But Mr Biden could snatch Arizona, a once reliably conservative state. Fox News and the Associated Press have projected Mr Biden will win that state and CBS News, the BBC's US partner, says it is leaning the Democrat's way.A loss for Mr Trump in that once reliably Republican state would be a potentially serious setback.The Rust Belt battlegrounds of Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin - which propelled Mr Trump to the White House four years ago - still look as though they could tip either way.Pennsylvania is considered crucial for Mr Trump if he is to stave off defeat.
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Other key states such as Georgia and North Carolina are also toss-ups. Mr Trump will keep hold of Ohio and Missouri, known as bellwether states because they have so often predicted the eventual winner, according to the BBC's projection. Mr Trump is also projected by the BBC to win Nebraska, though Mr Biden picked up one vote there in the electoral college, which could turn out to be crucial.