You accumulate, I speculate - something like that happening in today's post......
It's been a bit of a charts and pies week from me. These posts, along with the Engagement League, seem to get a fair amount of attention, and @arcange has visited with a 'congratulations, this post has received X replies... top 10' on all three of my efforts this week. Hurray!
It's actually part of the reason I've not posted for a couple of days. Replying to comments takes time for sure! But you know, when you get comments like this on your post, everything is alright :)
First off, Thank You Asher, this is my 52nd week. One year of you working for me for free. Thank you for that by the way. I really do appreciate all the tracking and helping keep me on track by letting me know where I am and what I have been doing
@bashadow there with my favourite this week 🙏🏼
Today's chart is slightly different to what I've done so far in that i'll be doing a bit of guesswork into your future.
The subject is Curation Rewards, and using past performance with a rough calculation/pin Excels linear trend-line feature, I'd like to have a go at guessing what your rewards via curation may look like for the rest of the year.
Clearly there are some factors which could make my estimation way out - you could buy a butt-load of STEEM, or (sadly) sell up and move on. I would of course be happy to be way off the mark if the first happened 😃
Recent and future delegations will likely throw the estimation out too. In the case of my chart below, I think this is likely to be the case and I don't expect to reach the 350 SP estimation given in the chart below. Something to aim for though I guess!
There are a few more chart options in Excel, including 'Exponential' and 'Polynomial'. The first showed a rather ridiculous 9000 SP for December 2019, and the latter looks like this:
Errr, no.
I must admit, their are additional tweaks that can be made to the trend-lines, but I'm no Excel expert and couldn't make the line go how I wanted it too.
So without powering down, a huge delegation, and consistent posting throughout this year, I'll go with an absolute maximum of 350 SP earned for December 2018, and think that due to recent delegations (and existing ones that can always change in an instant), the total is probably more likely to be closer to 250 SP.
I'm going to set a 'remind-me' in the comments so I'll be back at the end of the year to check on how the guestimations went.
Cheers to the person creating this useful Bot 👍
Alright then, who wants a chart which has some truth and a good deal of speculation?
Cheers
Asher
Man, if you were able to get that ROI each month, you'll be swimming in Steem in 2020.
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Yeah that's not going to happen :D
Delegations could hinder that target though :)
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Go on, I'm a sucker for all this stuff! I am actively aiming for a minimum of 3500 SP in curation. Lol, we will see how that pans out. :0D
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Hell yes 3.5k Curation! Think of all the chocolaty beeers!
The linear chart looked like a total lie but this one a bit more like it - hopefully!
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Well they do say you gotta aim high!! I like that line!! :0)
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Thank you for doing this.
I want one. ME! ME! ME! :D
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But maybe this is a better representation for you?
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Thank you so much.
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Speaking as a researcher with some experience in data interpretation, I have to disagree that your graphs come "with a good deal of speculation", but rather are pure speculation.
Having said that... Please bring it on! ;-P
$rewarding 100% 14min
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ha! I appreciate your honesty :) Yeah clearly this is not finiancial advice and just a bit of fun :)
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Speculate all over me
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🙈
For some reason, the 2nd chart started working for your data. Wonder which one will be the most accurate in the end.
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It is obviously heavily affected by the delegations in and out but it is an interesting view. How long until I can live off curation?
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Sorry, Excel crashed due to invalid time-frame :)
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:')
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Dude!
This is one up from defecating on ones post!
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I just could not help myself. :D
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So, there is a too far.
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@abh12345, @tarazkp @zemiatin come on Guys accidents happen 😂😂😂
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😂
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Yes, please do me kind Sir.
Pretty interesting stuff.
I would guess it would be around 120 or so for me.
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LOL!
Yeah let's go with 120! Your SP movement seems to have been fairly erratic this year and therefore totally f-ing the chart up!
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chaos!!!
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haha, yep!
Which way is the man going!
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Predict for me! :)
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Seems you have bought a chunk and powered up recently so I expect the the below to be a better prediction!
Clearly the charts have the potential to be not even close to reality! :D
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Thanks! I was afraid that something like this would come out :D
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Lol
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ha!!
Can Curation Rewards go negative, I hope not!
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Wish it was the case for the circle jerks
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Great that you decided to make a post about this. This maybe opens the eyes of people that curation is an important and not to be underestimated factor on the steem blockchain!
If your prediction is correct, I would earn as much SP in Dec 2019 as I did earn in the first 3 months on steem :)!
And @bashadow is correct! Thanks for being here for us!
Cheers,
Peter
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Thanks :)
Yeah I thought why not seeing as I took a look for you this morning, with the intention to show you that those Cur rewards can stack up over time!
Yours looks reasonable, likely due to no sizable delgations / power-ups / power-downs in your history.
Cheers!
