English football GW35+FA Cup preview

in football •  7 years ago  (edited)

Hi guys,
I´m coming with my numbers for more matches in England. There are Premier League matches and FA Cup semifinals as well. Numbers could be used for betting (e.x. on Cloudbet)and for playing Daily Fantasy Sports (FanTeam is my favorite site for DFS)as well. But mostly it ´s just for fun, I´m not a fortune teller or pro bettor. I´m testing my model and wanna share it with you.

Here is my table with expected goals:
expg.PNG

Stoke vs Burnley, Burnley to win
Stoke is in all or nothing mode, fighting for survive. I would be not so optimistic in Burnley as my model but still seems like a value bet with these odds. Burnley disappointed me on Thursday against Blues, I was expecting much better performance from them. Anyway one more bet on Burnley, odds are just too high to let them go.

Watford vs Crystal Palace, CP to win
Watford is playing terribly in last weeks. On the other hand, Eagles are flying very high, especially Zaha is playing great. CP is still vulnerable in defense (defending of set-pieces s little bit wild with a lot of errors), but Watford is toothless.

WBA x Liverpool, draw
WBA won over United last week was not so big surprise to me. This week WBA they face another top club. It´s a little bit hard to predict this match. Klopp could leave some big names on the bench and play with the weaker squad (same story like vs Everton). I assume this in my model and draw seems like a nice value bet.

If you wanna know more about my work, here are some more articles:
Introduction to my Daily Fantasy Sports Challenge
Preview of GW34 and summary of GW34

Where I play Daily Fantasy Sports?
I´m playing on Fanteam. It's supporting players from European Union and offers with interesting guaranteed prize pools. There is also very generous 200% bonus up to 500 Euros.

FanteamBanner

Short info for my Czech and Slovak followers:
Českou verzi víkendového preview najdete na webu fantasyman.cz a další info v mé FB skupině

Odds were taken from CloudBet.Crypto based online bookmaker with a very cool deposit bonus.

CloudbetBanner

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