WASHINGTON — With one week until Election Day, Democratic nominee Joe Biden maintains a polling lead over President Donald Trump nationally and in key battleground states, but as Hillary Clinton learned four years ago, the only thing that matters is reaching 270 electoral votes.
More than 62 million people had already voted early as of Monday, either in-person or by mail, and the figure could reach more than 85 million before Election Day. Overall turnout might surpass 150 million.
Biden continues to lead national polls over Trump with more than 50% of the vote. Although it's gone from a double-digit advantage to single digits, the former vice president appears on track to win the popular vote like Clinton did four years ago – perhaps by a margin greater than the 2.1% net of Clinton.
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Biden is also in better position than Clinton was in swing states – and could even win the race on or shortly after election night if his large leads hold – but pathways to a Trump victory remain.
David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, said "at this point in time," Biden is positioned as the likely winner.
"One week out, Biden looks like he's still maintaining his lead," Paleologos said. "He's losing it in the national polls a little bit, but he's holding where he needs to hold."