Jupiler League Week 4 Saturday Previews

in news •  last year 

These are previews from matches involving Belgian Teams with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries along with my personal betting angles, ...

Not much action yesterday as lines are just too sharp at the moment. I'm glad I stayed away from the obvious Antwerp low-odds winner and ended with a push on my main bet. 2 Matches only on Saturday.


Standard vs Cercle Brugge

Standard out of 3 matches against Stvv (1-0), Union (0-1) & last week against Charleroi (1-1) just took 1 point so far which was justified based on the overall low quality they brought. Their issue is that key players that were on loan left while there is no real budget to enforce leaving them with a team that is nowhere close to the former top team they once were. Last season with Deila, they managed to make the difference on drive, especially at home. There however always is is a chance that theiy overperform at home in any match. The main problem seems to be creating chances let alone scoring goals as they rank 2nd last in expected goals with just an average of 0.59 a match. In their previous 2 matches they also each got 12 corners against. So overall, Standard is a team that I'm looking to oppose still. Cercle Brugge in the first 3 matches showed that they are worth the hype. They narrowly but deserved lost against Antwerp with 1-0, convincingly won with 2-0 at home against Charleroi and last week again narrowly lost at home against Genk 0-1 in a match where they deserved more. The main issue with Cercle Brugge is that it's hard to say that they are undervalued also going 1W-2L so far against the asian handicap. So the line seems to be perfectly set at Cercle as the small -0.25 away favorite in a match that never is easy away in Standard. I do expect a match where both teams want to go for the win but finishing quality might now be good enough. I do like Cercle on the corners as Standard got 12 against in their last 2 matches while Cercle always manage to create their share of corners. I took split 0.05ETH of crypto bets on Cercle Brugge Corners Over at different lines all on dexsport.io. 0.012 ETH on 1H Cercle O 2.5 CK @ 2.20, Cercle FT O 4.5 @ 1.750 , Cercle FT O 5.5 CK 2.30 | 0.007 ETH on Cercle FT O 6.5 CK | 3.20 | 0.005 ETH on Cercle FT O 7.5 CK @ 4.60 | 0.002 ETH on Cercle FT O 8.5 CK @ 6.90 and I will keep it at that for now. Best case scenario, Standard starts strong moving the line to be unable to maintain it more than 10-15 minutes with an opportunity to get Cercle at that point with better odds.


Kv Mechelen vs Union SG

I had very low expectations for Mechelen this season which was confirmed in the results so far with a declining form. They looked ok in the first match against Club Brugge away taking a flattering 1-1 draw, Narrowly lost at home against Gent with 0-1 and took a deserved 1-0 loss against Stvv. The thing that they are really lacking right now is enough dare and belief. So I do expect them to come out today maybe a bit overly eager. With just 0.64 expected goals they are near the bottom of those standings. Union is a team who once again is surprising everyone taking 9 on 9 against Anderlecht, Standard, & Leuven fully deserved. All this despite the fact that nearly their entire team left. It can be expected for them to fall back at some point but right now there is no indication for that whatsoever. Especially their defense looked quite strong and they have been in a trend where they play a good 1st half while unable to maintain it in the 2nd. Pretty much all of this makes it that they are the -0.75 away favorite which is just impossible to bet. I do have a slight lean on Union 1H -0.25 and 1H Over 1 but I will wait and see for now. My thought was also to back Mechelen to have moe fouls or cards as I expect them possibly going in overdrive on the effort but Union is not the team I want to oppose on that. So No Pre-Game Bets
Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. I'm also sharing all my early pre-game bets there at the time that I am betting them myself.

I take all my Pre-Game & Live bets with my Betting Broker Sportmarket Pro who always provides the best offers on the market with a 1 click solution and doesn't limit winning players offering high limits. For more info check my Sportmarket Pro Review

I share many of my pre-game bets in all my preview posts as bold selections which are all counted as 1-unit flat bets. See these just as info and not as actual betting advice. If you do follow, make sure to shop around for the best odds. In the last 3 seasons, I had 622 of these bets good for +41.274 units and +6.64% ROI.- (Last Update 28 July 2023).

Season 2023-2024 Crypto Bets

DateBetStakeOddsResultBookie
19/08/2023Cercle Over CK0.05 ETHTBDTBDDexsport.io
17/08/2023GNK 1H -0.5 CK80$1.620+49.6$Rollbit
11/08/2023ANT 1H Goals +050$2.328+66.4$Rollbit
06/08/2023AA Gent TT O1.50.0018 BTC1.980-0.0018 BTCSportbet.one
06/08/2023KVM vs GNT O2.500034 BTC1.870-0.0034 BTCSportbet.one
06/08/2023Antwerp +00.0045 BTC1.810-0.0045 BTCSportbet.one
06/08/2023Antwerp +00.03 ETH1.830-0.03 ETHDexsport.io
06/08/2023Antwerp +030000 XFUN1.830-30000 XFUNXfun.bet
5/08/2023Cercle 1H O 2.5 CK0.0109 ETH1.850-0.0109 ETHDexsport.io
5/08/2023Cercle 1H -0.5 CK80$1.670-80$Rollbit
05/08/2023Genk -1.50.0045 BTC1.920-0.0045 BTCSportbet.one
02/08/2023Genk 1H -0.5 CK50$1.660+33$Rollbit
30/07/2023Ant Equal Goals Halves3500 XFUN3.600-3500 XFUNXfun.bet
30/07/2023Ant More Goals 1H40$3.150+86$Rollbit

Crypto & Blockchain-Based Bookies and Exchanges that I'm personally using with some allowing anonymous betting with no KYC or personal restrictions...

Previous Crypto Bet Results & Record


YearBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
2022-202376423130.1685+0.029687+17.62%
2021-202256272540.115+0.0166+14.45%
2020-202141210.0250-0.002845-11.38%
2019-202011000.0100+0.01271+127%
2018-201959242750.5900-0.02199-3.7%
2017-2018136656471.233+0.112687+9.14%
2016-201770343420.658+0.006912+1.05%
Total402194183222.7995+0.153761+5.49%


IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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