RE: The price of Bitcoin hasn't been fun, but have some perspective

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The price of Bitcoin hasn't been fun, but have some perspective

in bitcoin •  7 years ago 

History tends to repeat themselves forming trends over time. Bitcoin has fallen 80% on five seperate occasions, there is no reason to believe there will not be a 6th and it’s time to load the boat because then there will likely be another 50X gain again.

Headed lower still.

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If you're not a financial professional, you should not be speculating in cryptocurrencies (or in any other asset). Persuading amateurs who do not know what they do not know to purchase substantial amounts of, say, Bitcoin, on the expectation that they are going to get rich, is just as much a sucker's game as the promotion of penis enlargement cream (and the many other scams) is on Fecesbook.

What? Non-financial advisors speculate everyday and do quite well, in fact some outperform major “financial advisors”

I’m not sure what you are getting at, basically your saying people who arent financial advisors shouldn’t buy stocks, which is dumb.

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

You don't seem to be comprehending what I am saying. Do you know what an "institutional investor" is? Do you know what the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model is? How about the Black-Scholes options pricing model? The efficient markets theory and the evidence that supports it (along with some evidence that rejects it)?

There's nothing stupid or foolhardy about being a normal "buy and hold" investor without knowing these things. Normal people who want to invest in, say, common stocks, can do so and are likely to do just fine if they do some research about the companies that they invest in and they diversify their portfolio. Paying a financial advisor can be helpful in designing a portfolio that has the appropriate amount of risk for your situation. (But be wary of advisors who are paid commissions to push particular stocks.)

Speculating is a different game. Speculators bet against the market. Speculating is foolish when the speculator is not trained in finance. In contrast to normal investing, speculation is a professional's game.

If you think that, say, Bitcoin, is going to rise 5000 percent over the next year, and so you buy all of the Bitcoin that you can afford, then you are betting against the market. You are speculating. And you are a fool, unless you are trained in finance and you have inside information.