Margins of error.

in harris •  5 months ago 

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This is the exact same result as their last poll in July when she became the nominee. Margins of error are your friend and why the polling averages are your friend.

In a race this close with polls with 3% margins of error, this result is compatible with a result saying Harris +5 on sampling error alone (remember margin of error applies to each vote share separately as seen in the shaded areas in the image).

So just plug it into the average.

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