Investigating the Top 50 Cryptocurrencies, Part 34/50: Tether

in cryptocurrency •  7 years ago 

Tether is a cryptocurrency token that is strictly pegged to $1 USD, with each token being backed by a dollar of fiat currency held in reserve.


source: tether.io
.

The Tether token has been remarkably stable so far. For 2.5 years it has retained a value of $1.00 with only minor fluctuations. The worst price it has reached is $0.92, and it didn’t stay there for long.

There are some questions about the integrity of the team that runs Tether. There are supposed to be reserves that contain one dollar of fiat currency for every dollar of the cryptocurrency in circulation. However after a recent $30 million hack of the Tether Treasury and a rapid token supply increase, some users are not sure what to think.

About This Series + Disclaimer

This post is part of a new series where I investigate each of the top 50 coins by marketcap (based on coinmarketcap.com's rankings on October 11, 2017). My goal is to help steem’s userbase become the most knowledgable blockchain community in the world.

Disclaimer: I am not an investment expert and will not be providing investment advice. I will teach you about the top 50 coins, and you can do what you want with that info.

Pegged Cryptocurrencies

The recent extreme overvaluation of Steem Backed Dollars has left a lot of us wondering if it’s possible to maintain a solid peg for a currency.

One thing to keep in mind is that there are a lot more Tether in circulation than SBD. That means it would be way harder to pump Tether than it is to pump SBD. Another consideration is that Tether ONLY exists to be a pegged cryptocurrency. SBDs, in contrast, are a small part of the broad steem ecosystem.

The circulating supply of SBDs is 3,626,800. Tether’s circulating supply is 814,017,348 USDT. That means that there are 22.4x as many Tether as there are SBDs.

The value of Tether was rock solid at $1.00 for the first two years. It’s impressive to look at that market chart btw (it’s at the end of this post), such a strange chart compared to other tokens lol. The market cap has gone WAY up in the last eight months though and now the price is getting shakier.

As I’m writing this paragraph, it’s off by three cents:

That may not seem like much, but you should look for yourself at the chart. It was SO STABLE for the first two years, and it became visibly shakier after that.

The Controversy / Hack

I previously wrote about the Tether hack for Bitcoin Canada.

There are a lot of tether tokens held in a “treasury” account. This gives the Tether staff the ability to sell new tokens and buy tokens currently in circulation. Anybody can redeem their tether tokens for dollars at any time.

However, a recent hack resulted in 30 million tether tokens being pulled out of the Treasury by a third party. Tether jumped into action quickly and issued a hardfork that blacklisted the funds and made it impossible for anybody to use them or redeem them. They claimed that this would take care of the immediate problem by invalidating the gains earned for the hackers.

Quartz has this fascinating article which points out that Bitfinex and Tether both share some key staff members. There are suspicions that Tether may not have enough fiat currency in reserve to support the current $800,000,000+ of tokens in circulation.

Token Distribution

I can’t find much information about the initial Tether distribution. This token is unusual in that the initial distribution is not about sending out a lot of tokens to a wide number of people… it’s more about just making them available for buyers.

Many tokens start with a flashy announcement and a big ICO. People try to buy in early to get cheap tokens which may appreciate in value. None of that applies to Tether.

Tether started offering tokens from its treasury and users began to buy in at the start of April 2015. For a long time, there were only a few hundred thousand tokens in circulation - a far cry from today’s 800+ million tokens.

The Team

all photos are from https://tether.to/about-us/

Here are a few of the key members of the Tether team.

JR Van Der Velde, CEO

JR holds a high profile role as the CEO of Bitfinex along with being the CEO of Tether. In fact, I notice that Tether isn’t even listed on his LinkedIn profile, which is weird. Prior to Bitfinex/Tether, JR worked as CEO of PAG Asia Inc. and Co-founder of “Tuxia GmbH” where he helped to develop “Linux Solutions”.

Giancarlo Devasini, CFO

Giancarlo is also the CFO of Bitfinex (again, there’s a New York Times article talking about the bitfinex/tether connection). There is not much other information about his career history available online.

Phillip G. Potter, Chief Strategy Officer

Phillip is the Chief Strategy Officer for Bitfinex as well… notice a pattern? While I can’t find any detailed history on his career, I can find some evidence of him putting his foot in his mouth regarding insider trading on Bitfinex.

