Moon Jeong-in wrote a column on the North Korean nuclear issue in Hangeulre. The outline of the column argues that North Korea's denuclearization is a possible goal, and for this, the Biden administration should cooperate with the South Korean government. In particular, they are expressing concern about the US going through a blockade and pressure on North Korea for denuclearization. So, the title of the column is <Expectations and Concerns about Biden's North Korea Policy>.
It is a column where you can find a huge gap between Korea and the United States. The United States says that North Korea has no will to denuclearize, and South Korea says that North Korea has a will to denuclearize.
Whether or not North Korea is willing to denuclearize cannot be a subject of debate. Because thoughts change. Therefore, whether North Korea has or does not intend to denuclearize has no effect on solving the problem. There is no reason to just give up the nuclear force that North Korea has achieved through its full sacrifice.
In particular, North Korea's nuclear weapons are an important means of strategic coercion not only against the United States but also against China. Even if a peace agreement with the United States is signed and the US forces in Korea withdraw, North Korea cannot eliminate nuclear weapons. Because of China. Even those who are called experts commit the mistake of equating North Korea-China relations with ROK-US relations. North Korea-China relations are never the same as Korea-US relations. North Korea feels insulted when China calls North Korea-China relations purely. This is because North Korea considers China the most threatening country.
In such a situation, it is meaningless to have a will or not to denuclearize. Moon Jung-in says that if North Korea does not have the will to denuclearize, the sphere of diplomacy will disappear. It is an illusion. The realm of diplomacy never disappears. When we ignore and deny the facts, diplomacy becomes a comedy.
It is correct for the US to assume that North Korea will not give up its nuclear weapons. This is because a proper policy will not come out unless the facts are taken as the truth.
If North Korea says it will not give up its nuclear weapons if it dies, how will the United States come out? There are two. The first is to constantly forcefully force them to give up the nucleus and subdue it. It is about holding hands with China and strangling North Korea to surrender. The second is to manage North Korea's nuclear weapons so that they do not pose a threat to the United States.
What is most desirable in the current situation is to think about what to do to ensure that North Korea's nuclear weapons do not pose a threat to the United States. China is using this method. There are nuclear weapons under China's chin, but they manage to make sure that this is not a threat to them.
How can we make sure that North Korea's nuclear weapons do not pose a threat to the United States? This is the goal that the Biden administration should keep in mind as it devises a policy on the North Korean nuclear issue.
When dealing with North Korea, it is China, not nuclear, that the United States will prioritize. In order to have a decisive advantage in the hegemonic competition with China, North Korea and China must be separated. In that respect, the United States failed.
It is said that the United States is strengthening relations with its allies to keep China in check. However, if only North Korea is separated from China, it can secure a more favorable position than strengthening relations with any other allies. Unfortunately, the United States is gradually losing its opportunity. North Korea seems to think that the United States will not change any more. It is no exaggeration to say that North Korea, which was once a long-established relationship with China, is bringing closer relations with China in the end because of the unrealistic policy of the United States.
In that sense, if South Korea claims to the United States that North Korea is willing to denuclearize, it is like preventing the United States from establishing a normal North Korean policy.
By: @oldstone