⚽️ English Premier League Goal Expectancies & Bet of the week (Gameweek 31) ⚽️

roscar9 (44) · 7 years ago

I think that Salah will score at least a goal and the much is going to be over 2.5 goals. I don't really think that Watford's defense can compete with Liverpool's attack.

beat-the-bookies (63) · 7 years ago

Too many games being postponed this weekend, let's see what can we make out of those that are still playing:

(OG3+ = BTTS&Over2.5 | DA = Yes)

The game that worries me the most is the Liverpool's. Such a talented and powerful squad, but they perform a bit randomly. When you expect them to do a routine job, they screw it up. When you give up on them, they start destroying their opponents,... I have the love-hate relationship with them :-)

acelad (52) · 7 years ago

As a Liverpool fan I know what you mean all too well! Playing a "mid-table" team at Anfield tends to go one of three ways:

(50%) We dominate high up the pitch, create early chances, sustain pressure, and win comfortably by 2+ goals
(30%) We are forced into playing a slow tempo, patient build-up due to the opposition shape. By 60' if things haven't changed the players start making bad decisions (shooting from outside the area instead of dribbling/passing for a better chance). These kinds of games have a decent chance of ending a draw, and I can usually tell if it's going to be one of those days shortly after HT if there's no reaction from the players.
(20%) We are holding a 1-goal lead late in the game, letting the opponent have the ball a lot more than the rest of the game. We're just one defensive mistake away from a draw here, and you can tell the players have that in their minds. Note: This has actually improved a lot as the season has gone on, and with the arrival of Van Dijk.

Good luck with your bets, I certainly wouldn't be surprised to see you make a profit on those :).

2 votes

beat-the-bookies (63) · 7 years ago (edited)

Good luck with your bets, I certainly wouldn't be surprised to see you make a profit on those :).

Thanks mate!
As they say... even a broken clock is right twice a day :-)

acelad (52) · 7 years ago

Bournemouth one is a winner, and the Stoke-Everton 1-1 was close! 84th min winner from Everton to make it 1-2. Maybe if they didn't have a red card they might have held on.

(50%) We dominate high up the pitch, create early chances, sustain pressure, and win comfortably by 2+ goals

Liverpool were firmly in this scenario today, which as a fan I was happy to see, but not so good for your BTTS bet!

Huddersfield were very disappointing, and despite a couple decent wins recently, they'll need to avoid losing at home to teams like Crystal Palace if they want to avoid relegation.

3 votes

beat-the-bookies (63) · 7 years ago

I agree :-)

I've expected more of Huddersfieled (and less of Crystal Palace). The moment I've stopped supporting Crystal Palace, they decided to win :-)

costanza (69) · 7 years ago

Thanks for the weekly info Acelad !

For as far as I understand it's better to choose a 50/50 payout as long as the SBD are worth over 1$ on the market. Around 38% of your payout would be worth twice as much and could be used on the market to get more SP in return.

Good Luck !

acelad (52) · 7 years ago

Thanks @costanza, I'll take that advice on board for my future posts :).

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hassanbenali (2) · 7 years ago

good article @acelad
thank you for sharing
resteem

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bobmarli (45) · 7 years ago

Oke frend restem @bobmarli oke and vote

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