New: macroeconomyAll contenthive-129948hive-196917krsteemhive-185836hive-166405hive-183959hive-180932uncommonlabhive-188619hive-144064photographylifehive-150122bitcoinnftkrsuccesshive-145157hive-101145hive-193637hive-113376hive-153970hive-124908hive-193186hive-139150TrendingNewHotLikershappycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 3 days agoWhat If the U.S. unemployment rate is higher than expected?Investing.com The forecast is 4.0%. If it is higher than expected, the first federal funds rate cut will be earlier than expected. I hope the first interest rate cut will start this month 🙏…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 8 days agoNo recession this year?Source: Investing.com The latest GDP data was higher than expected. It seems that there's no more risk this year. It's likely to occur the soft landing.. 😮 If the Fed succeeds it, Jerome Powell…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 18 days agoThe expectation ratio of the first interest rate cut in Sep has increased.Source: CME FedWatch Tool The ratio of the target rate 500-525 was less than the target rate 525-550 a few weeks ago. It seems that the first rate cut is coming 🤗 I expect if this year…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 23 days agoTake a look at this table 🤔It shows how often the S&P 500 has peaked for the year each month since 1980. If it follows the trend, the S&P 500 won't be likely reaching the cycle top this summer. The crypto market as well.…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 24 days agoThe U.S. CPI was less than expected 🥳 But, the Fed interest rate decision wasn't.Source: Investing.com CPI(Consumer Price Index)(YoY: Year of Year) & Core CPI were less than expected 🥳 Source: Investing.com The Fed decided to hold the federal funds rate steady. The new…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 28 days agoThe U.S. unemployment rate was higher than expected 🤔Source: Investing.com But, the crypto market has plunged due to the increased U.S. nonfarm payrolls. Source: Investing.com Well, it's much higher than expected. However, the trend of it has…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • last monthTake a look at the trend of the U.S. Initial Jobless Claims 🤔Source: Investing.com It has been definitely increasing since Jan 2024. Yesterday, the actual figure of it was higher than forecast. Source: Investing.com The U.S. unemployment rate(YoY…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • last monthThe latest U.S. JOLTs Job Openings is ATL since 2022.Source: Investing.com The 🇺🇸 JOLTs(Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) Job Openings has been decreasing. I think it will likely affect to increase the U.S. unemployment rate. So, the…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • last monthThe FED interest rate decision is coming within a week.Source: FedWatch Tool Precisely, 8 days left. Market participants predict the federal funds rate pause will last until this September. Source: Investing.com The U.S. unemployment rate…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 2 months agoThe U.S. CPI(YoY) will be released soon.Source: Investing.com The 🇺🇸 CPI(Consumer Price Index) (YoY, Year of Year) will be released soon. The Cons(Consensus) is 3.4%. If the actual figure is less than the forecast, the crypto market…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 2 months agoTake a look at this table 🤔The interest rate pause period of this cycle is the 2nd longest. I think this period will be less than 15 months. The U.S. president election is coming within 6 months. So, it will be earlier than…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 2 months agoWill the FED continuously last the high interest rate?Source: Investing.com The U.S. unemployment rate is 3.9%. It's higher than expected. When the rate was more than 4.0%, the FED has changed their monetary policies from tightening to easing. The…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 2 months agoIt seems that it's hard to increase the federal funds rate.Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis, Game of Trades The U.S. government interest expense surpassed $1T. While the CPI(Consumer Price Index) started increasing again, I'm not sure there will be…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 2 months agoMarket participants anticipate that the first federal funds rate cut will start Sep this year 🤔Source: CME FedWatch Tool Since the recent CPI(Consumer Price Index) started increasing again, it's likely hard to cut the interest rate early. Source: JPMorgan Chase However…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 3 months agoThe 🇺🇸 CPI was released yesterday.Source: Investing.com Unfortunately, it was higher than expected, which means the period of the federal funds rate pause can last more. Well, I hope not to see that the rate will increase…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 3 months agoThe CPI will be released soon.Source: Investing.com The CPI(Consumer Price Index) YoY(Year of Year) will be released soon. The Cons(Consensus) is 3.4%. If the forecast is accurate, the Fed may delay the 1st federal funds rate…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 3 months agoThe U.S. unemployment rate is less than expected.Source: Investing.com The U.S. 🇺🇸 labor market shows robust. After this data was released, the BTC(Bitcoin) price temporarily fell, and recovered. It's been consolidating for 3 weeks 😮💨…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 3 months agoU.S. unemployment rate will be released within 2 days.Source: Investing.com The forecast is 3.9%. Will it be higher than expected? If yes, it would be good for crypto. The crypto market might accept this is a good news with respect to the possibility…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 5 months ago🇺🇸 CPI will be released on next Tue ☺️Source: Investing.com The CPI(Consumer Price Index) will be released on 13th, Feb. The cons(Consensus) is 3.0%. I hope that it is less than the forecast. If it is less than expected, the crypto…happycapital (85)in hive-103599 • 5 months agoNASDAQ is around 400 points left until the ATH.The ATH(All Time High) of NASDAQ was recorded in 2021. Dow Jones and S&P 500 already broke the ATHs. If NASDAQ breaks the ATH, it means that 3 representatives 🇺🇸 stock market indicies broke new…
