New: b117All contenthive-129948hive-196917krsteemhive-180932hive-150122hive-183959hive-166405zzanhive-185836hive-144064photographyhive-101145hive-183397hive-188619hive-184714uncommonlabhive-145157bitcoinhive-139150hive-103599hive-193186hive-180301krsuccesshive-179660TrendingNewHotLikerszafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoHow far away from herd immunity?Some sobering math on what it takes to reach herd immunity with B.1.1.7, given that vaccines and infection aren't perfect preventers of future infection or transmission. With an R0 of 4.3, they're…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoCaseloads continue to decline as vaccination infrastructure ramps up.I’m excited that America’s vaccination infrastructure appears to be winning the race with B117 & co, at least for now. At this point the majority of new US cases are from B117 and the other more…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoCases have stopped falling, what gives?Almost 1 in 5 Americans are totally vaccinated, but cases have stopped falling everywhere and are starting to rise in many places. What gives? B.1.1.7. The British variant is becoming our…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoNew wave in Michigan raises concern the pandemic is far from over!We aren't out of the woods yet in the US with the virus. Michigan is having a new wave even despite decent vaccination coverage of its elderly as the UK variant is dominant there (likely 80+% of…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoHow Florida fares against the UK strain might determine the fate of the US.It is a little too early to call victory over the UK variant in the US. We will have to see how Florida fares in the next couple weeks now that the UK variant is likely dominant there. So far…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoUpdate on B.1.1.7 (British variant) in the US.We're now at about 2.25%, and it appears to be spreading significantly faster than I expected base on the UK history. (It may be because it's not competing with the Spanish variant that was already…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoB.1.1.7 infectious transmissability and current vaccine efficacy. We’ve produced our latest estimates for the level of #COVID19 infection rates across the UK pic.twitter.com/uyCKU11Wjv— Office for National Statistics (ONS) (@ONS) January 22, 2021 Really…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoHow many vaccinations are required to stay ahead of the B.1.1.7 infection curve?You may recall me writing two weeks ago about B.1.1.7 being in a race vs. our vaccination rate, and that we needed to get about 100 million people vaccinated by late March to stay ahead of the curve…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoThe Columbus Variant. You may be hearing about a new US variant, sometimes called "The Columbus Variant", and some really sloppy science reporting. Here's the paper on it. Yes, there is a set of variants that have…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoVisualizing the growth of B.1.1.7.Some informative and frankly beautiful charts on B.1.1.7 aka 20B.501Y.V1 spreading in the UK. (B.1.1.7 is a name from the ever-growing tree of known mutations, each major branch gets a new…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoWhat happens if you're not locked down and B.1.1.7 takes over? Case study : Ireland.We've seen what B.1.1.7 does even when you're mostly locked down as it takes over. What happens if it takes over and you're not locked down? Let's check in on Ireland. 18 days ago, they…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoWho's up for some really good news on the US COVID situation?tl;dr - The rate of B.1.1.7 in the US was below 0.5% in late December, we don't know how much below. That means we likely have until April or later before B.1.1.7 becomes dominant and infections…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoGeneral update on COVID.The Wed and Thu evening updates should be our first post-holiday normal read. tl;dr - it looks like we're still trending up a bit nationally. Case counts appear to be up a bit from mid December…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoWe should adopt the UK strategy of single dose Pfizer/Moderna vaccine to twice as many people. I don't feel the energy to do the long write-up right now, but I am nearly 100% convinced that the US should adopt the UK's strategy of getting 1 dose to as many people as possible before doing…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoUK strain confirmed in Florida - Current estimates ~ 1000 cases in the US.And Florida makes it 3, another case with no international travel. We have community spread confirmed in FL, CO and CA. At this point, 1000 active B.1.1.7 cases in the US is a lowball estimate;…zafrada (78)in covid • 4 years agoA flurry of info on the B.1.1.7 variant in the US in the last couple of hours.This shows in orange where on the spike the B.1.1.7 mutations are, and in red, it shows the location of the top 10 natural antibodies after a COVID infection. None of the 10 overlap the mutations…