Note: I can’t say for sure if it’s a good/bad thing that all of Tether’s executives are also the execs of Bitfinex. Just reporting the facts here.

Market History

Are you ready to see one of the weirdest market charts ever?

This makes perfect sense because Tether is designed to stay at a value of $1 no matter what. It’s also funny as hell to look at.

I have no investment comments to make here since Tether isn’t designed for any speculation. Given all of the controversy surrounding this token right now, you may want to avoid storing any large amount of wealth in it.

Final Thoughts

I’m waiting to see how the Tether story plays out. Ever since the $30 million hack, there have been whispers and rumors about potential foul play happening at Tether.

Are these rumors legitimate? I have no idea. It’s unfortunate timing that this Tether article came up in my posting schedule right after the hack, because I am not qualified to comment on that controversy too much.

I know the basic story - $30 million disappeared from Tether’s treasury, Tether issued a hard fork to blacklist those tokens, and they claim to have it under control. But I don’t want to make any comments on the Bitfinex connection (all three top executives for Bitfinex and Tether are the same) or the recent large number of new tokens printed (more than 200 million in the last two weeks!!) - those aspects are beyond my knowledge.

If you are going to hold any Tether tokens, please, do your research.

With that caveat in place…

What do you think of Tether?

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Is it not possible that the big investors that are pumping crypto would also want an easy way to transfer into USD for their escapades? It is much easier to switch from crypto/crypto then it is crypto/fiat. It takes times and huge charges.

I wonder if people are looking to far into this. If I was betting millions on following waves up and down, and if my money is inflating crazily with the market, I want a safe space to store it during uncertain times.

I am guessing it may also be possible that these big investors could take out there money that is backing tether at any times.

It's possible, but the way that the token supply has increased so rapidly in the last few months is shocking

And the crypto market has grown like 200B in the last month.... Probably 350B in the last few months. Doesn't seem unprecedented.

But, this is all guessing. :P

Very informative post! Im gonna follow up for more
Thanks for sharing

I don’t understand the appeal of Tether. If it is pegged so well to the USD, what is the point? Why not just hold USD?

Also all the concerns around the hack and the links with bitfinex etc make this one to avoid in my book.

Most exchanges don't have trading pairs matched to real USD so it's often not an option if you are actively trading. I am skeptical of Tether but I also don't like holding my trading funds in BTC due to its volatility.

Ok good point. But most exchanges don’t offer all alt/ tether pairs either. I accept bitcoin is extremely volatile but is in a bull market. Given the accusations of fraud that surround tether plus the fact that it’s not a decentralised currency (ie not really crypto) I would much rather trust btc.

Same reason I used to hold SBD - so that I could avoid losing a large % of my money to a market downturn.

Of course now with SBD all bets are off.. and Tether even worse... maybe some of the BitShares pegged currencies will still be stable, but at this point who knows.

At least bitshares tied currencies are decentralised and not subject to a company going bust, running off with your funds or other kinds of fraud! I don’t trust tether. Too much created recently without explanation.

Totally agree with you about both BitShares and Tether. Tether's looking mighty suspicious right now lol

  ·  7 years ago (edited)

Another important point- So far Tether has been trading their tokens 1:1 for USD, but their Terms of Service specifically reject any guarantee that they will ever do that:

"3. PURCHASE AND REDEMPTION OF TETHERS: ...
There is no contractual right or other right or legal claim against us to redeem or exchange your Tethers for money. We do not guarantee any right of redemption or exchange of Tethers by us for money. There is no guarantee against losses when you buy, trade, sell, or redeem Tethers."
https://tether.to/legal/

I've seen several blockchain projects with this kind of clause where they deny any actual responsibility to follow through on anything. Its weird. Some kind of regulatory thing. You're right, it doesnt bode well

Tether sounds so sexual. Where is LeatherCoin?

lol

I wonder how tether will be affected if a major country starts placing their currency as the blockchain. Probably will not happen with the US Fed with their USD or with the EURO, but maybe some smaller country.

Maaaybe but I cant imagine the cryptocurrency community adopting any sort of state sponsored blockchains

Bittrex still trusts them a lot. This is enough guarantee for me for a while.

Hmmm bittrex has a lot of tokens I'm not sure what their standards are for listing/delisting a token

really nice learning & helpfull blog..like it

thanks