4th May Daily Football Acca

in contest •  7 years ago 

Just placed the following 5 fold Accumulator bet on William Hill, 50% of any winnings/returns will be shared out to all entries in Steem, just enter the contest before the first match kicks off at 12:30 GMT on the 5th May

This bet is brought to you inconjunction with @fullcoverbetting who has kindly resurrected his poission football model for me to use and I will be sharing with him any profits made with these bets. His model provides many predictions for up coming games.

To enter either up vote this post or leave a comment with code 4977 ONLY in the comment, comments that contain more than the code listed may not get properly entered. Comments that do not contain the code WILL NOT be entered into the draw.

One entry per account
Every entry will get an equal payout
0.01 Steem minimum payout, Steem not paid goes to bonus
Bonus payout to any valid entry selected at random

Selections

Stoke @2.70 Sat 12:30 - Stoke v Crystal Palace - 90 Minutes
West Ham @3.30 Sat 15:00 - Leicester v West Ham - 90 Minutes
Watford @2.40 Sat 15:00 - Watford v Newcastle - 90 Minutes
Draw @3.40 Sat 15:00 - Bournemouth v Swansea - 90 Minutes
Chelsea @2.25 Sun 16:30 - Chelsea v Liverpool - 90 Minutes

Stake: £10.00
To return: £1993.90

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My model agrees :-)


efl.png


What I've found is that it is often times too optimistic, for example, in the Brighton v Man Utd he calls the home win, but since I know its tendencies, I place Brighton +0.5.

I didn't do that a few weeks back in the St Ettienne v PSG game and regretted it. The result was a draw (1:1), although the home team scored all the goals in that game (OG in 90+2'). They even managed to miss a penalty.

The model kinda knows how to find these games, but I'm now scaling down its predictions.

Brighton v Man Utd - FT 1:0

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