Thanks for your analysis.

Bitcoin is always in is in a do or die position :)

I tend to see things more positively, meaning: the weekly indicators seem to support a 'bounce' scenario upwards from here, but if supports break, your $4,200 could come in reach. But the sellers seem fatigued/out of coins and the Hodlers just continue to HODL.

I anticipate a moderate rally into August 2018 (if only sideways). After that, who knows?