So far this isn't the month I was hoping for. While the losses are minimized thanks to a winning ticket yesterday, it has been a rollercoaster month so far. But only half way so still a lot of days to make up some ground.
Also, I do have to take into account, that the oldest son is trying to make some tickets. So far he his 0 out of 5. I do hope that he does learn from this, so I am explaining him how the odds work, how odds can be converted into an expected win percentage according to the bookie, with a vig is and what impact thas this has. And so on. I can better prepare him before he want to stand on his own feet. I do like it this way, it is turning into a father-son thingy! Priceless!
I could leave out those bets, but because I do play them, I do record them!
Back to the stats!
As you can see, I am down for the month. But that 4 units (1 unit equals 5 euro) loss is 2 units more than it actually is. I do have 2 open bets for this evening. If I could win one of them, the month would turn green again.
While my hit rate is good enough, the average winning odds are too low with 4.476. These odds do need almost a hit rate of 20% to make a profit. Also 24 bets is a lot. This can be explained for a part with the bets of the son, but without them I would still have 19 bets, which could bring the total on 38 at the end of the month. By the looks of it this way this would turn into a record breaking month, ante wise. Too bad, not sure if the month will turn green or red.
Also still looking for my first 4 fold win of the year.
Today's bets
Played 2 today. Both are 3 fold accumulators. With odds of 6.004 and 9.022 it would be superb if one of those 2 could land softly. Most games today are close calls. You could easily create a 4 fold with odds close to 16, but I am not in a position to take such a risk at the moment. If I would do so, I would go for win of Lazio, Juventus, AS Roma and Basel. The odds for this ticket would be around 59!!!
No, I did wrote this down I do have the issue to play this one anyway! Great odds, still possible and what if it would win and I wouldn't have played it! That would be crap! But still I won't play it, because some of those games are in the tickets I will be playing and never play a same bet in different parlays!
The bets I will play for sure are:
Ticket 1 Odds 9.022
Juventus, Fiorentina and Lazio all win win their game.
Ticket 2 Odds 6.004
Nice wins against Sherriff Tiraspol and in the games Union vs Union (I kid you not) and Arsenal and Sporting I do expect more than 2.5 goals.
All bets are placed using this bookie!
Disclaimer
It is always a good idea to do your own research and to carefully consider the risks and potential returns before placing any bets. I am not a professional punter, for me it is just a hobby. I do place most of my bets in advance and do keep records of all my bets, but it is not encouraged to follow my bets blindly!