Today is NFL Draft day and that causes a lot of excitement within the sport but also from outside because of the unpredictable nature of the beast. Well, I'm going to try and tame that beast by collecting information from 30 different mock drafts by different experts around the league. This has been a bit of a mammoth task and has turned into a bit of a labour of love. I was doing this for my own interest in Green Bay's draft but I thought it might be good to share it with you guys.
So here goes!
Let's start by player
Rules:
- Out of the 30 mocks the player needs to be mentioned at least 9 times to be in the list.
- If they slip out of any mock first rounds then they recieve a second round number based on how many times they slip.
- (1.7) This number is their average selection position in the 30 mocks, overall.
- High and Low are Highest Pick given and Lowest pick given. (just in case ;) )
- Trade and other information underneath.
1. Sam Darnold QB (1.7)
High Pick:1 Low Pick:5
Info: Involved in 1 mock trade. Selected 18/30 times for pick number 1
2. Bradley Chubb DE (4.8)
High Pick:2 Low Pick:14
Info: No Trades. Browns second pick selected 15 times.
3. Josh Allen QB (5.3)
High Pick:1 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 8 trades. Selected for the Browns and Broncos 9 times each.
4. Josh Rosen QB (5.7)
High Pick:2 Low Pick:15
Info: Involved in 7 trades. Pick number 3 (Jets), 11 out of 30 times.
5. Baker Mayfield QB (5.9)
High Pick:1 Low Pick:12
Info: Involved in 4 trades. Pick number 3 (Jets), 12 out of 30 times.
6. Saquon Barkley (6.3)
High Pick:1 Low Pick:10
Info: Involved in 1 trade. Pick number 2 (Giants), 14 out of 30 times.
7. Quinton Nelson OG (6.6)
High Pick:4 Low Pick:10
Info: Involved in 7 trades. Pick number Six (Colts), 12 out of 30 times.
8. Denzel Ward CB (9.6)
High Pick:4 Low Pick:15
Info: Involved in 2 mock trades. Small window (Pick 4 to 15) but unclear on a possible team.
9. Roquan Smith LB (10.2)
High Pick:6 Low Pick:19
Info: Involved in 1 mock trade. 18 selections at 8,9,10 (Bears, 49ers,Raiders) Same selection stats as Edmunds.
10. Tremaine Edmunds LB (10.2)
High Pick:6 Low Pick:28
Info: Involved in 2 mock trades. 18 selections at 8,9,10 (Bears, 49ers,Raiders) Same selection stats as Smith
11. Minka Fitzpatrick S/CB (11.1)
High Pick:4 Low Pick:23
Info: Involved in 3 mock trades. His Swiss army knife skills are going against him. No one knows where he could drop!
12. Derwin James S (11.4)
High Pick:7 Low Pick:24
Info: Involved in 3 trades. Pick number 7 (Buccaneers), 14 out of 30 times.
13. Vita Vea DT (14.3)
High Pick:10 Low Pick:26
Info: Involved in 1 trade. Pick number 13 (Redskins), 12 out of 30 times.
14. Marcus Davenport EDGE (17.5)
High Pick:8 Low Pick:27
Info: Involved in 2 mock trades.
15. Lamar Jackson QB (17.9)
High Pick:11 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
16. Calvin Ridley WR (19.1)
High Pick:13 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 mock trade.
17. Mike McGlinchey OT (19.2)
High Pick:8 Low Pick:32
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
18. Harold Landry EDGE (19.7)
High Pick:8 Low Pick:29
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
19. Da’Ron Payne DT (25.0)
High Pick:13 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
20. Rashaan Evans LB (25.3)
High Pick:16 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
21. Jaire Alexander CB (27.1)
High Pick:14 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
22. Leighton Vander Esch LB (27.3)
High Pick:16 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
23. Isaiah Wynn OG (28.0)
High Pick:11 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
24. Kolton Miller OT (31.0)
High Pick:15 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 mock trade. Walking to Gillette Stadium as we speak! 18 selections for the Patriots between their 1st & 2nd pick.
25. Derrius Guice RB (31.3)
High Pick:13 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 0 trades.
26. Will Hernandez OG (31.3)
High Pick:18 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
27. Taven Bryan DT (33.8)
High Pick:20 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 0 trades.
28. Courtland Sutton WR (34.3)
High Pick:9 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
29. Mike Hughes CB (34.7)
High Pick:14 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
30. D.J. Moore WR (35.0)
High Pick:15 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
31. Connor Williams OT (36.2)
High Pick:15 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 2 trades.
32. Mason Rudolph QB (39.3)
High Pick:12 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 0 trades.
33. Dallas Goedert TE (40.5)
High Pick:20 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 1 trade.
34. James Daniels C (42.1)
High Pick:16 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 0 trades.
35. Hayden Hurst TE (45.8)
High Pick:24 Low Pick: Round 2
Info: Involved in 0 trades.
Now to the teams
I have used the 30 mocks to estimate which team will pick which player.
