虽然这两天BTS一直再跌,但我从未想过我会爆仓。因为,截至今天中午,BTS价格还在2.4以上,距离我1.75的爆仓触发价相隔甚远。另外某大户曾说要构建BTS 2元铁底的豪言还在耳旁,既然是铁底,当然是牢不可穿了。
(图源 :pixabay)
结果下午三点多一看内盘,我晕,BTS已经跌到了1.6,喂价也跌到了1.8,距离我的爆仓触发价一步之遥。纠结了半天该如何操作:是转钱进来平仓,还是追加BTS提高抵押率,还是学 @deanliu 刘美女自己主动割肉?最后想来想去,决定还是放任不管,俗称挺尸。
没有出乎意料,很快BTS就跌到1.4X,喂价也降到了1.6X,于是很不幸的,我爆仓了。
不过别急(哦,貌似我无需自己安慰自己),既然已经爆了,那么我们来好好研究一下爆仓,难得有这种实战的机会。以往就知道爆仓很可怕,但是可怕在哪,爆了啥后果,自己一点也不清楚。
强平触发价
强迫触发价,亦即BTS兑CNY的喂价低于这个价格时,将会触发强制平仓(俗称爆仓)。这个价格就是你抵押的BTS的价值是你借出CNY价值的1.75倍时BTS的价格。
强迫触发价 = 借出CNY总量 * 1.75 / 抵押的BTS
所以,以我抵押15WBTS借出15W人民币来计算:
我的强平触发价 = 150000 * 1.75 / 150000
等于 1.75元
强制平仓价
爆仓之后是怎么处理的?是直接没收抵押物平掉债务?还是把抵押物都按市场价卖出?这个问题困扰我好久,直到我这次爆仓。
爆仓之后,会以强制平仓价挂出与你借款等值的BTS。
所以这里又冒出个强制平仓价
强制平仓价即为:清算价/强制平仓比例上限
以我截图时为例:
清算价(即喂价)为:1.6819 bitCNY/BTS
强制平仓比例上限为:110%
所以强制平仓价为: 1.6819 / 110% = 1.529 bitCNY/BTS
挂单原则
我之前说过,爆仓时,会以强制平仓价挂出与你借款等值的BTS
以我的账户为例,我借款15W,强平触发价为1.529
那么就以1.529的价格挂出等值15W CNY的BTS.
数量计算方法为:借款数量 / 强制平仓价
在我这里就是:150000 / 1.529 = 98103.33
(因为之前计算喂价时没算小数点后内容,所以算出来的值略有偏差)
价格数量调整
因为喂价时刻在变,所以导致强制平仓价时刻在变,进而导致挂单数量时刻在变
所以说,挂单价格和数量不是一成不变的。
比如此可的挂单价格和数量和之前对比都有了变化。
成交顺序
按照我们上述分析,我们可以得出所有的爆仓单在同一时刻都以相同的强制平仓价挂单出售,那么哪个先成交呢?
经过我的分析,应该是按抵押率排行榜,先吃掉抵押率低的
至于为啥前两个抵押率高反而在前边?那是因为它被吃掉了一部分,导致了抵押率变化,而非挂单时抵押率高。(我猜测的,不知道是否正确,仅供参考)
复活原则
尽管已经爆仓,但是因为成交有先后顺序,所以如果爆仓之后没有马上被成交出去,那么还是有机会复活的。
复活和爆仓的机制恰恰相反
爆仓:喂价这个强平触发价时,将会被触发
复活:喂价高于强平触发价时,将会复活
如果想在被吃掉之前复活,无外乎等喂价涨,或者增加抵押物,或者减少债务这几个操作。
比如上图排第一的就调整了债务,强平触发价调整到了1.5244,暂时就没风险了。
不过他在复活之前,已经被吃掉6000W CNY,也不是个小数目了。
结局
我最终没能等到复活,顶在我前边的几个大户都调整了债仓,跑路了,于是我顶到了最前边,很快骨头都被吃光了。
好在我上边的分析的结论是正确的爆仓之后,会以强制平仓价挂出与你借款等值的BTS,所以我爆掉了10W BTS顶掉了15W的债务。
无债一身轻吗?未必如此,其实相当不爽。估计我爆掉之后,应该开始涨了,真正的死在黎明前。不过难道不是贪心惹的祸吗?哎,既然如此,就别怨天尤人了。
死在黎明前
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o哥,节哀
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😭
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厉害了,没想到还有复活这种规则
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所以,这种所谓的无息借款风险太大了,幸好我没去玩!
