New: biasAll contenthive-129948hive-196917krsteemhive-183959hive-180932photographyzzanhive-166405hive-144064uncommonlabhive-185836bitcoinhive-183397hive-188619krsuccesshive-150122hive-124908hive-101145hive-145157hive-139150hive-109690hive-167213lifehive-103599TrendingNewHotLikersleguna (78)in nyt • 25 days agoThis is a great New York Times piece on polling error and bias.As you can see polling error can go both ways. Even in the same election, polls have underestimated both candidates depending on the state. And as the piece notes, the polling error in 2016 and…zafrada (78)in polling • last monthOn polling bias.Speaking of polling bias, we usually talk about average polling bias with the election. But that obscures a ton of variation by state. In 2020, polling underestimated Trump by a large amount. But…bumblecat (78)in polling • 2 months agoA reader asked Nate Silver if the polls will underestimate Trump.He answered that we have no way of knowing ahead of time. Poll bias is not consistent across elections. And this is important he added that the 2016 and 2020 biases aren't necessarily the same…zafrada (78)in electoral • 2 months agoHere is how the electoral college bias looks like in Nate Silver's model.Right now the model expects an electoral college bias of 1.7. That'd be significantly less than it was in 2020 (~3.9). Basically it means Harris can win the election if she wins the popular vote…adamdick (47)in presidentialdebate • 2 months agoGlenn Greenwald Dissects the Anti-Trump and Pro-Harris Bias Permeating the Moderation of the Trump-Harris Presidential DebateGlenn Greenwald is a skilled communicator regarding media bias. He delivered in a new video monologue an insightful and succinct rundown of ways in which the Tuesday presidential debate between…bumblecat (78)in polling • 2 months agoPolls are not validated votes!Stop doing this. This isn't how anything works. Polling error and polling bias change across elections. In reality, both Biden and Clinton were in much tighter races than the polls were…deputt (36)in internet • 2 months agoInternet Biasjohnyliltoe (55)in philosophy • 3 months agoEveryone is Their Own Fruit PunchSource Did you know there are over 2000 types of fruit in the world? From those there are also many variations and regional differences; the world of fruit is quite diverse. Our personalities…nooses (78)in electoral • 5 months agoThis could be good news.Generally in recent years given the way voters are distributed, the Republican candidate has an advantage with the electoral college such that a Democrat can't merely win the popular vote. In…pomeline (79)in polling • 8 months agoPolling error and bias are not correlated across election cycles.I'd never pretend to know more about politics than Dave Wasserman, but this is incorrect or misleading regarding polling. Polling error and bias are not correlated across election cycles. It is…jericho37 (29)in bias • 9 months ago"The impact of identification bias in international conflicts: A comparative analysis"Introduction: In the realm of international conflicts, public opinion often reacts differently, a phenomenon influenced by identification bias. This article examines how such bias shapes…ichiban (84)in bias • 9 months agoNovanta Inc (Nov)leguna (78)in media • 10 months agoThis kind of reporting is important to recognize and call out, for a bunch of reasons.First, the more people draw attention to it, the more people will start to realize how criminally awful and overtly biased our news media actually is. Secondly, there's a lot of meta-level…bumblecat (78)in media • 11 months agoWho is running the NYT's coverage of the war between Israel and Hamas?Look at today's NYT headline and the accompanying photo. Do you detect a bias in the pairing of the two? The headline proclaims: "U.S. Vetoes Security Council Resolution Demanding Cease-Fire in…alexanderrogge (39)in eyewitnesstestimony • last yearJunk Science - Eyewitness TestimonyWrongful Conviction - Junk Science - Eyewitness Testimony: #EyewitnessTestimony #Testimony #Witness #WitnessInstruction #SuggestiveQuestions #CourtroomProcedure #Perception #Memories #Influence…jaichai (61)in ai • last yearLesser Known Facts about AI...I really enjoyed this TED Talk from a sharp and witty AI developer. Before viewing this short video, I hadn't really thought about the energy costs of running AI. Now I know. It is, in a…leguna (78)in israel • last yearI take the side of a liberal democracy over a genocidal theocracy.I'm tired of people "calling me out" on my bias toward Israel, as if they think that they're making a point. I've never hidden my bias toward Israel. Of course I take the side of a liberal…flexbooth (78)in ai • last yearI'm no AI doomsayer (no Elon Musk), but there's one concern I do have that I don't see anybody talking about.Powerful AIs are necessarily (for now) highly centralized, because of the high cost of training the models. That means control over what data the models are trained on is entirely in the hands of…souldis (26)in psychology • last yearThe Role of Psychological Bias in InvestmentHello dear readers, Investing, especially in cryptocurrencies, has become very popular in recent years. Many people associate it with financial freedom. Some promote it, others report on their…chirieleison (53)in science • last yearSources of Bias in Observational Studies of covid-19 Vaccine EffectivenessSource: Journal of Evaluation in Clinical Practice Originally posted on Quora May 25, 2023 Three biases and the data required to assess them in real-world studies. CASE-COUNTING WINDOW…
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