Attempting to Plot the LTC correction

in ltc •  7 years ago  (edited)

Now that LTC took my previously alternate view to a break down below, we can count a confirmed top and try to calculate the likely bottom points. Corrections, particularly wave iv's are squirrelly beasts, so some of this can be folly. But I'll attempt it. The ideal a wave bottom is in the $20-21 region. Previously I called this as the bottom of the entire abc correction and that is still possible. But fresh calculations after the top being in, puts $16 as more ideal, and $12 as possible. Below $12 without recovery and I have to take a macro level change seriously. Note that the b wave bounce is not easily targeted and a direct breakout after the low $20's will be unexpectedly bullish.

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Don't see it breaking too far below $20.

And, I can see that possibility too as mentioned. But I'll suspend judgement when I see a bounce.

So far, you've been spot on as it looks like it bounced hard from $20 last night to $26 now. Is that a large enough bounce to be considered bullish? fundamentals will make it very hard imo for any of the top non banking cryptos to go too low.

In log this was only a .264 retrace of wave iii which is the typical A-wave. Hit the box right on the money, but to shallow to complete normally unless really bullish. Only a 5 wave move over $34 will get me to change that view. Just being cautious since the ideal is $16, but we are in the zone where we can start to scale into the trade.

Any updates on LTC @wildtrader? It seems to have dudded out while all other crypto's are making all time highs, it hasn't moved much or even retraced its last pullback. I guess we did breakout from 20's all the way to 29's, but I guess i was expecting it to atleast be in the 30's by now. i'll probably hold LTC for now and move into Ethereum.