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Hit me with the good stuff please Asher
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The alright stuff:
The good stuff!
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Thanks Asher. Looks like some significant investment and powering up could be a good idea.
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Hehe love how you always work with the figures! But the best thing Ive learned from this post is the remind-me feature!👍what a beautiful hidden feature😍
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Great feature! Far more useful and accurate than the charts I suspect!
That recent sharp move up could mean this could be closer to the truth?
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One speculation for me, please. 🙂
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Of course....
Looks like the snake has reared it's head for a bite at high Cur. Rewards :)
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Wish I could get a hundred or more per month.
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Then let's include the exponential target too :D
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It will take me until June before I can get that.
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Advance thank you, but can I get one for me too
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Both charts for you as the 2nd looks far more likely!
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Wow, thanks again :)
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Let your crystal ball speak man.
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Just giving it a rub now......
Looks like someone has been buying on the cheap and so maybe (without more buys!)...
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Yeah, can't leave bargains; did some "shopping" every now and then.
Thanks mate.
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Oh darling, throw one at me! Your numbers and charts just do it for me. **bats eyelashes, pretends to understand...
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haha :D
The more excitable chart..
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Shoot me plz :)
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Steady growth says 65/70 at the end of the year but perhaps you would like to aim for...
🤑
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Hehe. Thanks mate! Always kind and helpful!
Cheers!
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Cool. I'll take a prediction. :)
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The chart is confused :D
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Very interesting. Thanks.
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Hello Asher!!!
Can you predict my Curation in Dec.19?
I do not want to start a Power Down during 2019 and I do not think that I will delegate something. So my prediction for Dec.19 is to have 5K SP. That is a my goal and I hope to reach that target.
In this way my idea is to be able to gain 18 Steem for week in December and 930 with a 52 weeks prediction.
Thank you, man!☺️👍
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Sure :)
40 SP target!
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I never looked into the curation side of things which is probably a mistake on my side. I know that there are ways to increase the rewards thay you earn but it's something I never paid attention to. I still just vote for content that I enjoy like an amatuer.
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Honestly I don't think it gets interesting until you have a reasonable sum of SP. I've started to notice 40 SP a week from 17k though, that's not too far from 2000 SP a year from up-voting content, damn!
Looking good for 16, but let's go for 25!
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T Hanks for printing up the chart, it certainly is interesting viewing for me. I think that there is a lot of room for improvement so i'll have to take a look at more effective curation rather than my current process of random voting. 25 should be very manageable if not more.
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Yay, great initiative Asher! Can I have mine please? 😀
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Sure!
Wow! What happened last month?! You are surely going to beat 25 in December 2019. Maybe something more like:
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Thank you Asher, hard work happened last month 😁 It looks good though.I'm going to make a screenshot with your prediction and compare it next year :) Will you promise to do a similar chart with the actual numbers in January 2020?
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Well done 😁
Yes I have set a reminder for the end of the year so I can see how wrong I was!
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Thank you! How wrong you were? It's not you, but people, always people! Blame them for everything, math is always right 😁
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Haha I totally want this chart generated for my acc :D thx :)
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Do we have a recent buyer in the house? :D
Some more of that and it could be more like...
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I always like your charts!!
And the better part is that they are always super relevant and interesting.
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Cheers Diogo :D
Some Selling/delegations are confusing the charts, hopefully a better target than this at the end of the year!
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Ye, it is curious to see when I started to understand more about STEEM and SP, it happened in May and I started delegating to some projects...
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Me please! I think I could do much better here but it is always good to see it!
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Sure!
A slow start but picking up pace...
Which could mean this is more likely for the end of the year...
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Challenge accepted! Let’s try this!
@remind-me in 340 days
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Hey @newageinv, I will notify you on December 31st 2019, 12:00:00 pm (UTC)
Later! ( read more... )
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Hi @newageinv!
You asked me in this comment to create a reminder.
It seems the time has passed!
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I have to say, @abh12345, that it is cool to wake up to these things. Just don't run out of idea for piechats and graphs before we're even out of January. :)
No guesses at all on this one. Predicting the future is not my forte. :) But if you please, I would like to see what the future could look like.
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Well I can always bring back some of the most popular previous work, if I can find it :)
I'd suggest the top is a low range, no future buys (and no reincarnation of the musing delegation) target, which the bottom being far more speculative and likely requiring further investment.
Just a bit of fun, they are both heading the right way and that's the main thing :)
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Hi Asher. You have made me curious enough to please ask for one as well.
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The above looks very achievable, maybe this could be more like it :)
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Very achievable as I am on 45 or so now and will use this as a guide to try and beat it. Prefer the bottom chart though so I guess somewhere in between both.Thank you more tools to use.
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The graphs would be more meaningful as a percentage of SP, thereby removing changes in SP as a factor.
