I agree with you that Canelo will probably win this fight. If he consistently survives and counters Golovkin's onslaughts (I think he has the stamina and the skill to do so) Golovkin will enter round 10 in deep waters and Canelo will completely take over from there.
It's hard for me to predict Canelo knocking out GGG or vice versa.
RE: Gennady Golovkin vs. Canelo Alvarez September 16 Odds/Predictions
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Gennady Golovkin vs. Canelo Alvarez September 16 Odds/Predictions