There are: top 5 team needs.
Trade possibilities.
Other possible likely player selections.
And the player with the most selections by that team.
This comment in the bracets - (Very High) is based on the number of player selections from:
1-4 Low, 5-9 Medium, 10 - 14 High, and 15+ very high or practically in through the door ;)
1. Cleveland Browns Pick 1 of 2
Needs: QB,OT,DT,CB,RB
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Josh Allen QB
Sam Darnold QB (Picked 18/30) (Very High)
2. New York Giants
Needs: QB,ILB,OLB,OG,RB
Trades predicted: 1/30
Possible Pick: Sam Darnold QB
Saquon Barkley RB (Picked 15/30) (Very High)
3. New York Jets
Needs: QB,EDGE,OG,OT,TE
No Trades predicted. QB’s predicted 30/30
Possible Pick: Josh Rosen QB (Picked 11/30)
Baker Mayfield QB (Picked 12/30) (High Chance)
4. Cleveland Browns 2nd of 2 picks
Needs: QB,OT,DT,CB,RB
Trades predicted: 4/30
Possible Pick: Saquon Barkley RB (6/30)
Bradley Chubb DE (Picked 15/30) (Very High Chance)
#5. Denver Broncos
Needs: QB,OG,TE,S,LB
Trades predicted: 8/30. 13 different players predicted.
Possible Pick: D Ward CB or Q Nelson OG
Josh Allen QB (only Picked 6/30)
6. Indianapolis Colts
Needs: ILB,CB,Edge,DL,OG
Trades predicted: 3/30
Possible Pick: Bradley Chubb DE
Quenton Nelson OG (Picked 12/30) (High Chance)
7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Needs: RB,S,CB,OT,DE
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Minkah Fitzpatrick S/CB
Derwin James S (Picked 15/30) (Very High Chance)
8. Chicago Bears
Needs: OG,Edge,LB,CB,DE
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Tremaine Edmunds LB
Quenton Nelson OG (only Picked 8/30) (Medium Chance)
9. San Francisco 49ers
Needs: CB,WR,DT,S,LB
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: N/A
Tie. R Smith LB or T Edmunds LB (only Picked 8/30) (Medium Chance)
10. Oakland Raiders
Needs: CB,LB,OT,WR,DL
Trades predicted: 2/30
Possible Pick: N/A
Tie. M Fitzpatrick S or R Smith LB (only picked 8/30) (Medium Chance)
11. Miami Dolphins
Needs: OG,WR,LB,C,TE
Trades predicted: 3/30
Possible Pick: Tremaine Edmunds LB
Baker Mayfield QB (Picked 7/30) (Medium Chance)
12. Buffalo Bills 1st of 2 picks
Needs: QB,LB,WR,CB,TE
Trades predicted: 12/30 (High chance)
Possible Pick: Josh Rosen QB
Josh Allen QB (Picked 10/30) 8 of those picks by trading. (Medium Chance)
13. Washington Redskins
Needs: DL,OG,RB,CB,C
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Da’Ron Payne DT (4/30)
Pick: Vita Vea DT (Picked 12/30) (High Chance)
14. Green Bay Packers
Needs: EDGE,CB,OT,OLB,OG
Trades predicted: 1/30
Possible Pick: H Landry EDGE or D Ward CB
Pick: Marcus Davenport EDGE (Picked 9/30) (Medium Chance)
15. Arizona Cardinals
Needs: QB,WR,CB,DL,OT
Trades predicted: 3/30
Possible Pick: C Ridley WR or J Alexander CB
Pick: Lamar Jackson QB (Picked 9/30) (Medium Chance)
16. Baltimore Ravens
Needs: TE,C,ILB,WR,OG
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Mike McGlinchey OT
Calvin Ridley (Picked 9/30) (Medium Chance)
17. Los Angeles Chargers
Needs: S,DL,ILB,OT,QB
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Vita Vea DT
Da’Ron Payne DT (Picked 8/30) (Medium Chance)
18. Seattle Seahawks
Needs: OG,OT,TE,S,CB
Trades predicted: 3
Possible Pick: M Davenport EDGE or I Wynn OT
Harold Landry EDGE (Picked 6/30) (Medium Chance)
19. Dallas Cowboys
Needs: DT,WR,LB,OG,S
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Courtland Sutton WR
Pick: Calvin Ridley WR (Picked 7/30) (Medium Chance)
20. Detroit Lions
Needs: DT,OG,TE,EDGE,LB
No Trades predicted. Notes: Not picking for need!
Possible Pick: Marcus Davenport EDGE
Derrius Guice RB (Picked 7/30)
21. Cincinnati Bengals
Needs: C,OG,LB,S,OT
No Trades predicted
Possible Pick: Will Hernandez OG
James Daniels C (Picked 7/30)
22. Buffalo Bills 2nd of 2 picks.
Needs: QB,LB,WR,CB,TE
Trades predicted: 8/30. Notes: After the early round trade the Bills want some of their picks back.
