New: senateAll contenthive-129948hive-196917krsteemzzanhive-183959hive-180932hive-166405uncommonlabhive-185836photographyhive-183397hive-150122hive-144064bitcoinhive-188619lifekrsuccesshive-101145hive-124908hive-139150hive-103599hive-184714hive-106183hive-103393TrendingNewHotLikersadamdick (47)in johnthune • 3 days agoUS Congressional Leadership Remains United in Devotion to Israel after Selection of New Senate Republican LeaderSome things changed in politics in Washington, DC when on Wednesday Republican United States senators via a secret ballot vote selected Sen John Thune (R-SD) to become Senate Republican leader…zafrada (78)in house • 4 days agoAdam Carlson with charts showing how the competitive Senate and House races went this cycle relative to the presidential race.For the most part down ballot Democrats did better than the top of the ticket. So people probably shouldn't overreact to the 2024 election. The Democratic Party brand isn't dead. Of the…pomeline (79)in senate • 13 days agoThis race was always so bizarre to me.Lol. Republicans didn't spend much money on it and to me it felt like their best pickup opportunity this cycle between Gaza and Mike Rogers not being a bad candidate. I wouldn't be surprised if…zafrada (78)in future • 13 days agoYhe 2028 Senate map.Since I did this with 2026, here is the 2028 Senate map. Not a great map, but in a good year some possible flips. But a lot of vulnerable seats that will need defending. A lot of vulnerabilities…pomeline (79)in pennsylvania • 14 days agoThe Associated Press has called the Pennsylvania Senate race for McCormick.Big flip for Republicans. Casey is going to lose by a hair. So we will have a 53 seat Senate. That's hard Senate math for 2026. I see about 2 pretty good flip opportunities and maybe 2 more…leguna (78)in election • 17 days agoHere are where the Senate and House forecasts stand.A lot more divergence in the models than the presidential race. Generally speaking Democrats are not favored to keep their Senate majority, but have a chance. And the House is roughly a toss-up…pomeline (79)in fivethirtyeight • 28 days agoFiveThirtyEight's Senate forecast is now live.More bearish on Democrats than the other Senate models. The model expects Republicans to get ~51-52 seats with Montana flipping and possibly Ohio. Their model is quite bearish on Dan Osborn's…pomeline (79)in split • last monthSplit Ticket's latest Senate ratings.Still kinda amazing Republicans are completely messing up open seats in Arizona and Michigan. It is the only reason the 2024 Senate map is remotely viable for Democrats. Michigan is the most…pomeline (79)in split • last monthSplit Ticket added Nebraska's Senate race to their polling averages.It would be nice to get more non-partisan polling of the race. But fwiw the Republican Senate Leadership Fund's internal memo did express concern about the race. For non-political junkies, Osborn…zafrada (78)in election • last monthThe Economist's Senate forecast.A year ago if you told me the Senate majority was still in play I'd have been deeply skeptical. The 2024 Senate map couldn't have been worse, especially when Manchin said he was retiring. That…bumblecat (78)in election • last monthThe 2026 Senate map is fairly reasonable, so Dems could get two shots at the Senate majority.Even just with SCOTUS, the election could easily be the difference between a return to a 5-4 court or a 7-2 court for years to come. Thomas is 76. Alito is 74. Sotomayor is 70. Roberts is 69. Next…pomeline (79)in senate • last monthHere are where the Senate and House election forecasts stand.Race to the White House: Senate: Republicans with a 62.5% chance of taking the Senate. House: Democrats with a 64.2% chance of taking the House. Split Ticket: Senate: Republicans with a 73%…zafrada (78)in nebraska • last monthThe Nebraska Senate race is only separated by a point in the polling.If Osborn wins it could be an interesting Senate balance. He's running as an independent and it is unclear who he will caucus with. In the Senate, each party votes for their party leader and the…bumblecat (78)in senate • last monthAllred vs Beto.Pretty good stuff. Allred is actually only down 3 points in the polls. He's doing better than Tester is doing in Montana. So worth taking seriously. The Senate majority may rest on it. For the…pomeline (79)in pennsylvania • last monthMcCormick's Senate campaign is giving Dr. Oz vibes.Pennsylvania Republicans keep picking the worst candidates. Republicans have spent a small fortune on this race. It is one of the Senate races they've spent the most on, besides Ohio. But Casey…adamdick (47)in israel • last monthOld Lies Behind Israel’s War Live On in Senate ResolutionWe are now a year into the Israel government’s military action devastating the people and infrastructure of Gaza and since expanded into escalating violence against countries including Lebanon and…pomeline (79)in osborn • 2 months agoIt would be really hilarious if Senate control comes down to independent Dan Osborn in Nebraska.He's still holding up in the polls. It is basically a toss-up in the polling. But state fundamentals heavily favor Fischer here. And a betting man would assume the large number of undecideds will…pomeline (79)in texas • 2 months agoWith all the focus on the presidential race, few are talking about control in the Senate.The polls seem to indicate that Tester is going down in Montana. With the certain loss in WV this will give the Repubs the Senate no matter what. EXCEPT there is noise being made in Texas by…pomeline (79)in fivethirtyeight • 2 months agoFiveThirtyEight's initial Senate polling averages.Yes at least according to the polling, Cruz is in one of the tightest Senate races this cycle. Don't count out some of these races. We haven't had much high quality Senate polling this cycle, so I…zafrada (78)in manchin • 2 months agoNegative endorsement.Lol. If anything I feel like this is a negative endorsement. Biden won this state by 33 points. In a presidential election cycle, I don't see that much split ticket voting. Not when the Senate…
