Will house prices continue to rise in China and Japan?

in cn •  7 years ago 

Last Friday afternoon, go out to do something, passing found home sales center is being sold, playing the slogan or some attractive, just to handle the matter is not very urgent, time is also abundant, went to understand the next The

The sales center is selling the hotel-style apartment, the project location is not far away from the sales office, about to go out along the road about 100 meters, at the crossroads, from the topographic point of view, this area is the local government The future to prepare the focus, there is also a pedestrian street is planning, looks very good, understand the price, the average price of 25,000, to know the price of the first-hand real estate has been over 30,000.

I understand the next, the other party told the reasons, because the policy restrictions, this hotel-style apartments can only be sold to corporate corporate units, that is, in the name of an individual can not buy, not qualified, but if you really want to buy, , Is their own registered company, if you are not familiar with this piece or do not want so much trouble, and all this will have the relevant intermediary to help you to complete, nothing more than to increase some of the costs only.

In addition, the business description of this apartment requires the full amount, but at the same time sales staff also told me in private, in addition to the name of the company can be used to buy, or even open can handle the "double" contract, the other can also help contact the relevant banks Loans, interest rates of about 7% -8% only, you know, ordinary mortgage benchmark interest rate is only 4.9%.


Opposite the company, every day I go from here to work

Since the opening of the first half of last year, Shenzhen opened a crazy price model, the first half of Guangzhou began in the history of the most stringent restrictions on the purchase of housing measures, such as local accounts can only buy two sets of foreign accounts can only buy a set of two suites Interest rates have room loans are down payment Qi Cheng, no room without loans to five percent, and even no room but as long as there have been loans (room) records also need four percent, as if the first suite, the previous preferential interest rates are gradually canceled, From the original offer can hit a minimum of 88 discount, and now the benchmark or even floating 10% -20% interest rate, the government in suppressing and limiting the rapid rise in house prices, can be described as really well-intentioned!

But the price really stable no longer up? From the data point of view, some regional housing prices do decline, even from the literal data point of view, the decline is also weak, but in fact it? Put aside the business promised to be able to generally fake yin and yang "double" contract (to know, double contract opposite claimed that the price is usually much lower than the market), as well as government policy that the reasons for intervention.

Take the price of Zhongshan City, the data released last week just came out, we will scoff, why? Because the so-called city average price, much lower than the market and we know the price, why so? Is government data fake? In fact, not necessarily, in addition to the buyer with the business together to fake the government, the most stringent control, if your sales price is higher than the specified price, then the government will talk about you, this led to a lot of business sales The price is directly below the required price, if you insist on selling higher than that price, then sorry, not registered for the record, you will be dumbfounded.


Night of the Pearl River New City, last night to a new restaurant when using the phone to shoot the light a little dark

Will house prices fall? Part of the area fell, it is possible, the overall decline in some, it is possible. But if you imagine the kind of waist cut or even cliff down, it is impossible. Some people may take our example of Japan, saying that the last century Japan once the real estate bubble, the final collapse led to the Japanese economy for nearly three decades have not slowed the gods, but you do not forget, here is China, the land Ownership and Japan is completely different, and the government has a strong ability to control, if there is a large area of ​​the crash (of course I still think this is very low), the easiest way to stop your registration, let you as The seller can not sell, the same, as a buyer you can not buy transfer, so the price will fall?

Where there is a rise, where the sale began. Now the purpose of hard work is nothing more than hope (house prices) up not so outrageous, so exaggerated Bale, as to fall? It is estimated that never thought of this problem.

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