Cases nationally peaked 3 weeks ago, and are dropping rapidly in all regions (graph 1). Hospital admissions and ICU rates are dropping. Death rates (graph 2), which tend to lag cases by about 3 weeks, appear to have peaked and should finally drop quickly.
The 7-day moving averages show what was happening about 2 weeks ago. (Infection->symptoms->test->report->7 day average). Most states are showing about 100 cases/day/100k, but the delay means that infections are more like 25 - a very manageable level.
On top of that, vaccines have reduced the risk of severe disease, death or long COVID by as much as 100-fold. Even with our vast numbers of unvaxxed, our case fatality rates should be 80-90% lower than in 2020.
Some states, like Washington, were late to the Omicron party and are still coming down; some counties are even later and higher...but pretty much everywhere in the US should be in the back-to-normal zone in the next 2-3 weeks.
Vaccinations and widespread Omicron cases (roughly half of Americans got infected by it) mean we shouldn't have a spike in cases for at least six months. Odds are we'll see a seasonal wave in winter (maybe late summer in the south) but the impact should be so much milder we probably won't need much in the way of restrictions, handling it like Denmark is now. Sadly, that will still mean pointless deaths in the unvaxxed, but there's only so much you can do.
Somewhere around 150 million Americans have been infected with Omicron or Delta in the last four months. That, with 200 million+ vaxxed and many boosted, means not enough targets for epidemic waves. It will still be around at lower levels.
For deaths, the most important subset is people over 60 who haven't been vaxxed or previously infected. Those numbers are WAY down from six months ago, mostly due to infections.
