Subgroup polling.

in election •  3 months ago 

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Good charts for seeing how subgroup polling can often be quite off from the actual election results (polling is weighted for the topline, not the crosstabs).

Robust polling of both subgroups sees some slippage from prior elections, but not a ton. But even that could be off.

There are some reasonable stories you can tell about these voting groups. But we'll just have to wait for the election results for confirmation.

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