今年是美国的大选年,每当这个时候政客们一定会跳出来闹得鸡飞狗跳,会有很多瓜吃。前不久曝光了艾泼斯坦的文件。不过除了霍金躺枪之外,似乎也没有掀起多大的浪花。不过这大戏是一出接着一出,没想到这才开年,选战还没有正式打响,就已经快进到了要开打内战的部分。
其实从2016年的美国大选开始,美国社会的撕裂就表现的已经非常明显了。一般在讨论这个话题的时候,都会将以民主党为代表的划分为左派或者进步派,共和党为代表,划分为右派或者保守派、左派。其实这种标签的贴法也不是很符合事实,姑且用之。
这两派在很多议题上的观点是完全针锋相对的,而其中一个分歧的焦点就是对待非法移民的问题。随着二战之后的美国建立世界霸权,经济也越来越繁荣,美国民众的生活水平也大幅提高。但这导致了一个问题,就是美国工人的报酬或者说是人工成本也大幅上升。这对美国的企业家来说,是一个非常大的弱点,成本的提高会削弱美国产品的竞争力。于是这就剩下两个选择,有能力的跨国公司,就会将产品的生产搬迁到亚洲等人工成本更低的地区,而一些小的企业或者商户则比较乐于雇佣那些非法越过边境,没有身份,过来打黑工的非法移民。因为他们所需的报酬远远低于美国自己的工人。这就给传统的美国工人造成了很大的压力,要么选择失业,要么选择更低的报酬。这些传统美国工人大都是共和党的支持者。他们是支持加强边境管控的。
在这些非法进入美国的非法移民当中,人数最多的就属于与美国有漫长边界的墨西哥了,墨西哥的发展水平比较低,因而美国的生活水平对墨西哥人有非常大的吸引力。而且墨西哥人确实非常的吃苦耐劳,上一代中国移民也是以勤劳著称,靠在餐管洗盘子之类的低端工作,在美国站稳脚跟。但是如果现在中国人再去美国,就很难重复这条成功路径了。因为在洗盘子之类的低端劳动上,墨西哥的工人不但可以将本土美国工人排挤出劳动力市场,而且他们的体力、耐力、工作效率等方面也完全碾压新一代的中国人。因为这些新一代走线进入美国的中国人,其实在国内也算是略有家资,并不是完全的生社会底层,他们去美国很大程度上并非生活所迫,而是处于意识形态。所以和那些为生活所迫,吃苦耐劳的墨西哥人相比,就完全不是对手了。
但是如果仅仅是打黑工降低美国商户和企业的人工成本,其实对美国经济是一件好事。但问题是,墨西哥的政府腐败效率低下,对墨西哥全国没有形成强有力的治理。墨西哥国内被各大贩毒集团所占据,相互之间火并和暴力犯罪频繁,随着墨西哥非法移民大量涌入美国,这些问题也对美国的社会治安造成了影响。
还有一条,也是最坏的一个影响,就是民主党所代表的左派,大力支持这种非法移民活动,不但鼓励他们越国边境进入美国,还给他们发放身份和福利。他们这样做的原因就是想扩大自己的票仓,一切从选举出发,而不顾非法移民所造成的社会影响,同时也虚耗了美国的国力和资源。
德克萨斯州在传统上是一个倾向共和党的保守州。他的州长是川普的铁杆粉丝。川普2016年竞选的纲领当中非常重要的一条就是要在和墨西哥的边界上面修墙,还要让墨西哥人来出这笔钱。现在虽然懂王不在位了,但是德州州长仍然在贯彻他的意志,用州政府的资金修哪一座简易的边境墙,也就是一些铁丝网,阻止非法移民的大粮油。但是这件事在前几天成为一个焦点。因为今年是大选年,拜登。为了争取移民的选票,向美国最高法院申请裁判申请,判决德州的边境墙是违章建筑,拿到判决之后,拜登就派出联邦执法人员前去拆除德州的边境墙。
然而以红脖子、牛仔著称的德州人根本不把联邦政府放在眼里,声称联邦执法人员来拆除德州边境墙是入侵,调动德州国民警卫队到州届拦截联邦执法人员。这一丝火药味似乎让人闻到了一点内战的味道。
This year is an election year in the United States, and whenever this time politicians will jump out and make a fuss, there will be a lot of melons. Epstein's files came out a while ago. However, in addition to Hawking's innocence, it does not seem to set off much waves. However, this drama is one after another, and I did not expect that this is only the beginning of the year, and the election campaign has not officially started, and it has fast-forward to the part of the civil war.