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呜呜呜呜
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O 哥! 这一定是2018最后一次死在黎明前的事情。。。
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借你吉言啦
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不到万不得已,坚决不加杠杆。其实现在的所谓铁底,大约是1.0,上次都扫到1.2的。
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歡迎啊,歡迎!同志爆爆,喔不,抱抱!我自爆,你被爆,反正都是爆爆爆~~
沒爆過,不要說你玩過BTS!
這句話怎樣,不錯吧!^_^
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好想插旗啊
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这阵子看啥啥跌,直接不看交易所,眼不见为净,也“挺尸”一次。
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问题是,我没挺过去,死在黎明前
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给大佬点个赞鼓励下,100%vote,虽然只有0.01,也是一份心意。人生不如意十之八九,放下就好~
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https://steemit.com/life/@drkalpana/paadhukam-of-god-read-everyone-it-s-interesting upvote and get blessed.
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=。= 你居然放任不管……我觉得不是你太贪心,而是你太有信心了……
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我以为顶我前边的战友不会跑
当时2亿多战友站我前边呢
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O哥神预言,内盘现在已经又开始拉升了。
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是吧,牺牲我一个,幸福千万家
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O哥是炒币圈内的雷锋😄
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I love your article
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虽然还没到熊市 但得有心理准备
还有就是黑天鹅 不知道什么时候就冒出来了
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Please upvote post
https://busy.org/health/@andrew4steem/elements-of-physical-fitness
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额,那几个大户还真的是大户,数号码都数了好一阵子。
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老哥,一般而言我们都是"止损不止盈“ 观察日k线找阻力点和支撑点,并且在支撑点下方百分之二十的位置作为止损点。而且杠杠这东西要在心里有必赢信念的状况下才可以加大的。建议老哥你看一些仓位管理的书
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一点也不懂啊,😭
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http://vdisk.weibo.com/s/uDrg-45LPKQiF 老哥看一下这本书吧,虽然是讲外汇的,但是里面k线的部分说的很入门易懂,基本看完了就明白如何通过k线和技术指标来寻找入场点和出场点了额
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写了篇分析文,分析一下未来币市的走势,老哥可以看看 https://cnsteem.com/cn/@fanso/2mzj5p
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所以都是杠杆惹的祸。。。
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这个就是大户扫盘的技俩,每次都是扫到底部,然后大力反弹。
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nice post, upvoted you , can you check my post too,
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感谢o哥的重要(很贵)信息,我有空了也去借一点来玩玩。爆了6000w那个会不会是机构的账号?
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说到爆仓,听说过 100 倍杠杆的 [Bitmex] 吗?爆到你怀疑人生……(https://www.bitmex.com/register/EAGtym)
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說出來取暖一下,我本來沒爆,今天資金到位要加倉,不小心按錯"賣出"超出了清算的量.....爆了...
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😭
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近期,bts的确是从6元跌下来的,但bts同样是从4毛涨起来的。
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Don't panic
Everything will be all right.
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学习到了,不过爆仓之后,还能平静的这下这么详细的总结,o哥的心态也是让人佩服。
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看了很多oflyhigh大神写的文章,真的很有感触。杠杆的风险太大了,以后还是远离好。
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悲催BOY, 不过看来爆掉还是换算的,因为后面还有更低的价格在等着你.
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