New: presidentialAll contenthive-129948hive-196917krzzanhive-183959steemhive-180932hive-166405photographyhive-185836uncommonlabhive-150122hive-183397hive-144064bitcoinlifehive-188619krsuccesshive-103599hive-139150hive-101145hive-124908hive-184714hive-145157hive-109690TrendingNewHotLikerszafrada (78)in house • 7 days agoAdam Carlson with charts showing how the competitive Senate and House races went this cycle relative to the presidential race.For the most part down ballot Democrats did better than the top of the ticket. So people probably shouldn't overreact to the 2024 election. The Democratic Party brand isn't dead. Of the…tama.arin (57)in hive-161179 • 15 days agoトランプ氏の新たな経済政策は彼の支持者の生活を悪化させる可能があるPhoto by Markus Spiske on Unsplash いよいよ、アメリカ大統領選挙が終わって、トランプ氏の勝利が確定しました。 就任式は来年1月に開かれる予定ですが、今、彼は新たな大統領令を立案中という情報がネットで流れています。 トランプ氏は主に経済と外交に集中しているそうで、移民や人工中絶など気になるところは山積みそうです。…tama.arin (57)in hive-161179 • 21 days ago日本製鉄はUSスチールを買収できる?Photo by Flanker Lee on Unsplash アメリカの大統領選挙がもうまもなく始まります。 もし、トランプ氏は新しい大統領になれば、輸入品に対して関税をあげて、保護主義政策を取りそうと思います。 先日、日本製鉄はUSスチールを買収する計画に進展がないという記事をネットで見つけました。…tama.arin (57)in hive-161179 • last monthアメリカの大統領選挙の敗北者は負けを認められるのかPhoto by Janne Simoes on Unsplash 先週、アメリカ史上初の女性大統領候補者についての投稿を書きました。 米国大統領選挙までに後2週間です。 今、両方の候補者の支持率はほぼ同じで、2000年の大統領選挙と同じ状況になる可能性が高いです。 当時の選挙はアメリカ史上で最も接戦となった大統領選挙と呼ばれます。…tama.arin (57)in hive-161179 • last monthアメリカ史上初の女性大統領候補者Photo by René DeAnda on Unsplash 来月上旬、米国大統領選挙が実施します。 ハリス氏が勝利した場合、米国史上初の女性大統領になります。 実は、19世紀末のころ、当時の大統領選挙キャンペーンにも女性候補者が参加しました。 彼女の名前はヴィクトリア・ウッドハルです。 By Mathew Benjamin Brady/ Adam Cuerden…pomeline (79)in split • 2 months agoThe folks at Split Ticket released their presidential forecast.Wonderful! Their initial forecast has Harris with a 62% chance of winning. They have Wisconsin and Michigan as slightly lean Democrat. And Florida and Texas as lean Republican. Their model…flexbooth (78)in presidential • 2 months agoA few thoughts on the debate.As always, you should NOT gauge your analysis of the likely impact of the debate by your own reaction. The only thing that matters electorally is what swing voters are likely to think. And if you're…zafrada (78)in harris • 2 months agoKamala Harris easily won that debate.Kinda a massacre. Trump was unhinged. Harris started out a little nervous but had strong responses throughout. Clearly well prepared and executed it nearly flawlessly. She baited Trump perfectly…bumblecat (78)in presidential • 2 months agoHarris vs Trump.So the race is essentially tied at the national level which, if accurate, means that Trump is probably slightly ahead in the electoral college. The debate tonight can move the needle. I believe it…leguna (78)in harris • 3 months agoEligibility according to NSMAGA.In which the NSMAGA (in this case, “The National Federation of Republican Assemblies”) proclaims that Kamala Harris is ineligible to be the President of the United States due in part to the infamous…leguna (78)in democracy • 3 months agoDemocrat peeps, explain?Shortly after One Poor Debate Performance, which lent Zero Credibility to the Right Wing Conspiracy Theory that he had been suffering from some kind of cognitive impairment, Biden steps down and…pomeline (79)in presidential • 3 months agoI think Trump will pull it off this time.He has more people pulling for him. The dems have a bunch of anti-Trump people, but in politics it pays to be supposedly pro-someone powerful (not just against the other side) Trump has more…bumblecat (78)in presidential • 4 months agoHarris honeymoon period.So this honeymoon for Kamala Harris might end eventually, but one huge advantage for her is this election cycle starts pretty early. The Democratic Convention ends August 22nd. North Carolina…zafrada (78)in presidential • 4 months agoCook Political Report's new presidential election ratings map.For non-politics nerds, Cook's ratings tend to be very conservative (i.e. lean ratings are very likely to go where they are leaning, ~90% chance). No real surprises here. We'll see how North…leguna (78)in nate • 4 months agoNate Silver's polling averages fwiw.He's weighting more recent polls more than older polls, but as far as I can tell still includes older polls. So these averages may be underestimating Harris' polling given her polling after she…bumblecat (78)in wsj • 4 months agoNew Wall Street Journal poll of the race.Harris is up 1 point on Trump in the multi-way poll. That's up 7 points from Biden in the previous July poll from the WSJ. She again seems to be improving among young voters and non-white voters…pomeline (79)in trump • 4 months agoI'm still laughing my ass off that Trump's campaign relies on one of the worst pollsters in the industry.Might explain why they seem to be engaging in not the best electoral map strategy this cycle. For all the issues with the Democrats, I think most of their problems have been regarding Biden…zafrada (78)in biden • 4 months agoBiden officially out.I think it’s hilarious that Biden’s endorsement photo is of Kamala laughing with a horse face like AOC. The question is not whether Kamala can beat Trump. It’s whether Kamala can beat Robert F.…pomeline (79)in democrat • 4 months agoMore top Dems call for Biden withdrawal.Last few days have made it clear some of Biden's closest advisors are listening to the worst information sources about his election chances, but also that some of Biden's critics have some really…sadcorp (51)in news • 4 months agoBIDEN QUITTING… Withdrawing from President Race by the Weekend...⚡I TOLD YOU SO! BIDEN DOWN! IRAN "HORROR" NUCLEAR PREDICTION AND CANCELLED ELECTIONS!BIDEN QUITTING… Withdrawing from President Race by the Weekend ⚡I TOLD YOU SO! BIDEN DOWN! IRAN "HORROR" NUCLEAR PREDICTION AND CANCELLED ELECTIONS!