In fact, since the 2016 US election, the tear in American society has been very obvious. In general, when discussing this topic, the Democratic Party is divided into left or progressive, and the Republican Party is divided into right or conservative or left. In fact, the labeling method is not very consistent with the facts, let's use it.
The two groups are diametrically opposed on many issues, and one of the main points of disagreement is the treatment of illegal immigrants. With the establishment of world hegemony by the United States after World War II, the economy became more and more prosperous, and the living standards of the American people also improved greatly. But this has led to the problem that American workers' compensation, or labor costs, have also risen dramatically. This is a very big weakness for American entrepreneurs, and higher costs will make American products less competitive. This leaves two options: capable multinational companies will relocate production to Asia and other regions where labor costs are lower, while some small businesses or businesses are more willing to hire illegal immigrants who have crossed the border illegally, have no identity, and come to work illegally. Because they need far less pay than America's own workers. This puts a lot of pressure on traditional American workers to choose either unemployment or lower pay. Most of these traditional American workers are Republican supporters. They are in favor of tighter border controls.
Among these illegal immigrants who enter the United States illegally, the largest number belongs to Mexico, which has a long border with the United States, and the relatively low level of development of Mexico, so the standard of living in the United States is very attractive to Mexicans. And Mexicans are indeed very hardy, and the previous generation of Chinese immigrants were also known for their hard work, gaining a foothold in the United States by doing low-end jobs such as washing dishes at restaurant tubes. But it would be difficult for Chinese to repeat this path of success if they now went to the United States. Because in low-end labor like washing dishes, Mexican workers can not only squeeze native American workers out of the labor market, but also their physical strength, endurance, and work efficiency are completely crushed by the new generation of Chinese. Because these new generations of Chinese who enter the United States are actually a little bit wealthy in China, and they are not completely at the bottom of society, and they go to the United States to a large extent is not forced by life, but in ideology. So compared to those who are forced by life, hard-working Mexicans, it is no match.
But if it simply lowers labor costs for American businesses and businesses, it's actually a good thing for the U.S. economy. But the problem is that Mexico's government is corrupt and inefficient, and there is no strong governance throughout Mexico. Mexico is occupied by major drug cartels, mutual fire and violent crime frequent, with a large number of illegal immigrants from Mexico into the United States, these problems also have an impact on social security in the United States.
Another, and worst of all, is that the left wing of the Democratic Party strongly supports this illegal immigration activity, not only encouraging them to cross the border into the United States, but also granting them status and welfare. The reason they do this is to expand their base of votes, all from the election, regardless of the social impact of illegal immigration, and at the same time depleting the strength and resources of the United States.
Texas is traditionally a conservative state that leans Republican. His governor is a big Trump fan. A key plank of Trump's 2016 campaign platform was to build a wall along the border with Mexico and have the Mexicans pay for it. Now aware that Wang is no longer in office, the governor of Texas is still carrying out his will to use state funds to build a simple border wall, that is, some barbed wire, to stop illegal immigration. But the matter has come to the fore in the last few days. Because it's an election year, Biden. In order to win the votes of immigrants, he applied to the United States Supreme Court to apply for a ruling that the Texas border wall is illegal construction, and after getting the judgment, Biden sent federal law enforcement officers to dismantle the Texas border wall.
However, Texans, known as red-necked cowboys, did not take the federal government in the eye, claiming that federal law enforcement officers to tear down the Texas border wall was an invasion, and mobilized the Texas National Guard to intercept federal law enforcement officers in the state. This hint of gunpowder seems to smell a little of civil war.
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