Cases right back down, deaths to follow.

in covid •  3 years ago 

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US cases down 87% from the peak. (The lag from infection to test to report to 7 day moving average means we're likely down 95+% on infections.)

Hospital admissions down 65%, they'll continue to drop as they follow cases.

Deaths down 16%, they'll continue to drop as they follow admissions by a couple of weeks.

Our mix is slowly shifting to BA.2, which is more transmissible than Omicron Original, but not enough to change the curve.

Places where it's already dominant (Denmark, South Africa) aren't showing a rebound in cases and have lower death rates than we're experiencing.

Everything points to very low cases and deaths for March and some months beyond.

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