Possible Pick: Trade back out of First Round 8/30
Leighton Vander Esch (Picked 5/30)
23. New England Patriots 1st of 2 picks.
Needs: ILB,OT,EDGE,QB,TE
Trades predicted: 2/30. Note: If the Pat’s trade it could be for a QB (Rosen)
Possible Pick: Rashaan Evans ILB
Kolton Miller OT (Picked 9/30)
24. Carolina Panthers
Needs: S,DE,CB,TE,WR
Trades predicted: 2/30. Notes: ignoring need for a top 5 OT
Possible Pick: Josh Jackson CB
Will Hernandez OT (Picked 6/30)
25. Tennessee Titans
Needs: LB,EDGE,S,WR,DL
No Trades predicted Note: 17 different players projected in the 30 mock drafts (LB 11/30)
Possible Pick: Rashaan Evans LB
Pick: Harold Landry EDGE (Picked 4/30)
26. Atlanta Falcons
Needs: DT,WR,FB,TE,QB
Trades predicted: 1
Possible Pick: Isaiah Wynn OG
Taven Bryan DT (Picked 15/30) (Somebody knows something)
27. New Orleans Saints
Needs: DT,TE,WR,DE,QB
No Trades predicted Notes: 13 mock picks used on a TE
Possible Pick: Dallas Goedert TE
Hayden Hurst TE (Picked 7/30) (Medium chance)
28. Pittsburgh Steelers
Needs: LB,QB,OT,EDGE,OG
Trades predicted: 1
Possible Pick: Harold Landry EDGE
Rashaan Evans LB (Picked 9/30) (Medium Chance)
29. Jacksonville Jaguars
Needs: QB,LB,WR,OG,TE
Trades predicted: 2/30. Notes: 19/30 different projections selected including 2 trading back.
Possible Pick: Courtland Sutton WR
Lamar Jackson QB (Picked 4/30) (Low Chance)
30. Minnesota Vikings
Needs: OG,DT,LB,CB,WR
Trades predicted: 1 (Trade Back)
Possible Pick: Connor Williams OT
Isaiah Wynn OG (Picked 5/30) (Low Chance)
31. New England Patriots 2nd of 2 picks.
Needs: ILB,OT,EDGE,QB,TE
Trades predicted: 3/30 (Trade back once) Notes: Kolton Miller selected 18/30 times over the two picks
Possible Pick: Mike Hughes CB
Pick: Kolton Miller OT (Picked 9/30) (Medium Chance)
32. Philadelphia Eagles
Needs: OT,TE,LB,S,RB
No Trades predicted: 3 (All trading back)
Possible Pick: Trade Back
Derrius Guice RB (Picked 5/30) (Medium/Low Chance)
Phew! I need a rest!! :)
So that is the result of the 30 different mock drafts that I have used. The links to each individual mock are posted underneath. I hope you enjoyed it and found it valuable. Please comment if there is information missed, your teams needs are different than I have stated or you would just like to chat about it.
The NFL.com Crew
SEC Country
CBS Sports
Bleacher Report
Peter King, Sports Illustrated
CBS Sports
SBNation
Draftsite
Mel Kiper
USA Today
Steve Palazzolo
Cam Rogers
Brett Kollmann
Voch Lombardi
Chris Trapasso
Wayne Staats
Darryl Slater
Doug Farrar
Mike Taglieres
Vinnie Iyer
Curtis Conway
Charlie Campbell
Mark Craig
David Dechant
Ryan Disdier
Scott Dochterman
Here is a link to another post of mine. Top 5 Players at each Position
I see that you are one of the people that believe Dallas will draft a WR in the 1st round. It's possible and I really do not have a problem with it as long as they are sure. Personally, if they are going to get a WR, I'd rather have DJ Moore or Courtland Sutton over Calvin Ridley. You went into a lot of detail on this. I'm going to check out some of those mock drafts you used. That Derwin James low spot of 24 intrigues me. An outside chance he makes it to Dallas at 19 in that case. I don't expect him to be anywhere near 19, but if he falls out of the top 10, Dallas may decide to trade up for him, swapping 1sts and giving up their 2nd round pick. Worth it to me.
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Thanks for the comments.
When I was looking up needs, DT and WR were generally considered top with LB, OG and S next, If I remember rightly. You'll know a lot more than me on the Cowboys.
I like Sutton a lot but his value is going through the roof. He was a clear second rounder pre combine.
James is an interesting one. I think if he's there at 14 the Packers take him. Him or Fitzpatrick!
The Steve Palazzolo draft is intriguing so definitely check that one out.
It will be a fun, and very late, night. It will be cool to look at the results and see how accurate these all are. I know previous Packer drafts under Ted Thompson have always thrown up a few head scratchers but it is now the Gutekunst era so it the unknown.
Enjoy your evening.
Gaz
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Resteemed by # BlogBooster.
Be sure to check out my awesome # BlogBoost service to get more upvotes.
Have a great day!
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