New: nberAll contenthive-129948hive-196917krhive-166405zzanhive-185836hive-183959steemhive-180932hive-150122photographyhive-144064hive-101145hive-183397hive-184714uncommonlabhive-188619hive-145157bitcoinhive-103599hive-193637hive-193186hive-180106krsuccesshive-179660TrendingNewHotLikerspomeline (79)in nber • 6 months agoRecession probability.So I've often posted the NBER recession probability model using four major economic indicators. There's another recession model that solely uses GDP. It relies on the fact that recessions and…zafrada (78)in economic • last yearRecessions and the NBERI think we can definitively say the NBER isn't going to call the first half of 2022 a recession. The longest it ever took the NBER business cycle dating committee to determine a recession was 21…zafrada (78)in recession • 2 years agoWe are still not in a recession. Stats don't lie.All six economic indicators are now updated to their most recent month. Here is what they look like over the last six months. We clearly aren't in a recession- most if not all of these indicators…sysuperior (44)in war • 2 years ago글로벌 뉴스2023.06.04도네츠크 인근에서 드론 공중 정찰 작전을 지켜보는 우크라이나 군인 5월 인도의 러시아산 원유 수입량은 하루 196만 배럴로 사상 최고치를 기록하며 이라크, 사우디아라비아, 아랍에미리트, 미국 등 4대 원유 공급국의 수입량을 합친 것보다 많다. 주(174만 배럴/일), 유럽의 인도 정제 석유 제품 수입은 4월에 하루 360,000배럴 이상으로…zafrada (78)in us • 2 years agoNo recession in sight, but looming.Another good jobs report. We added 263k jobs in November. Far above expectations of 200k. Still a strong labor market. Slower jobs growth than the high rate during 2021, but above average for the…bumblecat (78)in economy • 2 years agoThis chart shows all six indicators that the NBER uses to determine a recession.Note the disconnect between the red line and the blue line in October. Despite having similar names, they actually are two different measurements of employment. The red line "employment level" is…zafrada (78)in nber • 2 years agoAre we in a recession yet? Not according to these charts.Personal income, consumer spending, and manufacturing and trade industries sales all increased in September. Updating this chart for the latest release. This chart shows all the economic…pomeline (79)in nber • 2 years agoDifficult to say we're in a recession right now.This chart tracks the six coincident economic indicators that NBER uses to determine if we are in a recession. We got updates to real manufacturing and trade industries sales, real personal…zafrada (78)in nber • 3 years agoHow the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee determines a recession.It has six monthly economic indicators and two quarterly economic indicators it follows and based on their trend makes the determination if we are in a recession. The monthly ones are real…cihancahit (25)in selam • 4 years agodsdfasdasdasdasdasdasdasdasdasdsyeservices (40)in markets • 6 years agoGoogle Search Can Predict Bitcoin Price Increases, Study FindsA recent study published by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) suggests that cryptocurrency markets move depending on the type of attention they receive – unlike traditional financial…sekata (38)in nber • 7 years ago論文紹介第1稿："Heat and Learning" (Goodman et al., 2018)-Abstractこんばんは、瀬潟です。気分が乗ってきたので連投します。先日名前だけ紹介した論文、Goodman et al. (2018）の "Heat and Learning" という論文について、その内容をまとめていきたいと思います。論文の出展はこちらです（ The National Bureau of Economic…
