4.17 日本赛事三场分析 4.17 analysis of three events in Japan

001 日职联 大阪钢巴vs湘南海洋
September 1, 2001 occupational union Osaka Gangba vs Xiangnan ocean
002 日职乙 水户蜀葵vs德岛漩涡
002 day job B Shuihu marshmallow vs de Island vortex
003 日职乙 横滨FCvs仙台七夕
003 job B Yokohama FCVs Sendai Tanabata
001 日职联 大阪钢巴vs湘南海洋
September 1, 2001 occupational union Osaka Gangba vs Xiangnan ocean
除了日皇杯两队出现了较大的分差以外，
In addition to the large difference between the two teams in the Japanese emperor cup,
之前交手都是你来我往。主队略佳。
You've been fighting me before. The home team is slightly better.
近期主队状态稍好。
Recently, the home team is in a slightly better state.
本场威廉希尔给出1.95-3.20-3.70的初数据，
William Hill gives the initial data of 1.95-3.20-3.70,
现调整为2.63-3.00-2.60，
Now it is adjusted to 2.63-3.00-2.60,
显得略不合理。
It seems slightly unreasonable.
上赛季差一分就降级的湘南海洋，
Xiangnan ocean, which was relegated by one point last season,
现在给了平手局，很奇怪。
Now it's a draw. It's strange.
今天本场我们可以作为一个教程，
Today we can use it as a tutorial,
用来告诉大家一种机构不常用的操盘手法：
It is used to tell you a trading method not commonly used by institutions:
“用抬升强队赔率的方式来进行引流”。
"Drainage by raising the odds of a strong team".
抬升，强队，赔率。
Promotion, strong team, odds.
一般来说，降低强队的赔率，可以进行将大众往强队的引导，
Generally speaking, reducing the odds of strong teams can guide the public to strong teams,
从而完成平局或客胜，打出所谓“爆冷”的结果，
So as to complete the draw or guest victory and play the so-called "cold" result,
目的自然是众人皆输，机构独赢。
The goal is naturally that everyone loses and the organization wins alone.
本场呢，首先主队往绩全优，
In this game, first of all, the home team has an excellent track record,
且近况优，
And in good condition,
客队上赛季差点降级，
The visiting team almost relegated last season,
形容就是，糟糕。
The description is, bad.
这种情况下，Crown给了0.88平手1.00，
In this case, crown gave 0.88 tie and 1.00,
现在（4.17,4am）调整为0.93平手0.95.
Now (4.17,4am) is adjusted to 0.93 tied 0.95
我们假象，
We pretend,
主队数据又上去了一点，
The home team data went up a little bit,
变成了0.94平手0.94，
Into a 0.94 tie,
你是一名普通的玩家，
You are an ordinary player,
你怎么选？
How do you choose?
毫无疑问，看一下交手记录，看一下近期对战情况，
No doubt, take a look at the record of the fight and the recent war,
心里觉得很稳的直接选了平手盘主队。
I felt very stable and directly chose the home team of draw.
那么我想说的是，
So what I want to say is,
你这么选，你就上套了。
If you choose this, you're on the hook.
数据均衡，是为了吸引大额投注前来。
Data balance is to attract large bets.
营造出的“很稳”的态势。
Create a "very stable" situation.
本场，赛前维持此数据的话，可以直接判定客胜了。
In this game, if you maintain this data before the game, you can directly determine the guest victory.
主队打平的机会都没有。
The home team had no chance to draw.
为什么我这么笃定呢？
Why am I so sure?
并不是我有多厉害，
It's not how good I am,
主要是看了太多比赛，看了太多操盘，
Mainly because I watched too many games and too many trading,
写了太多分析，每天都处于这种氛围之下，
I wrote too much analysis and was in this atmosphere every day,
跟砌墙搬砖的人们一样，熟能生巧罢了。
Just like people who build walls and move bricks, practice makes perfect.
我与某些小伙伴的距离，可能也只是几万场有复盘有分析的足球赛事罢了。
The distance between me and some small partners may only be tens of thousands of football matches with resumption and analysis.
自然而然就专业了。
Naturally professional.
成为我们的付费社员，每天观察我们的实单，
Become our paying member and observe our actual orders every day,
你也一定能够学习到更多的配单逻辑。
You will also be able to learn more about order allocation logic.
点击此处成为社员，首月500，后续每月续费均只需50。
Click here to become a member, 500 for the first month and only 50 for subsequent monthly renewal.
