What if the U.S. debt to GDP ratio surpasses the ATH?

in hive-103599 •  2 months ago  (edited)

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Source: FRED

The U.S. debt to GDP ratio started increasing again. Several interest rate cuts are coming. There's only one way for the federal funds rate to go.

I think the next 3rd altseason is coming. It will likely start this December, which means the BTC(Bitcoin) dominance will likely start collapsing from this December. Then, if the altcoin market follows the past patterns, the 3rd altseason will last 11 to 12 months.

The 1st altseason(Jan to Dec, 2017) had lasted for 12 months.

The 2nd altseason(Jan to Nov, 2021) had lasted for 11 months. But, some altcoins had lasted for only 4 months. Therefore, if this cycle follows the 2nd altseason pattern, you need to take into account to secure the cash ratio from your portfolio when it had been 4 months since the 3rd altseason started. Because, investors need to be conservative sometimes, and consider worst scenarios.

So, if the next altseason starts this December, I would increase considerable cash ratio from my portfolio in next March, even if I miss the opportunity to get insane profits.

Honestly, I hope this 3rd altseason follows the 1st altseason pattern. I prefer long-lasting bullish markets 😍

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"Love your analysis! 🤩 What do you guys think about the potential for a third altseason starting this December? Do you have any predictions or strategies in place for when it kicks off? 😊 I'm curious to hear more thoughts and ideas from our community!"

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"Great analysis on the U.S. debt to GDP ratio and its potential impact on the crypto market! I'm curious, what do you think about the possibility of a prolonged altseason? Would it be a good opportunity to diversify your portfolio or is it better to ride out the wave? And have you considered utilizing Steem's lucrative delegation opportunities to boost your earnings? With @steem.botto, you can earn up to 26% in liquid payments and BottoVotes on top of your existing returns! Plus, our Discord server (https://discord.gg/NRxBjpmzNc) is a great space for community-driven discussions and sharing ideas. Who knows, maybe this altseason will be the catalyst for you to explore new delegation options and maximize your Steem potential!"