These are previews from the Belgian Jupiler League with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries and my personal betting angles, ...
The Regular Season continues and we are already at week 9. There was no match yesterday due to the mid-week cup matches and odds came out very late on the Asian market. This made it that is was possible to get some insane value bets on the far less sharp European bookies (Tiny limits) who pretty much copy what the bigger Asian bookies have with much higher juice.
Kv Mechelen vs Club Brugge
KV Mechelen is the one team in the league that did not have a midweek cup match. They were I would say lucky to get away with an away win against Kortrijk last week with goals coming purely from individual quality. They had a hot start of the season but are now faced with the fact that their team simply has not enough quality to claim a Top 6 spot. Club Brugge continue to create a lot of chances but strikers have been out of form/unlucky when it comes down to finishing them. The main question is always if there is an edge on the offered lines and odds. I generally don't like 1.6 type odds on away wins but managed to get some on
Club Brugge @ 1.65 early on. Anything but an away win would be a big surprise. Odds now are 1.54 but I still kind of like Club Brugge. If they show signs of domination early on I will jump on the Club Brugge 1H Live and if Mechelen start good or somehow get ahead I will likely bet Club Brugge FT line at better odds. With an upcoming match against Real Madrid, they might want to start strong to conserve energy later on. Bettin KV Mechelen in this match is not an option for me.
Cercle Brugge vs Eupen
Both are teams in the bottom region of the standings. These are both teams that simply come short against the top teams and they usually switch between playing 1 good and 1 bad half of the match. Cercle I would tend to be ok -in the first half while Eupen often plays better in the 2nd half against other bottom-mid-table-teams. Eupen coach changes his tactics based on the teams he plays against, sometimes with 5 and other times with 4 defenders. Scoring goals is the bottleneck of both these teams having scored only 4 (Cercle) and 7 (Eupen) goals in 8 weeks. This while both conceded 19 goals already. Usually, these matches start out quite nervous with really bad play resulting in few actual chances let alone chances turned into a goal. My lean is on Cercle Brugge and I took a small-medium bet on the
1st Half Under 1 @ 2.13 with an eye to trade out live.
AA Gent vs Kv Kortrijk
AA Gent is still the team to beat especially at home. Kortrijk is coming of a 1 on 12 and their main weakness has been that they concede goals way too easily. They were an under team on the road last season and I do expect their coach with the intention to build a real wall trying to come out on the counter hoping to score a goal as AA gent rarely keeps a clean sheet. I managed to get in early on an 1x2 bookie on
AA Gent -1.5 @ 2.35 (now 1.80) and
AA Gent -1 @ 1.82 (now 1.42). While AA Gent is quite reliable to play great, they aren't so to cover their handicaps often getting late goals against. There is simply not much to work with odds wise in this one pre-game.
Moeskroen vs Zulte-Waregem
Moeskroen started the season lucky taking the points which gave them some confidence after which they started to play a bit better also taking the points. Last week was the first sign of decay away against last in the standings Waasland which ended in a 1-1 Draw. Them being 4th in the standings is still overly optimistic and I just can't see them maintain this. Zulte-Waregem had a rough start of the season simply not being ready while they now are slowly getting in gear. quality-wise they should have a better team compared to Moeskroen but with them it's no guarantee that they are up for it especially on the road. At current odds I'm willing to take that risk pre-game though as this season to be a case over overrated team (Moeskroen) vs Underrated team (Zulte-Waregem). I'm on
Zulte-Waregem +0.5 @ 1.950 also taking on extra in BTC on Zulte-Waregem +0.5 @ 1.920 on
Sportsbet.io. Zulte-Waregem has been an under machine in corners both this (7W-1L) and last season (17W-13L) while the line doesn't seem to get adjusted. I also took what I could take on
Under 9.5 CK @ 1.925
Sint-Truiden vs Racing Genk
Racing Genk isn't handling the season after very well. They lack creativity on the midfield, have a coach that is way more focussed on defense while the players that stayed are no longer reaching their form aside from Samatta. Only the 0-4 win against Waasland-Beveren on the road ended in a clear and easy win. The main question is if this match can be compared to that. In my opinion, I would say no. Stvv had a rough start of the season but seem to have stabilized now. Strike Boli who is of Vital Importance to them stayed and they managed to take a deserved away win against Charleroi last week getting out of the danger zone now only being 2 points behind on Genk. So far there have been no signs of reversal for the visitors and I see them as too short of a favorite today. Some facts: Stvv only got 1 goal against in their last 5 matches | Genk lost 3 away matches | Genk only had 2 clean sheets this season. Based on everything, I'm willing to take
Sint-Truiden + 1 @ 1.870 on
Sportmarket Pro also taking some extra in BTC on
Sint-Truiden +1 @ 1.839 using
Nitrogensports. Genk also no longer seems to more focus on defense and no longer go for the counters when being 1 goal ahead late with their new coach making the +1 a nice handicap to have at home.
Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our SBC Discord Channel. The Bookmakers that I am personally using and currently am willing to recommend are Sportmarket Pro, Nitrogensports, Sportsbet.io. Bigger bets will te shared and tracked on Twitter and can also be followed directly on copytip. Odds can also be found on the 0% Fee Crypto Betting Exchange Betscorum Using my links when signing up helps to continue making these previews, Thanks!
September BTC Bets
| Date | Bet | mBTC | Odds | Result | Betslip |
|---|
| 28/09/2019 | Sint-Truiden +1 | 10 | 1.839 | Pending | Nitrogen |
| 28/09/2019 | Zulte-Waregem +0.5 | 10 | 1.920 | Pending | Sportsbet |
| 21/09/2019 | Cha vs Stvv U 3 | 10 | 1.811 | +0.00 | Nitrogen |
| 19/09/2019 | AA Gent TT Over 1.5 | 10 | 2.130 | +11.3 | Sportsbet |
Results History
IMPORTANT !
Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!
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