The UK economy entered 2017 in good shape, albeit with rising inflation, and overshadowed by a sizeable debt to GDP ratio and current account deficit. Other major factors likely to influence market direction in 2017 will be sterling’s relative performance on world currency markets, the direction for U.S. Treasury yields, and election outcomes in Holland, France, Germany and maybe Italy.
Specific question: Will 10 Year UK gilts yields yield 2 percent higher than 2 year gilt maturities for at least 5 consecutive daily market closings up to and including June 30 2017?
Market close 12th May 2017:
UK Gilt 2 Year Yield: 0.10%
UK Gilt 10 Year Yield: 1.08%
gj
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