He predicted Uber's success, predicted Trump's election, but could not predict this!

in china •  7 years ago 

In the early morning of January 26, 17, the navy sat in front of a computer with dim lighting.

After he finished reading "three books of a brief history of human beings," "individual sovereignty," and "encryption," he could not be calm for a long time,

Because there is always a problem bothering him, but he is hard to find the right answer.

Also at 2 o'clock that day, the Navy suddenly a flash,

He could not wait to turn on the computer and send his thoughts to Twitter,

And this hair is 36.


(Naval Ravikant)

Naval Ravikant is a well-known Silicon Valley investors, is also the founder of AngelList,

In peacetime, it is difficult to see him so many tweets at once,

Soon, these remarks exploded in the circle of friends.

The first article of tweets he wrote:


"Blockchain will replace network with market"

The remaining 35 tweets, which describe the panorama of human history from the perspectives of blockchain, network and market, probably look something like this:

Humans are networked animals. Money, religion, company, road, electricity are all a network. And the network has a network effect, no matter everyone joins any one network, the network will become more valuable. At the turn of the twentieth century, mankind created a new type of network, the market, for anyone who wants to succeed in matter. And the blockchain can bring the market to a place that was once unattainable.

This looks like another blockbuster "prediction" of the future market,

However, this prediction may be different from what Naval said.

In fact, as early as 2010, he gave 165 investors recommend a project called ubercab.


Now everyone should see this icon should know which company it!

However, at that time, 150 of the 165 investors did not reply to this email,

The remaining 15 people politely gave a reply, but only reply to the mail,

Only one investor pitched tentative investment of 25,000 U.S. dollars,

We simply can not think of a mass mail can have any value.

But later the company changed its name to Uber,

But this is not the first time letting us feel ahead of Naval's perception.

The U.S. presidential election started in November of 16 years.

In January 17, Naval published an article.

Naval pointed out in the article that the technology and culture of the United States are moving from elites to the general public in such a process,

And also selected a few of his more optimistic candidate

Trump is impressively in the column.

This speech has aroused people's heated discussion,

At that time in Silicon Valley, all elite think Trump can not be elected president of the United States,

But the truth has indeed overcome the eloquence.

However, his story did not end here

Like the beginning, Naval said on Twitter

"And blockchain can bring the market to a place that was once beyond reach."

This is because he wrote an Imagination in 2014 about Bitcoin Pattern Crowdfunding:

"Bitcoin is not just money and a deal, but a whole new crowdfunding model and platform."

And this article's point of view

In 2017 swept the global - tokens crowdfunding model.

"Focus on the blockchain, be sure to follow Naval on Twitter, this guy is too bullish." A Silicon Valley engineer said excitedly to me.

Naval's personal charm and social ways to make people around convincing, he definitely regarded as the elite among the Silicon Valley elite.

Ryan Shea, the founder of Blockstack, talked about Naval's positive and optimistic comments.

"Naval is surrounded by some of the best people and good companies, and as long as Naval is involved in the project, something is different and he is very good at building an ecosystem around himself."

Naval has not only made great achievements in the field of investment, but also efforts to promote the blockchain industry towards a healthy direction.

In order to better participate in the blockchain market, he transformed into a GP after MetaStable, an investment blockchain with an investment blockchain, for three years, to fully take over the company's investment decision. His investment in the area of ​​blockchain identity transformation, immediately put out like the stable currency Basecoin, Orchid and other celebrity projects.

And most importantly, he launched CoinList, a new tokens crowdfunding platform in May 2017, to review AngelList's investor auditing system. Each participating platform investor must have a net worth of more than one million U.S. dollars or more each year Two hundred thousand dollars in net income.

CoinList takes advantage of a new type of security called SAFT (a simple agreement for future tokens) that has been structured to comply with existing securities laws.

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Since many companies think the token they found does not belong to the realm of securities, the current regulation has not taken strong measures. There are currently only three companies in CoinList.

However, Naval believes that as soon as the U.S. SEC moves, more and more companies will join ConList. And CoinList's team can do a good job of helping these blockchain companies to take the gamble and minimize the risk of regulatory oversight.

"The ConList is nothing more than a game inside Silicon Valley and a platform for companies to endorse and increase their influence." The CEO, who is a tokens conglomerate, told Detective.

But the CEO may not know about Silicon Valley eight years ago and financing initial venture projects is still a gray area in Silicon Valley. At the time, Naval was trying to lobby for congressional reform and signed a petition for 5,000 investors and entrepreneurs.

Without this act, it could be said that the event of coin topping would not exist.

But now it is hard for Naval to clearly evaluate projects in a wide range of tokens, which are more fault-tolerant than previous internet products and have more markets for project development. This and before will focus on the team, marketing and sales team is completely different.

He stands directly

"I want to know who in the world really evaluates the success of a tokens project!"

He felt no one in his heart, but it is also true.

The deeper you study in this area, the more you feel that most people are ignorant in this area, including yourself.

Naval is also working hard to get people to better blockchain projects.

AngelList has a Syndicate feature and has been licensed by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

Syndicate allows individual angel investors to find investors like venture capitalists to find other individual investors to raise money,

And also get 20% of the total investment income.

This feature allows those who do not have much money, a broad network of investors have a greater stage.

He would like to release the same functionality as Syndicate on ConList,

So that more people can participate in tokens crowdfunding projects come together to promote the development of this industry.

He believes that the existence of tokens, so that every free individual has become a bank, so that more people to achieve a freedom.

If one day the U.S. government wants to confiscate your wealth, then the bank of tokens is a guarantee for you.

But he also began to worry about being a public figure talking about tokens for crowdfunding and would be decriminalized by current law as a criminal. For him, what he really wanted to do was try his best to build the next generation decentralized Internet with his existing resources.

When asked about bitcoin, Charlie Munger said: "I think investing in bitcoin is a foolish idea. It is a crazy bubble. There is no constructive idea to lure people into the illusion of overnight riches. This should not be Things you should consider. There are many things that do not work for you automatically, find them, and then avoid any contact with them. Bitcoin is one of the things you should avoid. "

Naval is clearly against Munger, who believes in bitcoin:

Bitcoin is a tool for freeing humanity from oligarchs and tyrants, dressed up as a get-rich-quick scheme.

"Bitcoin is a tool to release humanity from oligarchs and tyrants, but it is now dressed up as a quick way to get rich."

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