In the video below, I discuss the possibility that the Federal Reserve actually may be able to force inflation by punishing the dollar-Therefore justifying their "need" to raise interest rates further, dump the mortgage backed securities from their balance sheet, and stop reinvesting in long bonds.
But what does this mean for the markets? I want to hear from you.
Gregory Mannarino @marketreport
Gotta love the daily Mannarino videos! You keep us updated like not other and you're unbiased since you make money regardless of the market's direction. So, no bias.
Thank you for the high quality content sir!
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Thanks Greg! Always love your videos and insight!
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Gregory, you have been saying to "watch the bond market." I asked my friend (a money manage) about the yield curve. He did not have a clue, let alone inverted curve, or ahead of the curve. So, please, keep us posted on what we are watching for.
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Good analysis, thanks Greg.
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you can't listen the whole video 4 minutes after Greg's release and thank for his analysis without knowing, what he's talking about...
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I am a long time follower of Greg, and I read the summary he wrote and watch his video right after.
I agree that the FED seems like wanting to pull the plug now and blame it on Trump so they're finding ways to justify to keep raising rates.
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I agree with Greg on the FED wanting Inflation and they are bound and determined to get it. So, to me this means that the $ will continue its downward trajectory and stocks will continue higher (maybe 10% correction in July) with the 10 yr bond going lower - not higher. So, the yield curve continues to flatten which is the true indicator of our sick economy. Lindsey Williams elite friend says that by the end of this summer we will see a "Panic" - Hyperinflation and blast off in stocks to more than 50,000 Dow - Can anybody say "Blow Off Top"? This will lead us into 2018, Hyperinflation, DOW 50,000+ and Silver&Gold to the moon (along w/BTC/ETH).
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♪♫ Carry on my wayward son ♪♫
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I wonder how much time banks will be able to manipulate the markets. If the bonds selloff continues while the us dollar is sinking, it will be interesting what the FED will do. QE4 and this bubble implodes by itself? It is a very interesting time in theses markets since 2 weeks. Flash crash ethereum gold and today eur/us. Somebody needs a lot of money since they trigger all the stop loss. Maybe will find out next month or so... Keep the good work Greg, I like your channel!
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They will keep illusion going as long as they can print money without causing huge money inflation. I'm wondering how big is influence of technological progress, which makes goods cheaper. It is deflationary force that acts in opposite way to inflation.
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Hi Greg, I did this video regarding my study on US Treasuries just for you, I hope it enhances your vision of where bonds are going. Take care.
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Wow where does someone start if they are new to this and want to do what you do??
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To which part of what I do are you referring? Technical Analysis or making a video?
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Technical analysis. Would love to get into it but wouldn't know where to start. Thanks.
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start out by reading the works of William Delbert Gann
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I've just ordered Truth of the Stock Tape, thanks!
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Nice. Pay attention to his description of cycles. With algo trading being 90% or greater of all trades cycles are the most important thing to understand
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Will do.
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Greg, thank you for your analysis.
The big problem with forecasting the market now is that the big buyers in the markets are the central banks (directly or indirectly through black pools). Because they "print" the money out of thin air they do not have to pay interest on it. So pushing interest higher it is lucrative for them, the average investor is induced to sell because he has to pay interest and have less money at his disposal and they (the central banks) buy what other people sell. So in order to make a good analysis you need to know how much money they printed and they have invested in the markets. And I do really not know where you can have these data in details... ;-)
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Think about it... If you had the power to print money that you knew was going to come Crashing Down, wouldn't you be out there buying up everything of Value you can get your hands on, including Stocks...???
@pocketechange
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The end game is what determines the path taken. The FED is going to keep bringing the dollar down in controlled decent. The shift in world domination from the West to a universal planetary government is the end game, because of this, the dollars days are over period. Unfortunately, crypto currencies are the future as they are the only way to completely and uniformly control the worlds population by monetary domination. It reduces the number of hands in the cookie jar so to speak. The real question is, can we predict well enough to make money during all this. The only way to go is in physical monetary assets realistically (precious metals etc) but they will not allow that. The only way gold/silver are going to break out is if society collapses, thus, they will not allow society to completely collapse but do a gradual decline forcing people to use the only out....crypto currency. Its very obvious if you use logic, reason, and what the end game is. Power & Domination. Getting back to bonds... the easiest way to hide dollar collapse is to move money into gov bonds tricking people into thinking its moving out of currency into a "safe haven" but we know this isn't what is really going on. The transfer of wealth is almost done, but people don't even realize this yet. Bonds are only going up because they want them too, simply for tricking people. The bots controlling the market are designed to make money while furthering the overall decent of the us dollar. What people need to look out for is when Saudi Arabia announces the side deals for oil no longer involving the petro dollar, that is when the dollar will plummet, and bonds along with them, as the US financial rating bombs. For now, I doubt there will be any extreme movements in bonds, dollar value, etc. But crypto currencies will be pushed and big gains will occur there, with the occasional "glitchs" as they will make their money along the way at our expense. I do not support crypto currencies for many reasons, but I also have to eat, as they say. For now, I agree with you as usual and suggest make your money how u can, just don't blink, lol.
Best Regards- checkmate2017
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I believe in silver also. I thought we will see big rise of silver 2 years back, but bigger stocks are still kicking. That game can not go for long...
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It will continue until no one accepts Debt Notes as payment...
@pocketechange
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Once I would like to see some statistics about "debt notes" usage and velocity
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I love my gold and silver, but I have been so discouraged by the lack of any price movement. So, with a little encouragement from Greg, I bought some cryptocurrencies. LOL. Man, I can't complain about price action with them! Watching the my crypto currencies roller coaster all over the place helps to keep me patient with my gold and silver holdings!
