Three years of expansion followed by one year of bear... can it really be that simple?
Looking back at previous cycles, there is a very clear four-year pattern...
There is some debate about what exactly happens during those four years, but if you zoom out, it appears pretty clear what happens...
We appear to have three years of growth followed by one year of bear.
Take a look at this:
These three years of growth are not straight up, and if you zoom in, you could argue that there is about a year or so of flat in those three years...
That means it would only take two years to catch up.
In any case, it appears that the bear market will only last a year before resuming...
And we are now more than a year into this correction