Bitcoin catching its breath before next move

in cryptocurrency •  7 years ago  (edited)

bitcoin.png

Looking at the 30 min chart, we can see what appears to be a bullish pennant.

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.01.18 PM.png

This usually forms during the correction that follows 5 completed waves. Given the pattern is more one of consolidation than straight up or down movement, I believe it's most likely we're in an ABCDE type correction. If that's true, it may play out like this:

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.12.11 PM.png

It is possible that this is an ABC correction. This is not my primary count, but I can't take it off the table. If this scenario is true, it may play out like this:

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.56.40 PM.png

Looking at the 30 min RSI, we can see a strong support line has formed at 43.3. If this support holds, I expect scenario 1 to remain in play. If it breaks, expect scenario 2.

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.24.36 PM.png

The 1 hour RSI also has an ascending support line that has formed. If this holds, scenario 1 is most likely to complete.

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.32.19 PM.png

Looking at the bigger picture, even if bitcoin does drop as outlined in scenario 2, I believe a strong impulse wave up would follow. The 8 day, 21 day and 55 day EMA's all indicate an over all uptrend will continue.

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.36.14 PM.png

If you aren't familiar with how to use EMA indicators, you can reference my post on the topic here: https://steemit.com/cryptocurrency/@workin2005/simple-effective-strategy-to-buying-and-selling-market-trends

Looking at the 4 hour MACD, we can see the wedge that I've pointed out these past 2 weeks has still not been broken. The histogram continues to be squeezed tighter and tighter. This may eventually lead to a major breakout as we get closer to the apex of the wedge.

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.32.59 PM.png

Finally, we can see the bull flag I pointed out yesterday on the daily RSI is still in play. This is another sign of strength.

Screen Shot 2018-05-04 at 1.20.59 PM.png

BIAS:

Short Term: Neutral
Longterm: Very Bullish

I hope this has been helpful. I’d be happy to answer any questions in the comment section below. Thanks for stopping by!

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Disclaimer: I am NOT a financial advisor and this is NOT financial advice. Please always do your own research and invest responsibly.

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Very well explained. Keep up the good work.

Bravo...I may just quit doing my own TA and rely on yours. lol

Never stop doing your own. I've seen yours...it's good. ;-)

nice analysis. sounds good. Today we are attacking 10k and then next resistance should be 11800 or so.