trezor/ Ledger etc haven't published a plan etc. I think it will die within 6 months, or be worth cents. It will not have an enduring impact on bitcoin.
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The 2x Hardfork is more difficult as it has serious players from the industry on both sides. Not sure how this one will play out.
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I think it takes users, merchants and miners in concert to make consensus to take down Bitcoin. I truly believe that will not happen with these forks.
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So are you suggesting moving all money to bitcoin until the fork since it will rise the most?
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That's what I did and shall rinse/repeat for Bitcoin Gold.
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Agreed I plan on dumping my ETH that day after Metropolis HF and then purchase my ETH back sometime after Oct 28th.
Either way It looks like a good bet to be into to BTC as strong as one can afford to be before the 25th.
Do you think it will be safe to have your BTC in the Mycelium wallet at teh time of the forK
As I understand they will handle the fork and populate with BCG automatically as mentioned by @adsactly in this post discussing the BCG Hard Fork. https://steemit.com/blog/@adsactly/know-all-about-bitcoin-gold. However this is the ONLY place I can locate that specific information about BCG and Mycelium wallet.
What do you recommend for the best place to hold BTC to be ready for the Hard Fork?
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I used Coinomi wallet at time of bitcoincash, will do the same for Bitcoin gold.
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what date does the Metropolis HF happen ?
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You have been busy sir. Excellent point. Resteemed
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This post has received a 9.17 % upvote from @booster thanks to: @haejin.
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I agree. In fact, I would not be surprised to see many people load up on BTC before the fork.
This is nothing more than a dividend to bitcoin holders.
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Nothing ever happens they way we plan , just because something happened once don’t mean or except the same , that goes with everything .
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This is a military operation. Nothing ever goes according to plan. But @haejin says: They used Fundamental Analysis and NOT TA!
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This post has received a 21.43 % upvote from @lovejuice thanks to: @haejin. They love you, so does Aggroed. Please be sure to vote for Witnesses at https://steemit.com/~witnesses.
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