【如无法购买，请点击：我的-设置-访问H5版】
[if you can't buy, please click: my - Settings - visit version H5]
002 日职乙 水户蜀葵vs德岛漩涡
002 day job B Shuihu marshmallow vs de Island vortex
这不是菜鸡互啄，只是日职乙中流球队，
This is not a chicken and vegetable pecking, but a middle-class team of Japanese vocational B,
与日职联堕落天使的大战。
The battle with the fallen angels of the Japan Professional Federation.
2020年的两次交手，主队水原小胜。
In the two matches in 2020, the home team Suwon slightly.
近期主队状态一般，
Recently, the home team is in average condition,
客队德岛上次杯赛向振兴大胜，近期多平局。
The visiting team Tokushima won the last cup to revitalize and drew more recently.
威廉希尔给出2.75-2.70-2.70初数据，
William Hill gives the initial data of 2.75-2.70-2.70,
降客数据，调整为2.88-2.88-2.40，
Drop off data, adjusted to 2.88-2.88-2.40,
目前盘口为1.05平手0.83，与初盘吻合。
At present, the opening is 1.05 and 0.83, which is consistent with the initial set.
蒙住下面的文字，做了这么久的社员，
I've been a member of the club for so long,
现在轮到你自己思考。
Now it's your turn to think for yourself.
说说看，你决定选哪队？
Tell me, which team did you decide to choose?
...
...
你的依据是什么？
What is your basis?
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
...
没有思考，体育赛事是无法盈利的。
Without thinking, sports events cannot be profitable.
这场优先选平手盘主队，主不败。
In this match, the home team in the draw is preferred, and the home team is unbeaten.
因为欧赔已经开始降客胜数据，
Because the European compensation has begun to reduce the guest victory data,
有引导嫌疑。
Suspected of leading.
亚盘降客水，同步像客队引导。
Yapan lowered the guest water and guided the visiting team at the same time.
若本场真的客胜，
If this game really wins away,
机构是不会将大家往客队引导的。
The organization will not guide everyone to the visiting team.
再加上，
Plus,
波动变盘，受平/半时，
Fluctuate and change the plate, when it is subject to flat / half time,
主水出现0.77低位，
The main water has a low level of 0.77,
已经有降低赔付的意图了。
There is already an intention to reduce compensation.
娱乐看球，思考让期待更值得期待。
Entertainment watching, thinking makes expectation more worthy of expectation.
盈利看球，思考让价值产生更多价值。
Profit watching, thinking, making value produce more value.
如果你不爱思考，也没有选择成为研机社的付费社员。
If you don't like thinking and don't choose to become a paying member of the research machinery society.
那么，就祝你常年好运相伴。
Well, I wish you good luck all the year round.
003 日职乙 横滨FCvs仙台七夕
003 job B Yokohama FCVs Sendai Tanabata
一起降级，
Demoted together,
近年交手四场平局。
In recent years, there have been four draws.
近期主队状态可以，客队也还行。
Recently, the home team is in good condition, and the visiting team is also OK.
上场客队对阵山口，手握战神卡仍锁定胜局。
The visiting team played against Yamaguchi and still locked the victory with ares card.
威廉希尔给出了一个诛心数据。
William Hill gives a heartbreaking figure.
2.00-3.00-3.60，
2.00-3.00-3.60，
这是再拿本赛季刚开始没多久的日职乙排名作文章，
This is another chapter on the ranking of Japanese vocational B not long after the beginning of this season,
站不住脚。
It doesn't hold water.
现降主1.83-3.20-3.90，升客，反向操作。
Now drop the main 1.83-3.20-3.90, increase passengers and reverse operation.
如果天平保持平衡，那么他就是静止的。
If the balance is in balance, it is still.
如果一方被人施加了重物，
If a heavy object is applied to one side,
那么那方就会迅速沉下。
Then that side will sink quickly.
本场比赛如果没有引导，
If there is no guidance in this game,
那就是玩家两队乱入，
That's when two teams of players enter,
但是有了引导，就只有一个方向。
But with guidance, there is only one direction.
Crown给出0.99半球0.89初数据，
Crown gives the initial data of 0.99 hemisphere and 0.89 hemisphere,
现降主，
Now surrender to the Lord,
预计赛前主降至低位，
The main is expected to drop to a low before the game,
或降盘降主。
Or lower the disc to lower the main.
那么，则客不败。
Then, the customer is invincible.
wechat：yanji201912