Winter Storm Grayson Thursday ? 1-5-2018

in grayson •  7 years ago 

Surprise ! Cold weather couldn't settle too long without a snowstorm !

As the arctic air went more South than forecasted, it appears that as a reaction, some warm sub tropical air will move north along the US East shore.

Models are still hesitant whether the storm will hit NYC/NJ

However, a trend has shown up in the last 3 GFS Model updates (American Model) showing the storm less and less offshore and bringing more and more snow each update

1/2/18 12:00 Z update (Parsippany: ~1in / NYC: 1 to 3in)

1/2/18 18:00 Z update (Parsippany: 1 to 2in / NYC: 3 to 5in)

1/3/18 00:00 Z update (Parsippany: 3 to 4in / NYC: 3 to 4in)

Personal forecast :

  • Assuming the storm path continues to move slightly more inland (Parsippany: 3 to 5in / NYC: 4 to 8in)
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1/3/18 12:00 Z Update (Parsippany: 3 to 5in / NYC: 3 to 6in)

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