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I think the Fed has a problem in selling assets. Who is going to buy. I think must other nations know we have a problem and will not be buyers of the fed assets. Look at China setting up systems to have trade in their currency as well as Gold. I think interest rates will go up and in the long run could cause hyper inflation. I like silver as the best asset at this time.
Good luck to all.
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listen to this: https://www.moneymetals.com/podcasts/2017/06/23/dollar-us-local-currency-001100
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I listen to most of it and what he says is correct. However who is going to buy our new debt. As a nation our debt has increased over the last few years at about 1Trillion a year. Who will buy it?
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your question is entitled. thx. i just wanted to add informations.
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I agree, but they trade bad assets to dummy companies or for future deals all the time. When you have so many secret bail-ins and the ability to print currency getting rid of assets is simple, most people don't even know what exactly their investments are in....look at the PENSION crisis going on right now, no one knows until they try and spend money and realize their direct deposit was cut in half then they start asking questions, lol.
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If the Fed sells assets, it's only because they know they'll get them back when the Buyers default...
@pocketechange
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Afternoon Greg! Just wanted to say just joined steemit mostly because of you, watched your work for some time through youtube but never said anything. Love your work and truly appreciate you as a champion for the people. Keep up the great work and look forward to more real information.
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The Fed's attempt to increase inflation will be used as the excuse for the inevitable Hyper Inflation Outcome for the United States!
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Thanx for the update.... keep them coming!!!
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I think people may move there money in to precious metals as they are looking quite attractive imo. Thanks for posting upvoted.
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Thank you, upvoted and resteemed. Keep smiling.
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It must be the PPT hard at work. Somebody at basement of the Treasury, maybe Steve Mnuchin himself. Again, thanks for the info as usual.
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Thanks for all your effort and assistance, Greg!
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yields differential between JGB and UST rates stimulates the Yen carry trade, money from carry goes in Algo defined markets whatever the algos are looking for...S&P? this is perpetual until the lending rate in Yen goes up
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High frequency trades, plunge protection team & central bank manipulation means NOTHING IS REAL. But we can still capitalize on it. Something Greg continually points out ;) Hell Yes!
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it means 1 thing the dollar is getting vulnerable and is opening the door wide open for anybody to takeover but it is a trap on both ends: just when you think it's done the oil market jumps up
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YES! Silver is very good buy right now, as far as crypto, Bitcoin seems to be king, but we've seen before that another alt coin can jump up and above, with so many out there.
I think bitcoin is a must to have some, then pick some alt coins, and especially steem.
Things are starting to unravel already, housing bubble starting to pop, prices are actually coming down.
I think dollars are being dumped and who wants the bonds?
The Feds dumping balance sheets means nothing when they print their own money out of thin air, after the meeting at Jeckle Island and the birth of the federal reserve, they have had more power than any government.
I follow you Greg cause i believe in silver , gold and thanks to you steem and steem power!
As far as trading, that's something like being a gun fighter, always with your hand close to the trigger.
Unfortunately I'm still working like a slave to the those evil bankers, long hours and low reward.
But I believe in steem, silver, gold and now crypto and the possibility of breaking free from those chains!
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It's a bit of a fool's guess but here's my take... one of the most important thing to consider in this debt based system is credit. There is already a slow down in C&I loans and global credit impulse...and if the long term rates rise, that would make things worst. That combined to a more dovish FED can lead to a slow but major correction.
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I think the FED will try to force inflation for a season but not for long as they do not have that much power or that much STEEM . I also think the yield curve will continue to flatten. Thanks for the info GREG!!!!
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Thanks Greg !
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MU earnings play tomorrow?
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Thanks Greg, greetings from The Netherlands.
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The Fed wants the inflation Target more than the yield on the ten year. It is in their keynesian DNA. They see inflation as a key indicator. The yield will invert, and they won't care there has been no consequences in Japan (which are ahead of us in QE) so far. So they will push it until the inflation gets out of control and then over correct late it is in the Federal Reserve DNA. It is their track record.
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Thanks Greg. Upvoted, resteemed.
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Thanks for another great video Greg!
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Hi Greg just watched your video on YouTube but had to come and upvote and resteem on steemit. Thanks for all your encouragement when the establishment says everything is okay and you very well know it's not.
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possibly they could use war to stimulate inflation by driving up commodity prices?
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Federal Reserve may want to do a lot of things, they still can't get the inflation that they want. What if they dump the mortgages on the open market and nobody buys? Can't even dark pools of money actually run out of money? Just thinking.
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This was a great complete video! Thx good night
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This post has been ranked within the top 10 most undervalued posts in the second half of Jun 28. We estimate that this post is undervalued by $137.04 as compared to a scenario in which every voter had an equal say.
See the full rankings and details in The Daily Tribune: Jun 28 - Part II. You can also read about some of our methodology, data analysis and technical details in our initial post.
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So today it is bombing. How odd
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Will the Fed lighten their balance sheet, and/or raise rates despite known outcomes? I would have to guess at what their driving motivation is. Would they be intentionally inverting the yield curve, or are they really so oblivious to this historically confirmed outcome that it would be an unintentional result? I do not believe those in the Fed are completely stupid. I believe that their moves are deliberate and intentional (without truthfully admitting those intentions). Although, I also believe that they have grossly exagerated their perception of ability to control the monster they have birthed. Its a guessing game, and I'll guess that they will not. If I am wrong about this, and I am notified by "Mike" about it, I'll consider myself honored 😜
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