Bitcoin analysis. Are we at the local minimum with Bitcoin price (#29)

in cryptocurrency •  7 years ago 

bitcoin_tech_analysis2_jan_30.png

Bitcoin is in bearish mode from the last all times height and an bearish market pattern just don't want to go away. Everybody now discussing about where price will turn north again.

btc01_jan_30.png

I find some interesting patterns and similarities on chart above. In the beginning of this year Bitcoin price formed interesting pattern in W shape. It seams that now we are in a local price minimum and it is heading north for a while.
I spot two interesting W shape patterns or fractals which are similar in shape. Lately i found out that on my charts with equiv potential lines that overall this type of pattern triggers a uptrend move in 66% of cases. It is a little more reliable in uptrend than than in a downtrend movements of price.
Price is confined between EP320 and EP700 equiv potential lines and trading is conducted in this dynamic channel for two weeks now. When price starts to penetrate this channel in December a descending support curve (in orange) is formed, but ascending volume picks had formed in that period. In latter period we have ascending support curve and descending volume.
In former case W shape pattern produce a uptrend rally to the main support line and is likely that in latter case something similar will happen. wedges in MACD and RSI indicators support price ascend and volume decreasing is against the ascend. I bet on moving price to the target T2 = $13700.
This W shapes work similarly as double tops or bottoms except dips in pattern must be compared to the first lower EP line. In classical TA we assume that dips and picks are on the same potential (horizontal line) but I think that moving averages as equiv potential lines describe price potential better, in overall uptrend market as Bitcoin is at the moment. So in ascending market two picks from which first is lower then the second, have same potential according to the equiv potential lines and opposite is valid in overall descending market.


I decide not only predicting price movement but also start a small portfolio currently consisted from three coins: BTC, LTC and DASH. Some more will be added latter when good buy opportunities arise.

BTC: price=$11950 amount=$15
LTC: price=$200.00 amount=$15
DASH: price=817.89 amount=$15

Let trade this portfolio together and learn some interesting stuff in crypto trading. I'm open for your suggestions and remarks in comment section of this blog.


Don't forget to check out this new TFDSRE thing Elliott waves are not the only thing, you can surf on: #1, #2, #3, #4.

Previous analysis: #22, #23, #24, #25, #26, #27,#28. Is good to check them out to get insight into my reasoning.

Image sources: Investing.com,

Data sources: Bitfinex exchange

Disclaimer: If you use my ideas and analyses in your investment ventures, you take all responsibility and consequences about your actions.

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Thanks for the analysis @tombort. What I understood from your wonderful piece is that we should right now enrich our portfolio with a few stronghead Cryptos like BTC, LTC and DASH. My favorite is ETH as well so I am gonna add that too. Plus NEO, ADA, POE and FUN are my favorites as well.

During the bearish market we should keep on buying as soon as the price gets cheaper. As soon as the market will turn bullish, your will make good profits and will be able to take them out frequently.

Thanks again for the pointers included in the post. 💯/💯

I personally favor coins with good decentralization feature. Bitcoin is the king because massive power of miners supporting network. They effectively transform electrical power into valuable coins securing network at the same time. Steem and BitShares are also well decentralized with use of DPOS algorithm where witnesses compete to get best positions for their block producing nodes.
ETH, ADA, DOGE, Monero, EOS and many other coins are well decentralized too. But stay away from Ripple, ITOA, NEM and maybe some others where closed teams are behind them and controlling their networks in great extend.

I also not prefer centralized exchanges (Bitfinex, CoinBase, Bitstamp, Kraken, .....) because a lot of personal information is gathered there which can compromise you and heard your anonymity. I strictly trade on BitShares and waiting also on OmiseGO platform to fire up. His coin is also very bullish at the moment (+5% at the time of writing). BitShares don't hold any of your personal data and there is no company behind BitShares. It's blockchain handles everything and exchange there is fast , chip to operate, reliable and your funds are under your full control, because you hold private key of your account there.

Read more about in one of my old articles: Why IRS can bust you on centralized exchanges and not on Bitshares!.