Polling favours Harris right now.

in nate •  last month 

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Harris is now leading in Nate Silver's election forecast with a 50.5% chance to win the election fwiw.

Harris has a 1.4% lead in the national popular vote. She leads by 0.5% in Pennsylvania which is the tipping point state.

That would imply a 0.9% electoral college bias in the current polling.

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