With the 2008 financial crisis , trillions of dollars worth of dollars around the world was essentially destroyed. From pensions and retirement accounts to mortgages and debt, we saw losses all around us. It wasn’t some far away occurrence, but rather ones we could see in our streets, our towns and the businesses we worked for. Regular people felt the pain and while we are not in the deep recession we were in the immediate past, we are still feeling ripple effects, specifically in the corporate world.
Due to many savings accounts losing large amounts of value that were saved for retirement and those who pulled money out to save what they could, we have an average working population much older than the past decades. Many baby boomers who at one point had planned on retiring early, saw those dreams disappear with the falling stock prices. With baby boomers continuing to work and holding higher up positions and a lack of new hires, valuable knowledge on how to run and manage massive companies, is simply not being passed on. Now in 2017 we are finally seeing baby boomers being forced to retire and those who are taking over lack the experience.
Many of the lessons learned because of the financial crisis and management techniques created so we don’t repeat ourselves in the future, are lost on the current generation of managers. In addition because no one saw long term on training new talent, many of the people taking positions in management have never been in any sort of relevant role before. Management is tough, not something that can just be half-assed. If the managers don’t have their shit together, everything else suffers. In many ways they are the foundation that keeps people efficient and in order.
With a lack of good qualified managers at this point, companies are trying to do what they can to train the next generation, but I have doubts that it will even be enough. This is part of the reason why we continually make the same mistakes over and over again on Wall Street and in the world in general. People who were at the forefront of the past disasters don’t pass on the knowledge of how it happened and eventually something similar happens as a direct correlation. I talk about economist Hyman Minsky a lot because I truly believe that his idea is correct when he talked about what has been dubbed the “Minsky Moment”. This basically says that people slowly raise their risk tolerance levels until eventually we make a past mistake caused by over leveraging. Due to the management problems we are seeing, this might happen quicker than originally thought.
With the stock market hitting all time highs and people not paying attention, there is a large possibility that the lack of management knowledge could set in motion another large correction that will lead to dropping stock prices and layoffs. I hope this doesn’t happen, but people I talk to say there are a large amount of people that have no idea what they are doing. If times get tough and there is pressure on the management to make tough decisions, it is completely possible they will make the wrong ones.
In your opinion is there a solid 2017 crash ahead?
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No one can guess that. I think there is probably some sort of stock market correction coming, but when I have no idea.
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I'd have to agree. All stocks look highly overvalued on almost every measure. Much of the current valuations are based on indicators that are pretty much known to be cooked at this point, like GDP. Then you've got the non-stop equity purchases from every CB, "the PPT" or working group, etc. There's no interest to be had anywhere else, so all the money is practically forced into stocks. You can't get a CD with interest above the inflation rate. I don't like the look of almost any asset. Bonds are nuts too, with countries starting to sell 100 year issues.
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nice write up. issues of financial management is complex, that only few expect have an idea of what to do in financial crises or what to do to prevent the crises to occur. you have refreshed our memory. thanks for the information. I have interest in this kind of you work, keep it coming.
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With regulations becoming complex, the Regtech is an area of growth.
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Yes
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A thought-provoking post. It reminds the Keynes' quote 'Worldly wisdom teaches that it is better for reputation to fail conventionally than to succeed unconventionally.'
This is what individual managers do - they take decisions in line with the common market view, even though they may fundamentally disagree with it.
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I am a three time corporate layoff recipient. All my layoffs happened after the 2008 crisis. Tell me if I am wrong but it seemed that back in the day, companies tried to protect their employees and used layoffs as a last resort measure. Since 2008, I have experienced and seen may of my friends get laid off numerous times. It seems like many companies have all jumped on the bandwagon and pull the layoff lever as their first call to action if they miss their quarterly earnings. Which happened on my last layoff. I was in the biotech industry but I have lots of friends in the semiconductor industry having the same experiences. This gets me to connect my point that they were laying off many mid management positions and rehiring with new grads. I think your article speaks volumes on what is happening behind the scenes in the corporate world.
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It's hard to train when there is not a market any more. It's hard to be honest with managers in a bank when they are literally zombie banks as they refuse to "mark to market" their securities. It's a giant con.
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That is why I use Bitcoin and the Blockchain.
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Lol...so true....so true :-)
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Managers today don't know what a true free market is thanks to the FED policies and their continued propping up of the economy. Like @floridanow said, it's a giant con and the whole thing is about to pop.
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Fuck the corporate world! Fuck the banks! Start your own business, be your own boss. Use cryptocurrency, be your own bank
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I was recently working in a investment firm a lot of it is risk management, but mostly a lot of the young Advisor's are guessing. Don't depend on someone with your money we all saw what happened in the crisis, stocks dropped. Commodities like gold and silver hit highs while older people are losing there retirements. It can all be preventable if we educate ourself and learn from older people. The younger generation needs to know more about management wether it's your employees or your money. Regardless if it isn't up to par you'll just lose in the end. Great post 🙏
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Very interesting! I just came across this article: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ETHUSD/WjHKPlGC-Ethereum-vs-Nasdaq-2000-dotcom-Bubble/
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i think the global ponzy scheme is looking bad but no reason it can't reach ever higher levels given the amount of fraud that is allowed and encouraged in the system
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Great article and so true! We are still being affected by 2008 in so many ways and I think it will all come crashing down again soon even worse than 2008. Economic recovery since then has been nothing more than an illusion. Keep on writing! - Nick
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This is scary. And I can now see from your article how another major meltdown could easily happen.
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very true..I also lost my job in the same reason last year..Thanks to GOD that i got better within few week.
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Huge problem, and only getting worse.
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That was a rough time for a lot of people I know.
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How would one prepare for the next collapse which will obviously be the largest financial disaster the world has ever seen? Your blog is extremely informative!
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Very interesting topic man. Thanks for share it
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Very cognitive post)
Thank you for sharing)
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great post
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It's all animal spirit, means if incentive becomes the only thing to improve on whatever cost. Incentives of doing anything should be understood with the lenses of sustainability as well as compared to the profit and loss.Thomas (2011 nobel prize winning economist ) sargent have written a lot on this incentives (but in different context).
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The 2008 crisis was a direct result from decisions made by the FED. However, we the people, were lead to believe it was because of mismanagement at the banks. Right now we can see the pattern shaping up for a major reset.
Those who are unprepared will face very difficult times. Majority of people are still unaware of cryptocurrencies. It will be very rought times, devaluation of FIAT currencies and hyper inflation for products in the stores. Then try to survive.
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First thing i thought about was enron... that really sucked for people in the 200's ... I havn't fully lived through an economic down .. since im pretty young. @calaber24p
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:) You should follow Karen Hudes. Or better get her on Steemit! Now that would be something!
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Congratulations @calaber24p
You took 23 place in my Top 100 of posts
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