When plotted as a %, curation rewards will only increase due to some improved strategy but will eventually plateau in line with the blockchain distribution.
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Yes, most likely. Without an account history table telling me 'this is how much SP one had on a given week/month' it's a bit trickier to do.
Curation rewards should always be rising, as long as the account is earning and powering up?
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Yes, in absolute terms, and powering up, curation rewards should be increasing. I see many requesting their personal graphs :-) nice touch!
For me, the % of SP values also gives me info on how the whole blockchain is behaving - and any glitches!
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so curious. I don't get how you make the charts... :P Scratching my head trying to see how I can do it. :P
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For some reason, the chart is showing a blank.
Your total SP earned via curation is 0.08101559944725 SP and I think that is too low to form any data. Sorry!
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Hi @abh12345!
Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 6.820 which ranks you at #107 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has not changed in the last three days.
In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 203 contributions, your post is ranked at #2. Congratulations!
Evaluation of your UA score:
Feel free to join our @steem-ua Discord server
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Id love to know mine, but Im guessing its going to be crazy random.
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Oh no! A path to 0!
The simple chart not liking powerdown/delegation information :D
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I haven't powered down and it's been delegation, but I'm building that Steem Power backup!
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Have you ever posted a chart of curration rewards vs steempower. Would be neat to see a range of curration you can expect vs steem power.
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I have not, and it would vary a lot per person and their activities.
From the Engagement League post, you can see that the 'best' curators can earn upwards of 3 SP a week, for every 1000 Steem Power they hold.
Most of us can expect to earn 1-2 SP a week, for each 1000 SP held.
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Have you ever done a tutorial showing / explaining how you obtain the information.
Would love to see a beinners guide or how to so I could start making some of my own charts.
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@remind-me in 339 days
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Hey @abh12345, I will notify you on December 30th 2019, 12:00:00 pm (UTC)
Later! ( read more... )
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Hi @abh12345!
You asked me in this comment to create a reminder.
It seems the time has passed!
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I'm always in for some speculation.
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YESSS - I'd love to know :D
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After doing a few of these I'm hoping that this number is the minimum:
And something closer to this is what we want :)
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I'm not complaining! 1-2 STEEM a day for something I now do manually but could also be done through bots which could even optimize the rewards... That's a neat passive income if you ask me :-)
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Not bad at all is it. And yes, automating this would likely double what you earn via curation rewards.
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I might try it for a few months, maybe. I love manually curating because it feels good to sometimes give that 100% upvote instead of the 10% I might have given though a voting bot... But seeing what I can ‘accomplish’ by tweaking curation has its own attraction.
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Next pie on My list please ....
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But, it's a line :D
A nice jump recently so maybe you can have one eye on this instead :D
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Since I am planning on still being around in december 2019, a little ghost of christmas future would be nice. My guess is the 7 SP, (almost), for month I got last month will hopefully grow to about 10-15 SP a month by the end of the year.
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Well I hope you plan to also, let's have a look what the speculative charts say..
Seems that somewhere between 10-15 is likely, my reminder is set :)
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Now if the price of steem rises, and my vote value increases, that would mean more votes, so more curation. I just hope it does not keep going down again. It was so nice to see 470 in my wallet, and now back going down again to 454. At least it is not below 400 again yet.
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Can I have my dose of curation reward data, please?
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Yep :)
This chart looks way too conservative in light of recent gains, perhaps the below will be closer to the mark?
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I would love to see mine
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This post has been included in the latest edition of SoS Daily News - a digest of all you need to know about the State of Steem.
Editor of the The State of Steem SoS Daily News.
Promoter of The State of Steem SoS Weekly Forums.
Editor of the weekly listing of steem radio shows, podcasts & social broadcasts.
Founder of the A Dollar A Day charitable giving project.
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Congratulations @abh12345!
Your post was mentioned in the Steem Hit Parade in the following category:
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Very cool initiative!
Whether I make it or not, my "ambition" is to reach 1000SP by the end of 2019, so it'll be interesting to see how much I might expect ("speculate") on curation figuring into that.
Do mine, please!
=^..^=
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The chart is unsure of your future :)
I think you'll be doing better than that if you keep building your SP.
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Ah, the inconclusive result... how very cat-like of me! Thanks for taking the time Asher, appreciate it.
=^..^=
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I'm wondering what mine looks like....when you have time!
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or the more speculative
all depends on if you are powering up and beavering away til the end of the year. Lets hope for chart 2 :)
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Ha! Beavering away. It's what I do!
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Asher, this is interesting. Can you show me mine? Thanks.
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Perhaps powerdowns/delegations are confusing matters here :)
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It is the undelegation there. Looks interesting.
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It is the huge delegation there so there was a big drop off. Looks interesting. Thanks.
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If you are still up for doing another chart (or two) I'd be interested to see for PIFC and my account (@thedarkhorse).
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