The development trend of human society
The Soviets entered space in 1961, and the Americans landed on the moon in 1969. At that time, many people fantasized about the space age, but in fact 50 years have passed. Mankind did not go in this direction at all, but came up with things like chips, software, and the Internet. Therefore, the general direction of human development is not higher, faster and stronger, but from reality to virtual.
This process has two characteristics. One is that a large number of commercial activities change from real to virtual, and the other is that it is becoming more and more free, widespread and cheap. Bitcoin at the time fits these two characteristics.
The characteristics of the next generation of technological revolution
Compared with the previous generation of technology, the next generation of technology must be in a completely different form. It must be impossible for the previous generation to guess, and even if it is guessed, it is impossible to figure it out, resulting in a misjudgment. For example, in the Internet after the PC era, even Bill Gates seriously misjudged and despised the Internet, and then finally understood. This is the characteristic of new things, otherwise it will always be the older generation who will continue to occupy the commanding heights of the times after they have understood it. The latter wave can no longer shoot the former wave. This is not in line with the law of the development of the times.
So the next generation of technological revolution is to make you unable to guess. Bitcoin is obvious. The Internet is free to copy and copy information, but Bitcoin just does not allow this. It runs counter to the spirit of free copy and spread on the Internet. Moreover, a string of numbers can represent huge wealth, and it is even more impressive. Incredible.
At that time, looking at it from the perspective of the Internet era felt very nonsense, and it was precisely because it looked nonsense that I thought it might be the next technological revolution. Anything that can be imagined and figured out by this generation cannot be the next generation of technological revolution, which does not conform to the historical law of removing the old and welcoming the new. At present, Bitcoin is the most nonsense, the most controversial, and the most opposition, so it is most likely to be the next generation of water.
The law of time (the castrated part)
Another point is that in the IT world, a generation of technology appears almost every 15 years. Tube computer (1946), transistor computer (from about 1959 to 1964), integrated circuit PC (1977, Apple II), Internet (opened to the world in 1993), Bitcoin (2009), all happened to be 15 About years.
At the time, I thought that smart phones (iphone in 2007) might be the next generation technology, but I thought it was too normal, so I passed it.
Then, we can use the above conclusions to make some useful predictions?
This means that the next generation of technology may appear around 2025;
This technology will definitely be ridiculed, despised and not understood by 95% of the group of friends.
Only in this way can we redistribute the wealth of our Bitcoin billionaires. Therefore, artificial intelligence should not be because the time is not right, and it is too normal, everyone is optimistic and understands it.
So, at present, it may be it: Sina Visitor System.
The reason is also very simple, because people who have seen it will subconsciously feel that "it's too nonsense." But in fact, it conforms to the third law below.
In the industrial age, we can produce goods in large quantities, even in excess.
To a certain extent, this is material freedom;
In the PC and Internet era, we can mass produce and transmit information, which is freedom of information;
In the Bitcoin era, we can penetrate all capital blockades. This is currency freedom;
Then the next one, it is possible to achieve energy freedom.
And the reason for this order, you can understand if you think about it, it's because the scale of human control over matter can get smaller and smaller.
Therefore, in 2025, due to the continuous deepening of the mining chip industry on the micro-scale, it is possible that when a chip company announces that it can create this new revolutionary product, there is a high probability that it will need financing, but no one believes this story at all. Bonds could not be sold, and the issuance of stocks could not pass the review of the China Securities Regulatory Commission. No venture capitalists dared to lose this face in La Angel round. In desperation, the company had to use the previous generation technology, the ICO function of BCH, to raise funds from around the world... ...
